Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Cisco)
CSCO latest price $23.3744 (0.83%) ($22.9734 - $23.4006) on Thu. Nov. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $23.3744(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSCO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSCO advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(64%)    XHB(46%)    QQQ(21%)    EEM(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting CSCO price   CSCO will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-7%)    EMHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.15(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.63(3.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.99(6.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $98.172b

Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. CSCO price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.88%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.48%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.76%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.87%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.42%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2014	21.64	21.99	22.63	23.15	23.1	23.17	23.37(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	10	20	200	23.44	56%	0.09	85.1	1.08%	0	1.6	92	0
2	Nov_19_2014	21.62	21.85	22.49	22.96	22.97	23.14	23.18(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	50	34	208	19.88	56%	0.09	84	1.07%	0	1.5	93	0
3	Nov_18_2014	21.6	21.71	22.36	22.7	22.71	23.03	23.19(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	81	100	41	199	27.22	57%	0.05	79.3	1.07%	0	1.8	92	0
4	Nov_17_2014	21.59	21.57	22.21	22.45	22.38	22.8	23.07(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	80	120	45	184	33.22	57%	0.09	74.5	1.08%	0	1.8	92	0
5	Nov_14_2014	21.57	21.41	22.04	22.22	22.13	22.39	22.95(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	70	41	171	48.67	53%	0.09	71.7	1.08%	0	2	92	0

6	Nov_13_2014	21.55	21.28	21.88	22.04	21.92	21.96	22.39(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-0	10	150	57.14	50%	0.05	69	1.09%	0	1.5	90	0
7	Nov_12_2014	21.54	21.15	21.74	21.97	21.91	21.87	21.89(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-20	-3	155	42.26	47%	0.05	60	1.05%	0	1	89	0
8	Nov_11_2014	21.53	21.06	21.66	21.98	21.94	21.89	21.93(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	47	-20	2	181	19.81	47%	0.05	51.6	1.05%	0	1.2	92	0
9	Nov_10_2014	21.52	20.97	21.57	21.93	21.92	21.96	21.93(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	55	10	9	192	32.15	47%	0.05	41.7	1.06%	0	1.3	82	0
10	Nov_7_2014	21.51	20.87	21.45	21.83	21.85	22	22.08(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	50	23	205	34	47%	0	27.8	1.06%	0	1.7	89	0

11	Nov_6_2014	21.51	20.78	21.31	21.68	21.68	21.88	22.02(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	60	30	202	18.37	47%	0.05	12	1.06%	0	1.9	79	0
12	Nov_5_2014	21.5	20.72	21.16	21.48	21.53	21.7	21.93(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	74	60	34	192	21.98	47%	0.05	-2.4	1.06%	0	2	81	0
13	Nov_4_2014	21.49	20.69	21	21.29	21.31	21.47	21.69(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	61	60	23	173	24.62	46%	0.05	-14.4	1.05%	0	1.8	76	0
14	Nov_3_2014	21.48	20.67	20.87	21.15	21.16	21.35	21.43(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	60	26	166	16.38	44%	0	-25	1.05%	0	1.3	72	0
15	Oct_31_2014	21.48	20.68	20.73	21.01	21.04	21.14	21.33(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	40	24	146	30.38	42%	0	-29	1.05%	0	1	73	0

16	Oct_30_2014	21.48	20.7	20.62	20.89	20.87	20.97	20.99(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	30	12	124	32.21	39%	0	-30.3	1.05%	0	0.4	60	0
17	Oct_29_2014	21.48	20.74	20.51	20.8	20.79	20.94	21.01(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	50	25	87	18.89	39%	-0.05	-28.5	1.05%	0	0.4	46	0
18	Oct_28_2014	21.49	20.77	20.41	20.65	20.68	20.77	20.98(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	30	18	24	17.8	39%	0	-31.6	1.05%	0	0.3	41	0
19	Oct_27_2014	21.49	20.81	20.32	20.55	20.58	20.64	20.72(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	20	18	-26	16.86	37%	-0.05	-31.4	1.04%	0	-0.1	38	0
20	Oct_24_2014	21.5	20.86	20.25	20.41	20.49	20.6	20.73(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	50	18	-95	19.95	37%	0	-35.2	1.04%	0	-0.2	34	0

21	Oct_23_2014	21.5	20.9	20.2	20.32	20.32	20.51	20.55(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	70	22	-154	21.67	36%	-0.05	-39.9	1.03%	0	-0.5	29	0
22	Oct_22_2014	21.51	20.94	20.24	20.19	20.22	20.38	20.28(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	60	22	-198	25.17	33%	-0.05	-47.6	1.02%	0	-0.8	30	0
23	Oct_21_2014	21.52	21	20.35	20.13	20.07	20.14	20.5(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-45	20	13	-220	33.71	35%	0	-52.2	1.02%	0	-0.7	32	0
24	Oct_20_2014	21.52	21.05	20.44	20.13	19.98	20.06	19.99(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-66	20	1	-268	34.39	29%	-0.09	-58.2	0.96%	0	-1.4	22	0
25	Oct_17_2014	21.54	21.13	20.61	20.06	20.02	20.01	20.27(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-63	-10	5	-265	28.48	32%		-61.4	0.97%	0	-1.2	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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