Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: CSX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(CSX Corp)
CSX latest price $31.1011 (2.67%) ($30.5316 - $31.2297) on Fri. Oct. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $31.1011(2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSX advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSX advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(55%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLB(51%)    XLF(50%)
Factors Impacting CSX price   CSX will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.15(3.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.39(5.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.31(6.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $23.794b

CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. Its services include rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company was founded in 1827 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, FL.

$. CSX price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.37%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.26%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.63%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.76%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2014	28.3	29.31	29.39	30.15	30.06	30.57	31.1(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	79	110	67	115	10.14	59%	0.14	26.3	1.35%	0	2.4	57	0
2	Oct_16_2014	28.26	29.24	29.19	29.43	29.86	29.86	30.29(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	46	40	47	42	15.31	56%	0.11	7.1	1.32%	0	1.6	53	0
3	Oct_15_2014	28.23	29.2	29.03	29.02	29.25	29.55	30.29(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	2	100	8	-15	16.09	56%	0.14	-3.7	1.32%	0	1.7	56	0
4	Oct_14_2014	28.19	29.16	28.84	28.74	29.01	29.86	29.95(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	33	230	55	-33	19.08	56%	0.07	-8	1.32%	0	1.4	53	0
5	Oct_13_2014	28.17	29.16	28.77	28.47	28.76	28.95	29.12(5.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	80	34	-65	40.33	54%	0.07	-16.7	1.27%	0	0	50	0

6	Oct_10_2014	28.15	29.12	28.81	28.53	28.48	28.17	27.5(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-70	-80	-56	-110	12.25	46%	0.04	-10.9	1.04%	0	-2.9	35	0
7	Oct_9_2014	28.14	29.19	29.04	28.9	28.9	28.58	28.23(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-80	-23	-62	7.72	50%	0.04	7.3	1%	0	-2.2	37	0
8	Oct_8_2014	28.13	29.23	29.15	29.01	29.07	28.79	28.92(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-60	-18	-61	7.42	53%	0.07	16.7	0.96%	0	-0.7	42	0
9	Oct_7_2014	28.11	29.21	29.2	28.94	29.08	29.22	28.57(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	50	-19	-77	5.71	51%	0.07	10.6	0.95%	0	-1.5	39	0
10	Oct_6_2014	28.09	29.22	29.2	29.12	29.06	29.35	29.46(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	60	20	-49	6.44	57%	0.11	22.4	0.87%	0	0.6	53	0

11	Oct_3_2014	28.06	29.18	29.26	29.15	29.08	28.95	29.33(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-40	2	-41	4.38	57%	0.11	27.9	0.88%	0	0.3	56	0
12	Oct_2_2014	28.03	29.18	29.3	29.22	29.15	28.77	28.79(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-100	-39	-28	8.52	54%	0.11	39.1	0.85%	0	-0.8	53	0
13	Oct_1_2014	28	29.18	29.4	29.3	29.35	29.21	28.56(-3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-27	-30	-37	4	10.56	54%	0.04	48.1	0.84%	0	-1.3	50	0
14	Sep_30_2014	27.99	29.16	29.52	29.48	29.45	29.53	29.45(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	11	84	6.12	61%	0.11	63.6	0.75%	0	0.6	66	0
15	Sep_29_2014	27.96	29.12	29.51	29.41	29.39	29.49	29.63(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	20	12	94	4.67	61%	0.14	63.3	0.75%	0	1.1	67	0

16	Sep_26_2014	27.92	29.06	29.44	29.38	29.34	29.38	29.69(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	10	2	94	6.26	61%	0.14	65.2	0.75%	0	1.4	66	0
17	Sep_25_2014	27.88	28.99	29.35	29.4	29.37	29.38	29.19(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-20	-18	92	5.97	60%	0.14	68.5	0.72%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Sep_24_2014	27.84	28.94	29.32	29.52	29.52	29.3	29.43(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-50	-20	115	7.61	58%	0.14	74	0.72%	0	1	63	0
19	Sep_23_2014	27.8	28.88	29.23	29.57	29.63	29.45	29.14(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-40	-24	118	5.02	56%	0.14	78	0.75%	0	0.5	61	0
20	Sep_22_2014	27.76	28.83	29.18	29.6	29.69	29.74	29.45(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	44	20	11	142	5.65	59%	0.14	78.3	0.74%	0	1.2	68	0

21	Sep_19_2014	27.72	28.76	29.1	29.49	29.56	29.8	29.82(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	60	41	150	5.38	62%	0.14	77.3	0.73%	0	2	78	0
22	Sep_18_2014	27.68	28.67	29	29.28	29.3	29.64	29.75(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	72	80	50	138	3.75	64%	0.18	76	0.73%	0	2.3	79	0
23	Sep_17_2014	27.63	28.59	28.89	29.09	29.06	29.31	29.7(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	73	60	56	122	8.61	64%	0.14	86.4	0.74%	0	2.6	78	0
24	Sep_16_2014	27.59	28.5	28.77	28.84	28.83	28.97	29.27(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	45	30	31	87	4.75	62%	0.15	95.9	0.72%	0	2.2	76	0
25	Sep_15_2014	27.55	28.43	28.69	28.7	28.7	28.8	28.92(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	20	15	72	4.42	59%		108.3	0.71%	0	1.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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