Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $23.4310 (0.28%) ($22.4118 - $23.7613) on Wed. Feb. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.32% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $23.4310(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(54%)    XLI(54%)    IVE(53%)    SDY(53%)    SPY(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -1.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-11%)    GDXJ(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.16% (StdDev 2.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.9(2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.36(4.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.75(7.73%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $17.926b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 3.86% (three month std-dev: 2.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.85%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 3.06%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 3.33%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2016	24.42	21.75	22.36	22.9	22.74	23.19	23.43(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	120	16	112	12.62	49%	-0.04	42.5	2.32%	0	2	71	0
2	Feb_16_2016	24.43	21.64	22.09	22.72	22.64	22.82	23.36(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	50	28	105	11.68	49%	-0.04	36.8	2.32%	0	2.3	67	0
3	Feb_12_2016	24.44	21.54	21.9	22.39	22.31	22.29	22.83(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-20	10	88	8.23	48%	-0.08	24.3	2.29%	0	2.1	67	0
4	Feb_11_2016	24.46	21.49	21.78	22.13	22.08	22.46	22.09(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	110	8	79	8.21	46%	-0.12	11.7	2.26%	0	1.1	58	0
5	Feb_10_2016	24.49	21.43	21.69	22.06	21.94	22.33	22.77(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	110	32	87	12.24	48%	-0.12	-7.1	2.23%	0	2.5	64	0

6	Feb_9_2016	24.52	21.4	21.48	21.73	21.64	21.69	22.53(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	0	21	57	16.84	49%	-0.16	-42.8	2.23%	0	2.3	63	0
7	Feb_8_2016	24.56	21.37	21.32	21.38	21.4	21.56	21.71(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	60	2	20	11.31	47%	-0.2	-87	2.2%	0	0.7	52	0
8	Feb_5_2016	24.61	21.39	21.22	21.35	21.29	21.58	21.54(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	90	7	12	6.62	47%	-0.24	-106.7	2.2%	0	0.3	50	0
9	Feb_4_2016	24.67	21.42	21.18	21.39	21.24	21.24	21.75(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-20	11	7	10.39	47%	-0.24	-115.2	2.2%	0	0.6	46	0
10	Feb_3_2016	24.73	21.47	21.11	21.26	21.23	21	21.1(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-80	-3	-8	7.3	44%	-0.24	-115.9	2.16%	0	-0.6	51	0

11	Feb_2_2016	24.79	21.61	21.1	21.19	21.25	21.23	20.79(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	0	-7	-31	6.99	44%	-0.24	-91.9	2.15%	0	-1	37	0
12	Feb_1_2016	24.85	21.78	21.17	21.23	21.22	21.46	21.57(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	80	14	-29	8.45	47%	-0.2	-78	2.12%	0	-0.2	44	0
13	Jan_29_2016	24.9	21.91	21.15	21.06	21.1	21.27	21.72(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	60	14	-50	8.51	47%	-0.2	-82.4	2.12%	0	-0.2	45	0
14	Jan_28_2016	24.95	22.04	21.15	21.06	20.96	20.99	21.11(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	10	-0	-70	6.29	44%	-0.2	-74	2.08%	0	-0.8	38	0
15	Jan_27_2016	25	22.22	21.16	20.95	21.05	20.99	20.73(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-20	-3	-95	9.71	42%	-0.24	-65	2.08%	0	-1.2	29	0

16	Jan_26_2016	25.06	22.4	21.31	21.01	21.06	20.94	21.02(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-30	-9	-112	9.21	42%	-0.16	-58.2	2.12%	0	-1	24	0
17	Jan_25_2016	25.1	22.58	21.43	21.09	21.04	20.94	20.73(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	40	-9	-131	5.61	42%	-0.2	-54	2.12%	0	-1.3	20	0
18	Jan_22_2016	25.15	22.78	21.57	21.24	21.21	21.17	21.16(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-20	-0	-145	9.45	44%	-0.16	-53.9	2.11%	0	-1.2	21	0
19	Jan_21_2016	25.19	22.94	21.68	21.24	21.17	20.91	21.1(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-120	-11	-162	10.71	44%	-0.2	-52.1	2.14%	0	-1.3	21	0
20	Jan_20_2016	25.24	23.08	21.87	21.4	21.37	21.24	21.03(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-60	-50	-18	-186	10.58	44%	-0.16	-53.5	2.14%	0	-1.5	18	0

21	Jan_19_2016	25.28	23.22	22.16	21.67	21.55	21.42	21.45(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-60	-11	-172	10.9	44%	-0.2	-53.4	2.14%	0	-1.4	26	0
22	Jan_15_2016	25.33	23.36	22.44	21.82	21.73	21.5	21.48(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-90	-13	-169	12.62	46%	-0.2	-52.1	2.13%	0	-1.6	25	0
23	Jan_14_2016	25.38	23.54	22.73	21.95	21.96	21.68	21.95(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-90	-11	-162	16.59	47%	-0.08	-48.1	2.15%	0	-1.4	27	0
24	Jan_13_2016	25.4	23.69	22.98	22.02	22.09	21.96	21.09(-5.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-62	-30	-26	-169	22.02	42%	-0.12	-43.1	2.09%	0	-2.3	21	0
25	Jan_12_2016	25.43	23.84	23.36	22.4	22.32	22.23	22.36(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	-40	-19	-137	11.89	44%		-43.2	1.99%	0	-1.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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