Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: CSCO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Cisco)
CSCO latest price $21.8305 (0.8%) ($21.6401 - $21.9516) on Mon. Aug. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $21.8305(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CSCO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CSCO declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CSCO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(64%)    XHB(46%)    QQQ(22%)    SPY(19%)    EEM(18%)
Factors Impacting CSCO price   CSCO will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    EMHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $22.05
5 Day Moving Average   $21.63(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.77(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.05(-1%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $91.688b

Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. CSCO price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.15%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2014	20.82	22.05	21.77	21.63	21.63	21.67	21.83(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	10	7	-94	25.96	62%	0.14	-30	1.03%	0	-0.7	34	0
2	Aug_8_2014	20.79	22.06	21.83	21.63	21.59	21.56	21.66(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10	-2	-100	21.66	62%	0.14	-28.7	1.03%	0	-1.2	32	0
3	Aug_7_2014	20.76	22.09	21.9	21.62	21.62	21.59	21.51(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10	-7	-104	24.12	62%	0.14	-26.2	1.03%	0	-1.8	27	0
4	Aug_6_2014	20.73	22.12	21.99	21.68	21.64	21.62	21.57(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10	-14	-95	20.99	62%	0.19	-17.6	1.03%	0	-1.9	37	0
5	Aug_5_2014	20.69	22.14	22.06	21.8	21.72	21.65	21.61(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-30	-17	-85	21.18	62%	0.15	0.8	1.04%	0	-1.9	32	0

6	Aug_4_2014	20.66	22.15	22.14	21.93	21.87	21.67	21.77(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-70	-23	-66	17.25	62%	0.19	21.4	1.03%	0	-1.5	43	0
7	Aug_1_2014	20.62	22.16	22.2	22.06	22.04	21.8	21.63(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-36	-80	-33	-43	28.61	62%	0.05	46.2	1.03%	0	-2	45	0
8	Jul_31_2014	20.61	22.16	22.29	22.23	22.21	22.08	21.83(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-40	-22	-7	28.23	62%	0.05	83.3	1.03%	0	-1.4	47	0
9	Jul_30_2014	20.6	22.17	22.33	22.33	22.32	22.29	22.18(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10	-4	20	26.12	68%	0.1	100	1.01%	0	0	56	0
10	Jul_29_2014	20.58	22.14	22.33	22.34	22.34	22.34	22.25(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	0	-4	33	22.44	68%	0.05	95.4	1.01%	0	0.4	57	0

11	Jul_28_2014	20.57	22.1	22.36	22.38	22.31	22.36	22.43(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	10	0	54	27.69	68%	0.1	90.6	1.01%	0	1	69	0
12	Jul_25_2014	20.55	22.04	22.32	22.37	22.31	22.35	22.47(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-0	5	61	28.64	63%	0.1	79.2	1%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Jul_24_2014	20.53	21.97	22.28	22.36	22.31	22.27	22.35(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-30	-1	64	21.88	63%	0.15	72.5	1.02%	0	1	64	0
14	Jul_23_2014	20.5	21.92	22.25	22.33	22.35	22.35	22.22(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	0	-8	65	28.76	63%	0.05	68.2	1.03%	0	0.7	65	0
15	Jul_22_2014	20.49	21.87	22.23	22.38	22.37	22.42	22.45(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	10	9	94	28.74	66%	0.15	68	1.02%	0	1.3	74	0

16	Jul_21_2014	20.46	21.8	22.16	22.33	22.34	22.35	22.37(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	0	10	98	20.83	66%	0.1	67.5	1.02%	0	1.3	76	0
17	Jul_18_2014	20.44	21.75	22.11	22.26	22.27	22.31	22.42(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	10	7	103	25.47	66%	0.1	67.7	1.02%	0	1.6	79	0
18	Jul_17_2014	20.42	21.69	22.04	22.19	22.21	22.34	22.18(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	40	9	112	29.57	64%	0.1	66	1.02%	0	1.2	77	0
19	Jul_16_2014	20.4	21.64	21.99	22.16	22.16	22.24	22.48(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	30	19	126	40.48	70%	0.15	62.4	1.01%	0	2	85	0
20	Jul_15_2014	20.37	21.56	21.9	22.07	22.05	22.08	22.21(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	10	11	124	29.5	67%	0.1	55.7	1%	0	1.7	85	0

21	Jul_14_2014	20.35	21.5	21.81	21.96	22.01	22.09	22.01(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	30	9	115	19.24	71%	0.1	48.5	0.99%	0	1.4	74	0
22	Jul_11_2014	20.33	21.46	21.73	21.93	21.93	22.02	22.08(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	30	12	108	20.95	71%	0.1	46.8	1.01%	0	1.8	71	0
23	Jul_10_2014	20.31	21.41	21.64	21.87	21.84	21.93	22.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	34	20	12	99	27.28	63%	0.1	46.2	1.02%	0	1.9	72	0
24	Jul_9_2014	20.29	21.38	21.56	21.8	21.8	21.84	22.01(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	10	15	90	35.61	63%	0.1	51.9	1.06%	0	2.3	73	0
25	Jul_8_2014	20.27	21.35	21.47	21.7	21.73	21.75	21.69(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	10	8	76	34.62	59%		55.4	1.05%	0	1.4	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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