Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $27.4462 (1.74%) ($26.9197 - $27.4462) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $27.4462(1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(53%)    IWD(53%)    XLI(53%)    SDY(52%)    SPY(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.98(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.03(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.03(1.54%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $20.998b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.59%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.78%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.4%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.91%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.86%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2016	25.52	27.03	27.03	26.98	26.93	27.01	27.45(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	14	20	14	13	7.25	61%	0.12	-25	1.55%	0	1.7	53	0
2	Aug_17_2016	25.49	27.01	27.03	26.86	26.84	26.82	26.98(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-1	-10	0	-5	4.21	60%	0.08	-51.7	1.54%	0	-0.1	47	0
3	Aug_16_2016	25.47	27.03	26.96	26.83	26.85	26.85	26.78(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	0	-3	-9	3.76	60%	0.12	-49.4	1.54%	0	-1	47	0
4	Aug_15_2016	25.44	27.05	26.94	26.88	26.88	26.86	26.81(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10	-5	-19	4.36	60%	0.04	-20.2	1.54%	0	-1	39	0
5	Aug_12_2016	25.43	27.07	26.95	26.97	26.96	26.84	26.86(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-30	-10	-18	3.44	57%	0.08	22.5	1.56%	0	-0.9	46	0

6	Aug_11_2016	25.41	27.09	26.97	26.97	27.1	26.91	26.88(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-50	-7	-10	4.64	55%	0.08	61.2	1.57%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	Aug_10_2016	25.39	27.14	27	27.08	27.19	27.08	26.8(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-20	-7	-11	3.45	57%	0.08	115.2	1.59%	0	-1.3	46	0
8	Aug_9_2016	25.37	27.15	27.02	27.11	27.16	27.28	27.05(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	40	7	-7	3.5	57%	0.08	111.4	1.6%	0	-0.3	45	0
9	Aug_8_2016	25.35	27.1	27.06	27	27.05	27.3	27.26(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	70	16	-7	4.83	57%	0.08	90.8	1.6%	0	0.3	52	0
10	Aug_5_2016	25.33	27.02	27.05	26.92	26.85	27.03	27.41(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	40	11	-17	4.88	57%	0.08	74.8	1.6%	0	0.6	51	0

11	Aug_4_2016	25.31	26.92	27.03	26.86	26.8	26.81	26.85(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	-0	1	-27	3.9	55%	0.08	62	1.59%	0	-0.1	43	0
12	Aug_3_2016	25.29	26.83	27.06	26.86	26.86	26.67	27(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-60	-5	-34	5.65	51%	0.08	57.6	1.6%	0	0.2	38	0
13	Aug_2_2016	25.27	26.73	27.09	26.92	26.93	26.78	26.48(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-40	-20	-35	5.9	49%	0.08	55.9	1.63%	0	-0.3	46	0
14	Aug_1_2016	25.25	26.65	27.16	27.12	27.1	27.05	26.86(-0.95%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-4	-20	-5	1	4.88	49%	0.08	66.8	1.62%	0	0.2	64	0
15	Jul_29_2016	25.23	26.57	27.2	27.18	27.18	27.07	27.12(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-30	-4	27	3.96	49%	0.12	68.3	1.62%	0	0.5	69	0

16	Jul_28_2016	25.2	26.46	27.22	27.18	27.2	27.15	27.14(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10	-5	54	4.74	49%	0.12	63.5	1.62%	0	0.6	70	0
17	Jul_27_2016	25.17	26.34	27.28	27.21	27.24	27.28	27.01(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	10	-2	94	9.55	49%	0.16	57.3	1.64%	0	0.6	74	0
18	Jul_26_2016	25.13	26.2	27.29	27.29	27.22	27.25	27.49(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	0	6	135	5.14	53%	0.12	50.1	1.62%	0	1	78	0
19	Jul_25_2016	25.1	26	27.14	27.21	27.2	27.19	27.16(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	-0	-1	145	5.07	53%	0.12	36.8	1.63%	0	0.9	79	0
20	Jul_22_2016	25.07	25.88	26.99	27.23	27.17	27.2	27.26(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	38	0	-1	156	4.18	56%	0.16	34.4	1.64%	0	1.1	71	0

21	Jul_21_2016	25.03	25.8	26.82	27.24	27.2	27.21	27.13(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-0	-5	163	4.76	56%	0.16	38	1.67%	0	1	71	0
22	Jul_20_2016	24.99	25.7	26.6	27.37	27.29	27.14	27.4(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	47	-50	1	184	6.08	56%	0.16	43.4	1.67%	0	1.4	76	0
23	Jul_19_2016	24.95	25.6	26.35	27.29	27.34	27.19	27.09(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	54	-30	6	197	6.32	56%	0.16	45.5	1.67%	0	1.3	78	0
24	Jul_18_2016	24.91	25.53	26.11	27.05	27.2	27.43	27.25(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	80	20	204	6.95	56%	0.16	43.2	1.67%	0	1.5	82	0
25	Jul_15_2016	24.87	25.43	25.88	26.7	26.83	27.5	27.3(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	81	190	42	196	8.87	56%		37.3	1.67%	0	1.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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