Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Cisco)
CSCO latest price $20.5452 (1.31%) ($20.4188 - $20.7153) on Thu. Oct. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $20.5452(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSCO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSCO declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(64%)    XHB(46%)    QQQ(21%)    EEM(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting CSCO price   CSCO will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-7%)    EMHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $20.9
5 Day Moving Average   $20.32(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.2(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.9(-1.7%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $86.29b

Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. CSCO price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.24%(17%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.86%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.97%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.32%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.6%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2014	21.5	20.9	20.2	20.32	20.32	20.51	20.55(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	70	22	-154	21.67	36%	-0.05	-39.9	1.03%	0	-0.5	29	INF
2	Oct_22_2014	21.51	20.94	20.24	20.19	20.22	20.38	20.28(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	60	22	-198	25.17	33%	-0.05	-47.6	1.02%	0	-0.8	30	INF
3	Oct_21_2014	21.52	21	20.35	20.13	20.07	20.14	20.5(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-45	20	13	-220	33.71	35%	0	-52.2	1.02%	0	-0.7	32	INF
4	Oct_20_2014	21.52	21.05	20.44	20.13	19.98	20.06	19.99(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-66	20	1	-268	34.39	29%	-0.09	-58.2	0.96%	0	-1.4	22	INF
5	Oct_17_2014	21.54	21.13	20.61	20.06	19.98	20.01	20.27(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-63	-10	5	-265	28.48	32%	0	-61.4	0.97%	0	-1.2	29	INF

6	Oct_16_2014	21.54	21.21	20.78	20.07	20.02	19.89	19.9(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-100	-50	-39	-281	30.93	30%	-0.09	-63	0.94%	0	-1.8	24	INF
7	Oct_15_2014	21.56	21.31	20.98	20.31	20.21	20.03	20.02(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-94	-80	-48	-230	40.08	30%	-0.05	-59.7	0.96%	0	-2	35	INF
8	Oct_14_2014	21.57	21.41	21.16	20.61	20.55	20.16	20.1(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-82	-140	-49	-179	29.32	30%	-0.09	-51.7	0.97%	0	-2.3	32	INF
9	Oct_13_2014	21.59	21.5	21.35	20.88	20.86	20.4	19.99(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-90	-160	-75	-136	33.23	30%	-0.05	-42.9	0.96%	0	-3	35	INF
10	Oct_10_2014	21.6	21.59	21.54	21.24	21.24	20.94	20.35(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-67	-100	-65	-73	48.31	32%	0	-31.1	0.94%	0	-3.4	35	INF

11	Oct_9_2014	21.6	21.67	21.68	21.59	21.57	21.32	21.09(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-29	-80	-36	-9	29.34	40%	0	-5.7	0.84%	0	-2.5	40	INF
12	Oct_8_2014	21.6	21.67	21.71	21.74	21.76	21.53	21.5(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-20	-70	-28	5	40.35	43%	0.05	20.5	0.83%	0	-1.1	45	INF
13	Oct_7_2014	21.59	21.71	21.71	21.8	21.86	21.82	21.48(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-14	-0	-23	13	29.31	43%	0	28.4	0.83%	0	-1.2	45	INF
14	Oct_6_2014	21.59	21.72	21.72	21.9	21.91	21.98	21.81(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	20	9	31	23.95	46%	0.05	42.5	0.81%	0	0.5	49	INF
15	Oct_3_2014	21.58	21.71	21.7	21.88	21.88	21.89	22.07(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	0	16	29	29.04	48%	0.05	42.2	0.81%	0	2	57	INF

16	Oct_2_2014	21.57	21.68	21.67	21.8	21.77	21.84	21.85(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	20	17	15	28.33	46%	0.14	34.6	0.8%	0	1	51	INF
17	Oct_1_2014	21.54	21.67	21.67	21.67	21.68	21.86	21.82(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	60	18	-8	44.92	46%	0.09	17.6	0.8%	0	0.9	50	INF
18	Sep_30_2014	21.52	21.66	21.66	21.63	21.56	21.71	21.94(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	21	40	29	-4	36.92	46%	0.09	16.2	0.81%	0	1.8	58	INF
19	Sep_29_2014	21.5	21.64	21.64	21.52	21.48	21.5	21.74(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	0	10	-25	28.71	43%	0.09	1.4	0.8%	0	0.7	56	INF
20	Sep_26_2014	21.48	21.63	21.63	21.49	21.45	21.42	21.63(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-16	-20	-9	-35	29.86	43%	0.09	4.3	0.8%	0	0	52	INF

21	Sep_25_2014	21.46	21.62	21.64	21.53	21.51	21.45	21.23(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-23	-20	-20	-30	27.24	37%	0.09	10.1	0.77%	0	-2.6	40	INF
22	Sep_24_2014	21.44	21.64	21.64	21.64	21.61	21.49	21.61(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-40	-14	4	19.7	41%	0.09	40	0.74%	0	-0.2	53	INF
23	Sep_23_2014	21.42	21.63	21.7	21.68	21.69	21.58	21.37(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-17	-30	-24	5	20.75	37%	0.05	53.3	0.73%	0	-2	41	INF
24	Sep_22_2014	21.41	21.64	21.7	21.77	21.76	21.73	21.61(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10	-9	31	21.35	40%	0.09	76.7	0.72%	0	-0.2	55	INF
25	Sep_19_2014	21.39	21.62	21.72	21.79	21.79	21.8	21.8(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	0	3	39	47.34	43%		75.4	0.71%	0	1.2	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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