Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $28.2007 (-0.2%) ($28.1332 - $28.5083) on Mon. Sep. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $28.2007(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(53%)    IWD(53%)    XLI(53%)    SDY(52%)    SPY(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.01(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.75(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.48(2.62%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $21.575b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(40%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(53%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 1.43%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2016	26.09	27.48	27.75	28.01	28.04	28.21	28.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	50	13	58	4.57	58%	0.08	57.1	1.63%	0	1.7	61	0
2	Sep_16_2016	26.07	27.44	27.64	27.9	27.85	28.06	28.26(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	50	22	55	11.22	58%	0.08	61.3	1.64%	0	2.1	65	0
3	Sep_15_2016	26.05	27.39	27.53	27.62	27.65	27.87	28.16(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	60	13	35	9.5	58%	0.08	55.6	1.64%	0	2.3	66	0
4	Sep_14_2016	26.03	27.33	27.43	27.56	27.65	27.64	27.89(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	30	7	30	9.97	58%	0.08	60.9	1.63%	0	1.9	57	0
5	Sep_13_2016	26.01	27.28	27.38	27.54	27.47	27.44	27.55(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-20	9	30	10.85	58%	0.08	55.5	1.63%	0	0.9	53	0

6	Sep_12_2016	25.99	27.24	27.36	27.45	27.45	27.29	27.62(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	5	-40	-1	22	10.81	58%	0.04	40.9	1.63%	0	1.3	55	0
7	Sep_9_2016	25.98	27.2	27.29	27.35	27.4	27.5	26.87(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-3	30	-6	7	8.44	55%	0.04	23.6	1.6%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	Sep_8_2016	25.97	27.21	27.3	27.4	27.39	27.61	27.89(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	18	60	19	14	6.04	62%	0.12	29.1	1.53%	0	2.3	57	0
9	Sep_7_2016	25.94	27.15	27.23	27.27	27.25	27.29	27.76(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	7	10	8	3	8	62%	0.12	16.7	1.55%	0	2.3	63	0
10	Sep_6_2016	25.91	27.11	27.18	27.21	27.2	27.16	27.09(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10	-5	-0	4.79	59%	0.15	23.5	1.52%	0	-0.1	59	0

11	Sep_2_2016	25.87	27.12	27.2	27.26	27.28	27.2	27.11(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-20	-1	11	2.97	59%	0.08	36.5	1.52%	0	-0	58	0
12	Sep_1_2016	25.85	27.13	27.23	27.24	27.29	27.25	27.15(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-0	1	18	4.12	59%	0.08	38.6	1.52%	0	0.1	57	0
13	Aug_31_2016	25.83	27.12	27.26	27.24	27.24	27.35	27.25(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	30	2	21	5.26	61%	0.16	26.1	1.52%	0	0.5	59	0
14	Aug_30_2016	25.79	27.11	27.23	27.18	27.18	27.34	27.45(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	40	9	27	5	61%	0.16	24	1.54%	0	1.3	65	0
15	Aug_29_2016	25.75	27.06	27.17	27.15	27.15	27.13	27.34(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10	4	20	6.83	61%	0.16	5.2	1.55%	0	1.1	56	0

16	Aug_26_2016	25.71	27.03	27.17	27.13	27.17	27.02	26.99(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-30	-10	7	5.11	61%	0.12	-3.3	1.54%	0	-0.2	43	0
17	Aug_25_2016	25.68	27.04	27.17	27.22	27.24	27.16	26.85(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-7	-20	-12	7	5.2	61%	0.16	4.3	1.54%	0	-0.8	37	0
18	Aug_24_2016	25.64	27.06	27.11	27.34	27.33	27.16	27.26(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10	3	23	4.31	61%	0.12	18.5	1.54%	0	0.8	59	0
19	Aug_23_2016	25.61	27.04	27.07	27.28	27.3	27.31	27.31(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	0	6	18	2.96	61%	0.16	5.2	1.54%	0	1	56	0
20	Aug_22_2016	25.57	27.05	27.07	27.18	27.18	27.34	27.24(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	40	8	17	3.34	61%	0.08	0	1.54%	0	0.7	64	0

21	Aug_19_2016	25.55	27.04	27.04	27.09	27.06	27.29	27.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	18	60	17	20	4.78	61%	0.12	-10.4	1.54%	0	1.6	59	0
22	Aug_18_2016	25.52	27.03	27.03	26.98	26.93	27.01	27.45(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	14	20	14	13	7.25	61%	0.12	-25	1.55%	0	1.7	53	0
23	Aug_17_2016	25.49	27.01	27.03	26.86	26.84	26.82	26.98(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-1	-10	0	-5	4.21	60%	0.08	-51.7	1.54%	0	-0.1	47	0
24	Aug_16_2016	25.47	27.03	26.96	26.83	26.85	26.85	26.78(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	0	-3	-9	3.76	60%	0.12	-49.4	1.54%	0	-1	47	0
25	Aug_15_2016	25.44	27.05	26.94	26.88	26.88	26.86	26.81(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10	-5	-19	4.36	60%		-20.2	1.54%	0	-1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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