Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $33.7189 (0.41%) ($33.3698 - $33.7615) on Tue. Nov. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $33.7189(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(55%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLB(51%)    XLF(51%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.78(2.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.53(3.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32(5.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.5%
Market Cap   $25.797b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.37%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.3%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.36%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 0.79%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.14%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2014	29.1	32	32.53	32.78	32.83	33.38	33.72(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	120	44	66	6.52	66%	0.21	102.3	1.5%	0	1.8	70	INF
2	Nov_10_2014	29.04	31.82	32.39	32.39	32.37	32.82	33.58(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	100	33	47	7.54	66%	0.17	91.8	1.5%	0	1.7	66	INF
3	Nov_7_2014	28.99	31.6	32.23	32.17	32.08	32.28	32.56(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	40	10	39	11.89	65%	0.17	69.6	1.46%	0	0.7	66	INF
4	Nov_6_2014	28.94	31.36	32.21	32.21	32.1	31.92	32.27(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-50	-3	53	6.05	65%	0.14	58.5	1.46%	0	0.6	61	INF
5	Nov_5_2014	28.9	31.17	32.18	32.21	32.28	31.88	31.76(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-80	-18	71	14.86	63%	0.14	55.9	1.45%	0	0.4	64	INF

6	Nov_4_2014	28.86	31.03	32.14	32.23	32.46	32.29	31.78(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-20	-18	84	17.32	63%	0.14	54.8	1.46%	0	0.5	64	INF
7	Nov_3_2014	28.82	30.88	32.12	32.36	32.4	32.69	32.49(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	70	7	126	5.47	65%	0.17	54.9	1.43%	0	1	73	INF
8	Oct_31_2014	28.77	30.72	31.96	32.29	32.35	32.62	32.73(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	60	23	151	6.25	63%	0.17	54.4	1.43%	0	1.3	79	INF
9	Oct_30_2014	28.72	30.55	31.79	32.23	32.21	32.12	32.41(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-20	7	187	6.75	63%	0.17	54	1.45%	0	1.2	84	INF
10	Oct_29_2014	28.67	30.37	31.59	32.14	32.14	32.07	31.76(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	50	-20	-4	211	14.86	62%	0.14	52.7	1.43%	0	0.9	74	INF

11	Oct_28_2014	28.63	30.21	31.45	32.03	32.18	32.3	32.41(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	40	18	238	5.54	63%	0.17	49.1	1.41%	0	1.5	71	INF
12	Oct_27_2014	28.58	30.05	31.21	31.83	31.9	32.21	32.12(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	80	70	23	250	5.79	63%	0.14	50.2	1.41%	0	1.5	72	INF
13	Oct_24_2014	28.54	29.91	30.91	31.56	31.66	32.06	32.42(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	88	100	39	236	5.08	63%	0.18	48.8	1.41%	0	2	65	INF
14	Oct_23_2014	28.49	29.76	30.44	31.3	31.18	31.59	31.98(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	80	34	197	8.92	63%	0.21	47.6	1.4%	0	2	64	INF
15	Oct_22_2014	28.43	29.61	30.06	30.96	30.91	31.25	31.21(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	70	32	169	12.06	61%	0.18	41.9	1.37%	0	1.6	64	INF

16	Oct_21_2014	28.38	29.51	29.83	30.78	30.66	30.76	31.41(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	10	31	162	13.05	61%	0.14	38.1	1.37%	0	2	67	INF
17	Oct_20_2014	28.34	29.39	29.54	30.48	30.21	30.56	30.78(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	50	19	125	19.29	60%	0.14	32.6	1.35%	0	1.7	57	INF
18	Oct_17_2014	28.3	29.31	29.39	30.15	30.06	30.57	31.1(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	79	110	67	115	10.14	59%	0.14	26.3	1.35%	0	2.4	57	INF
19	Oct_16_2014	28.26	29.24	29.19	29.43	29.86	29.86	30.29(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	46	40	47	42	15.31	56%	0.11	7.1	1.32%	0	1.6	53	INF
20	Oct_15_2014	28.23	29.2	29.03	29.02	29.25	29.55	30.29(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	2	100	8	-15	16.09	56%	0.14	-3.7	1.32%	0	1.7	56	INF

21	Oct_14_2014	28.19	29.16	28.84	28.74	29.01	29.86	29.95(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	33	230	55	-33	19.08	56%	0.07	-8	1.32%	0	1.4	53	INF
22	Oct_13_2014	28.17	29.16	28.77	28.47	28.76	28.95	29.12(5.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	80	34	-65	40.33	54%	0.07	-16.7	1.27%	0	0	50	INF
23	Oct_10_2014	28.15	29.12	28.81	28.53	28.48	28.17	27.5(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-70	-80	-56	-110	12.25	46%	0.04	-10.9	1.04%	0	-2.9	35	INF
24	Oct_9_2014	28.14	29.19	29.04	28.9	28.9	28.58	28.23(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-80	-23	-62	7.72	50%	0.04	7.3	1%	0	-2.2	37	INF
25	Oct_8_2014	28.13	29.23	29.15	29.01	29.07	28.79	28.92(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-60	-18	-61	7.42	53%		16.7	0.96%	0	-0.7	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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