Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $34.9688 (0.08%) ($34.8027 - $35.0426) on Wed. Nov. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $34.9688(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(55%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLB(51%)    XLF(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.69(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.24(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.52(4.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.2%
Market Cap   $26.753b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.41%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -2.84%(39%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.07%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.16%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_26_2014	29.75	33.52	34.24	34.69	34.77	34.92	34.97(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	40	17	99	2.56	63%	0.24	65.5	1.48%	0	1.4	93	INF
2	Nov_25_2014	29.68	33.36	34.12	34.47	34.54	34.81	34.94(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	60	23	111	3.9	63%	0.24	65.6	1.48%	0	1.6	94	INF
3	Nov_24_2014	29.61	33.23	33.99	34.22	34.23	34.61	34.79(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	80	26	119	4.63	63%	0.17	67.1	1.48%	0	1.7	93	INF
4	Nov_21_2014	29.56	33.09	33.86	34	33.95	34.26	34.5(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	60	25	118	5.44	63%	0.2	72.3	1.48%	0	1.6	74	INF
5	Nov_20_2014	29.5	32.98	33.67	33.85	33.73	33.84	34.25(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	10	13	104	4.39	64%	0.2	80.1	1.49%	0	1.6	67	INF

6	Nov_19_2014	29.44	32.86	33.48	33.73	33.66	33.65	33.87(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10	1	92	4.23	64%	0.2	84.2	1.48%	0	1.2	68	INF
7	Nov_18_2014	29.38	32.73	33.28	33.73	33.67	33.62	33.68(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	-10	-2	93	4.38	65%	0.17	88.7	1.48%	0	1.1	72	INF
8	Nov_17_2014	29.33	32.62	33.1	33.72	33.68	33.66	33.68(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10	-1	88	3.12	65%	0.2	92.7	1.49%	0	1.2	62	INF
9	Nov_14_2014	29.27	32.48	32.98	33.7	33.67	33.71	33.79(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	10	13	99	3.89	66%	0.21	101.8	1.49%	0	1.5	65	INF
10	Nov_13_2014	29.21	32.34	32.87	33.46	33.53	33.69	33.65(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	40	20	90	4.97	66%	0.17	107.9	1.49%	0	1.4	60	INF

11	Nov_12_2014	29.16	32.18	32.74	33.18	33.22	33.63	33.77(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	90	33	82	7.24	66%	0.21	108.7	1.49%	0	1.7	65	INF
12	Nov_11_2014	29.1	32	32.53	32.78	32.83	33.38	33.72(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	120	44	66	6.52	66%	0.21	102.3	1.5%	0	1.8	70	INF
13	Nov_10_2014	29.04	31.82	32.39	32.39	32.37	32.82	33.58(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	100	33	47	7.54	66%	0.17	91.8	1.5%	0	1.7	66	INF
14	Nov_7_2014	28.99	31.6	32.23	32.17	32.08	32.28	32.56(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	40	10	39	11.89	65%	0.17	69.6	1.46%	0	0.7	66	INF
15	Nov_6_2014	28.94	31.36	32.21	32.21	32.1	31.92	32.27(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-50	-3	53	6.05	65%	0.14	58.5	1.46%	0	0.6	61	INF

16	Nov_5_2014	28.9	31.17	32.18	32.21	32.28	31.88	31.76(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-80	-18	71	14.86	63%	0.14	55.9	1.45%	0	0.4	64	INF
17	Nov_4_2014	28.86	31.03	32.14	32.23	32.46	32.29	31.78(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-20	-18	84	17.32	63%	0.14	54.8	1.46%	0	0.5	64	INF
18	Nov_3_2014	28.82	30.88	32.12	32.36	32.4	32.69	32.49(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	70	7	126	5.47	65%	0.17	54.9	1.43%	0	1	73	INF
19	Oct_31_2014	28.77	30.72	31.96	32.29	32.35	32.62	32.73(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	60	23	151	6.25	63%	0.17	54.4	1.43%	0	1.3	79	INF
20	Oct_30_2014	28.72	30.55	31.79	32.23	32.21	32.12	32.41(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-20	7	187	6.75	63%	0.17	54	1.45%	0	1.2	84	INF

21	Oct_29_2014	28.67	30.37	31.59	32.14	32.14	32.07	31.76(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	50	-20	-4	211	14.86	62%	0.14	52.7	1.43%	0	0.9	74	INF
22	Oct_28_2014	28.63	30.21	31.45	32.03	32.18	32.3	32.41(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	40	18	238	5.54	63%	0.17	49.1	1.41%	0	1.5	71	INF
23	Oct_27_2014	28.58	30.05	31.21	31.83	31.9	32.21	32.12(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	80	70	23	250	5.79	63%	0.14	50.2	1.41%	0	1.5	72	INF
24	Oct_24_2014	28.54	29.91	30.91	31.56	31.66	32.06	32.42(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	88	100	39	236	5.08	63%	0.18	48.8	1.41%	0	2	65	INF
25	Oct_23_2014	28.49	29.76	30.44	31.3	31.18	31.59	31.98(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	80	34	197	8.92	63%		47.6	1.4%	0	2	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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