Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $29.3857 (1.7%) ($28.9136 - $29.4772) on Fri. Sep. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $29.3857(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(53%)    IWD(53%)    XLI(53%)    SDY(52%)    SPY(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    IPO(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.87(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.65(2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.16(4.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $22.482b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.34%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2016	26.44	28.16	28.65	28.87	28.88	29.06	29.39(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	40	21	87	7.14	73%	0.23	64.9	1.32%	0	1.9	81	0
2	Sep_29_2016	26.38	28.05	28.53	28.71	28.71	28.84	28.89(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	30	13	91	7.15	73%	0.15	65	1.32%	0	1.4	84	0
3	Sep_28_2016	26.34	27.96	28.45	28.62	28.59	28.7	28.91(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	20	7	87	4.42	75%	0.15	62.3	1.34%	0	1.6	61	0
4	Sep_27_2016	26.3	27.89	28.35	28.57	28.58	28.58	28.54(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	0	10	85	5.26	66%	0.15	65.7	1.37%	0	1.2	60	0
5	Sep_26_2016	26.26	27.83	28.26	28.47	28.52	28.48	28.62(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-0	3	74	6.88	66%	0.15	63.1	1.5%	0	1.4	67	0

6	Sep_23_2016	26.22	27.74	28.16	28.38	28.45	28.57	28.56(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	40	4	71	5	61%	0.15	56.9	1.63%	0	1.5	67	0
7	Sep_22_2016	26.18	27.66	28	28.32	28.41	28.56	28.49(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	50	12	67	5.36	61%	0.11	50	1.64%	0	1.6	66	0
8	Sep_21_2016	26.15	27.59	27.93	28.26	28.27	28.32	28.62(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	10	10	71	6.67	59%	0.15	53	1.64%	0	2.1	65	0
9	Sep_20_2016	26.11	27.52	27.84	28.11	28.17	28.27	28.04(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	30	9	65	5.87	58%	0.08	56.9	1.63%	0	1.2	57	0
10	Sep_19_2016	26.09	27.48	27.75	28.01	28.04	28.21	28.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	50	13	58	4.57	58%	0.08	57.1	1.63%	0	1.7	61	0

11	Sep_16_2016	26.07	27.44	27.64	27.9	27.85	28.06	28.26(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	50	22	55	11.22	58%	0.08	61.3	1.64%	0	2.1	65	0
12	Sep_15_2016	26.05	27.39	27.53	27.62	27.65	27.87	28.16(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	60	13	35	9.5	58%	0.08	55.6	1.64%	0	2.3	66	0
13	Sep_14_2016	26.03	27.33	27.43	27.56	27.65	27.64	27.89(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	30	7	30	9.97	58%	0.08	60.9	1.63%	0	1.9	57	0
14	Sep_13_2016	26.01	27.28	27.38	27.54	27.47	27.44	27.55(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-20	9	30	10.85	58%	0.08	55.5	1.63%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Sep_12_2016	25.99	27.24	27.36	27.45	27.45	27.29	27.62(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	5	-40	-1	22	10.81	58%	0.04	40.9	1.63%	0	1.3	55	0

16	Sep_9_2016	25.98	27.2	27.29	27.35	27.4	27.5	26.87(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-3	30	-6	7	8.44	55%	0.04	23.6	1.6%	0	-1.1	42	0
17	Sep_8_2016	25.97	27.21	27.3	27.4	27.39	27.61	27.89(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	18	60	19	14	6.04	62%	0.12	29.1	1.53%	0	2.3	57	0
18	Sep_7_2016	25.94	27.15	27.23	27.27	27.25	27.29	27.76(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	7	10	8	3	8	62%	0.12	16.7	1.55%	0	2.3	63	0
19	Sep_6_2016	25.91	27.11	27.18	27.21	27.2	27.16	27.09(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10	-5	-0	4.79	59%	0.15	23.5	1.52%	0	-0.1	59	0
20	Sep_2_2016	25.87	27.12	27.2	27.26	27.28	27.2	27.11(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-20	-1	11	2.97	59%	0.08	36.5	1.52%	0	-0	58	0

21	Sep_1_2016	25.85	27.13	27.23	27.24	27.29	27.25	27.15(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-0	1	18	4.12	59%	0.08	38.6	1.52%	0	0.1	57	0
22	Aug_31_2016	25.83	27.12	27.26	27.24	27.24	27.35	27.25(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	30	2	21	5.26	61%	0.16	26.1	1.52%	0	0.5	59	0
23	Aug_30_2016	25.79	27.11	27.23	27.18	27.18	27.34	27.45(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	40	9	27	5	61%	0.16	24	1.54%	0	1.3	65	0
24	Aug_29_2016	25.75	27.06	27.17	27.15	27.15	27.13	27.34(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10	4	20	6.83	61%	0.16	5.2	1.55%	0	1.1	56	0
25	Aug_26_2016	25.71	27.03	27.11	27.13	27.17	27.02	26.99(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-30	-10	7	5.11	61%		-3.3	1.54%	0	-0.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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