Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Cisco)
CSCO latest price $21.2177 (-1.22%) ($21.0954 - $21.6433) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $21.2177(-1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSCO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSCO declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(63%)    XHB(45%)    MCHI(15%)    QQQ(15%)    IWO(13%)
Factors Impacting CSCO price   CSCO will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    EMHY(-8%)    BND(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.01(-48.11%)
Resistance Level   $22.45
5 Day Moving Average   $21.12(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.37(-0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.45(-5.49%)
To recent high   -19.6%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $89.114b

Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. CSCO price fluctuates within 5.52% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(56%) Average negative next day return: -2.1%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 5.51%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.61%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.57%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.85%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	24.03	22.45	21.37	21.12	21.23	21.32	21.22(-1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	50	12	-147	24.65	32%	-0.08	-64.1	1.6%	0	-1	29	INF
2	Jan_26_2016	24.05	22.61	21.53	21.02	21.12	21.2	21.48(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-42	40	2	-174	25.16	32%	-0.12	-59.4	1.6%	0	-0.8	29	INF
3	Jan_25_2016	24.08	22.77	21.66	21.04	21.02	21.15	20.98(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-52	40	-4	-195	64.07	29%	-0.08	-56	1.57%	0	-1.3	23	INF
4	Jan_22_2016	24.1	22.95	21.81	21.13	21.14	21.04	21.16(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-63	-30	-11	-220	55.05	32%	-0.08	-56.2	1.58%	0	-1.3	21	INF
5	Jan_21_2016	24.12	23.1	21.99	21.36	21.25	20.9	20.74(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-85	-130	-35	-234	46.27	29%	-0.08	-52.5	1.59%	0	-1.8	14	INF

6	Jan_20_2016	24.14	23.27	22.27	21.67	21.61	21.23	20.74(-3.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-92	-130	-45	-233	83.63	29%	-0.08	-49.5	1.59%	0	-2	14	INF
7	Jan_19_2016	24.16	23.43	22.58	22.11	22.05	21.6	21.6(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-150	-35	-211	52.53	32%	0	-45.2	1.53%	0	-1.7	23	INF
8	Jan_15_2016	24.16	23.56	22.81	22.37	22.4	21.99	21.39(-4.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-77	-120	-35	-203	64.09	32%	-0.08	-44.5	1.51%	0	-2.2	20	INF
9	Jan_14_2016	24.18	23.72	23.12	22.58	22.68	22.51	22.33(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-64	-40	-21	-192	42.9	36%	-0.04	-43.7	1.44%	0	-1.7	24	INF
10	Jan_13_2016	24.19	23.82	23.35	22.71	22.79	22.82	22.28(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	20	-19	-173	33.43	36%	0.04	-44	1.43%	0	-2	32	INF

11	Jan_12_2016	24.18	23.9	23.62	22.97	22.89	22.86	22.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-20	-10	-136	30.12	39%	0	-45.7	1.39%	0	-1.4	40	INF
12	Jan_11_2016	24.18	23.94	23.78	23.14	23.03	22.77	22.88(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-90	-25	-113	32.35	39%	-0.04	-49.6	1.39%	0	-1.6	45	INF
13	Jan_8_2016	24.19	24	23.95	23.35	23.33	22.92	22.44(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-57	-130	-44	-94	28.61	35%	-0.04	-45.7	1.36%	0	-2.6	35	INF
14	Jan_7_2016	24.2	24.09	24.18	23.74	23.58	23.3	23.01(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-48	-100	-46	-55	43.24	38%	-0.08	-42.2	1.34%	0	-2.3	35	INF
15	Jan_6_2016	24.22	24.17	24.31	24.08	23.95	23.74	23.55(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-80	-29	-13	30.8	41%	-0.08	-30.6	1.32%	0	-1.5	45	INF

16	Jan_5_2016	24.24	24.22	24.31	24.36	24.26	23.86	23.81(-0.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-14	-130	-25	21	22.02	48%	-0.08	-9.9	1.33%	0	-1.1	52	INF
17	Jan_4_2016	24.26	24.27	24.36	24.51	24.48	24.15	23.92(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-14	-100	-30	33	35.83	48%	-0.12	1.9	1.43%	0	-0.9	57	INF
18	Dec_31_2015	24.29	24.28	24.36	24.65	24.66	24.67	24.4(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	0	-8	56	17.04	52%	-0.04	8.7	1.41%	0	0.3	54	INF
19	Dec_30_2015	24.3	24.28	24.38	24.69	24.7	24.81	24.74(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	30	14	79	10.62	55%	0	13.3	1.4%	0	1.1	58	INF
20	Dec_29_2015	24.3	24.29	24.32	24.58	24.6	24.66	24.95(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	20	19	66	16.32	55%	0	6.7	1.43%	0	1.7	55	INF

21	Dec_28_2015	24.3	24.29	24.2	24.37	24.42	24.58	24.54(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	50	15	31	14.2	53%	-0.08	-11.8	1.41%	0	0.8	47	INF
22	Dec_24_2015	24.32	24.26	24.1	24.19	24.26	24.55	24.6(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	90	21	-3	8.2	56%	0	-26.1	1.44%	0	0.9	47	INF
23	Dec_23_2015	24.32	24.25	24.04	24.07	24.05	24.27	24.62(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	60	13	-21	18.8	56%	-0.04	-34	1.44%	0	1	54	INF
24	Dec_22_2015	24.33	24.24	23.97	24.04	24.01	23.98	24.16(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10	4	-38	18.97	51%	-0.04	-32.9	1.43%	0	-0.2	44	INF
25	Dec_21_2015	24.34	24.26	23.99	24.03	24.06	23.84	23.93(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-60	-6	-49	20.24	51%		-25.5	1.44%	0	-0.9	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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