Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $32.1600 (-0.85%) ($32.1300 - $32.6250) on Wed. Aug. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $32.1600(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(48%)    VWO(47%)    FXI(46%)    QQQ(45%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    SHY(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    GLD(-6%)    TIP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $32.55
5 Day Moving Average   $32.42(-0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.7(-1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.55(-1.2%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $17.865b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2014	29.08		32.7	32.42			32.16(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-4	-38	1.64	75%	0.17	-3.4	2.4%	0	-0.4	39	0
2	Aug_26_2014	29.03		32.83	32.59			32.44(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-3	-9	1.75	75%	0.24	7.5	2.4%	0	-0.1	73	0
3	Aug_25_2014	28.96	32.55	32.95	32.71			32.3(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-3	15	1.71	75%	0.28	18.9	2.42%	0	-0.3	66	0
4	Aug_22_2014	28.88	32.6	33.1	32.84			32.49(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-2	33	1.73	75%	0.21	37.3	2.42%	0	-0.1	54	0
5	Aug_21_2014	28.82	32.65	33.15	32.93			32.73(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-2	48	2.53	75%	0.21	56.8	2.42%	0	0.1	60	0

6	Aug_20_2014	28.76	32.57	33.18	33.03			33.03(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-2	61	1.74	75%	0.28	65.2	2.41%	0	0.5	57	0
7	Aug_19_2014	28.68	32.48	32.93	33.12			33.02(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-3	52	2.54	77%	0.28	70	2.42%	0	0.5	56	0
8	Aug_18_2014	28.6	32.39	32.73	33.23			32.94(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-4	46	2.08	77%	0.32	73.2	2.45%	0	0.5	53	0
9	Aug_15_2014	28.51	32.27	32.66	33.41			32.97(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	0	48	2.65	77%	0.35	70.3	2.46%	0	0.6	48	0
10	Aug_14_2014	28.41	32.11	32.5	33.39			33.2(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	1	34	2.26	77%	0.32	63.3	2.45%	0	0.8	48	0

11	Aug_13_2014	28.32	31.93	32.38	33.35			33.46(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	16	45	1.94	77%	0.35	58.5	2.46%	0	1.1	61	0
12	Aug_12_2014	28.22	31.77	32.24	32.7			33.6(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	14	25	2.67	77%	0.36	43.1	2.47%	0	1.4	62	0
13	Aug_11_2014	28.12	31.59	32.1	32.13			33.82(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	8	8	4.88	77%	0.32	31.4	2.49%	0	1.7	63	0
14	Aug_8_2014	28.03	31.43	32.02	31.81			32.86(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	7	13	3.3	79%	0.29	21.6	2.7%	0	1.2	62	0
15	Aug_7_2014	27.95	31.29	32.06	31.51			33.01(9.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	5	25	14.26	73%	0.29	6.1	2.7%	0	1.5	67	0

16	Aug_6_2014	27.87	31.15	31.87	31.31			30.23(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-9	24	5.16	69%	0.18	-5.4	2.59%	0	-0.8	59	0
17	Aug_5_2014	27.82	31.2	31.99	31.7			30.76(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-8	48	3.19	69%	0.22	-2.6	2.58%	0	-0.4	56	0
18	Aug_4_2014	27.76	31.19	32.03	32.04			32.21(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-6	72	2.63	74%	0.25	0	2.5%	0	0.9	64	0
19	Aug_1_2014	27.69	31.17	31.88	32.27			31.34(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-11	82	9.12	73%	0.14	12.2	2.48%	0	0.2	56	0
20	Jul_31_2014	27.65	31.17	31.74	32.7			32.02(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	30	-10000	4	108	6.73	73%	0.18	29	2.48%	0	0.7	64	0

21	Jul_30_2014	27.6	31.17	31.49	32.52			32.17(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	5	94	6.89	73%	0.15	34.8	2.48%	0	0.8	61	0
22	Jul_29_2014	27.56	31.22	31.3	32.3			32.44(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	7	82	5.36	73%	0.22	44.3	2.48%	0	1	59	0
23	Jul_28_2014	27.5	31.19	31.07	32.01			33.37(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	15	72	3.42	77%	0.22	48	2.46%	0	1.9	67	0
24	Jul_25_2014	27.44	31.04	30.77	31.44			33.5(7.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	26	-10000	21	40	5.22	69%	0.26	39.9	2.47%	0	2.3	56	0
25	Jul_24_2014	27.37	30.89	30.4	30.66			31.11(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	9	-15	1.48	60%		26.4	2.46%	0	0.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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