Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 18, 2023

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $681.8200 (3.29%) ($681.8200 - $681.8500) on Mon. Dec. 18, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $681.8200(3.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    XLK(59%)    IWF(58%)    VUG(56%)    TBT(48%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
JETS(-95%)    XHB(-41%)    IGOV(-49%)    TIP(-39%)    BND(-35%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $648.74(5.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $631.66(7.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $612.12(11.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.8%
Market Cap   $301.039b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 4.26% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.76%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.96%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.15%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -3.68%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.49%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.69%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2023	569.2	612.12	631.66	648.74	653.58	670.96	681.82(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	1210	210	1357	767	4.18	63%	0.21	66.9	1.25%	1.4	2.7	86	0.8
2	Dec_15_2023	568.01	606.65	623.1	637.16	640.52	645.6	660.09(4.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	595	70	644	447	5.86	58%	0.17	66.8	1.2%	1.7	2.5	82	0.8
3	Dec_14_2023	567.02	602.38	616.5	627.42	631.48	636.21	631.36(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	197	70	183	240	3.29	54%	0.12	68.2	1.09%	-0.1	1.6	78	1.6
4	Dec_13_2023	566.36	600.48	612.65	623.34	626.55	635.44	640.84(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	577	110	633	407	1.85	56%	0.13	75.5	1.08%	2.2	2.4	87	1.4
5	Dec_12_2023	565.61	597.79	607.23	616.69	618.97	626.75	629.58(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	541	100	599	368	1.64	54%	0.12	85.3	1.06%	1.1	2.3	87	1.6

6	Dec_11_2023	564.95	595.14	603.49	611.83	613.47	617.66	623.91(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	418	60	457	301	1.57	56%	0.12	89.3	1.05%	1.5	2.4	87	1.4
7	Dec_8_2023	564.29	592.7	600.42	606.92	608.81	611.19	611.41(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	189	40	189	187	1.02	53%	0.1	95.6	1.04%	1.1	1.7	85	1.2
8	Dec_7_2023	563.75	590.34	598.37	603.86	605.8	609.27	610.96(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	244	50	255	211	1.13	53%	0.1	86.2	1.04%	1.6	1.8	82	1
9	Dec_6_2023	563.17	588.15	596.13	600.18	602.09	606.44	607.58(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	292	60	319	212	1.43	53%	0.1	83	1.04%	1.1	1.7	56	1.2
10	Dec_5_2023	562.63	586.26	593.74	596.22	598.33	602.32	605.31(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	306	60	342	196	1.5	53%	0.09	83.5	1.04%	1.2	1.7	59	1.3

11	Dec_4_2023	562.11	584.43	591.24	593.89	594.39	597.73	599.33(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	188	40	207	132	1.09	53%	0.09	88.4	1.04%	1.4	1.4	64	1.4
12	Dec_1_2023	561.58	582.56	589.04	593.03	592.97	594.34	596.13(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	159	20	174	115	1.05	51%	0.1	91.1	1.04%	1.5	1.2	64	1.3
13	Nov_30_2023	561	580.6	587.28	592.09	592.51	591.05	592.54(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-20	-16	47	1.01	53%	0.1	86.3	1.06%	0.2	1	69	1.4
14	Nov_29_2023	560.45	578.86	587.5	591.43	592.24	591.61	587.78(-0.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-71	-0	-106	35	1.31	55%	0.1	83.9	1.06%	-1.5	0.7	64	1.3
15	Nov_28_2023	559.87	577.17	587.76	590.67	592.16	593.97	593.66(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	133	30	129	145	0.86	55%	0.12	76.6	1.06%	-0.7	1.2	65	1.5

16	Nov_27_2023	559.19	575.25	586.25	588.02	589.74	592.86	595.02(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	213	50	224	178	1.62	55%	0.13	72.3	1.06%	0.9	1.4	66	1.3
17	Nov_24_2023	558.48	572.65	584.4	584.41	586.39	590.36	591.44(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	265	60	287	200	0.64	53%	0.13	57.6	1.06%	0	1.3	69	1.4
18	Nov_22_2023	557.78	570.49	581.72	581.8	582.78	586.62	589.27(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	235	50	253	180	0.8	51%	0.06	46.6	1.07%	1.4	1.3	71	1.2
19	Nov_21_2023	557.47	568.53	579.58	583.21	580.58	582.42	583.96(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	10	71	126	0.92	51%	0.08	43.8	1.08%	1.4	1.1	68	1.3
20	Nov_20_2023	557.03	566.95	578.24	584.58	583.67	578.94	580.41(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-60	-42	107	1.07	51%	0.08	41.1	1.08%	0.8	0.9	69	1.4

21	Nov_17_2023	556.61	565.54	577.18	584.17	585.55	578.74	576.99(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-347	-70	-448	-42	1.3	48%	0.08	34.7	1.08%	-0.8	0.8	66	1.5
22	Nov_16_2023	556.16	564.33	575.75	584.11	585.58	588.4	578.38(-3.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-85	40	-145	96	2.38	48%	0.09	31.7	1.11%	-1.5	1	73	1.5
23	Nov_15_2023	555.68	563.6	573.67	581.13	584.71	592.35	596.31(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	652	110	720	447	1.41	52%	0.12	26.7	1.04%	1	2.4	79	1.6
24	Nov_14_2023	555.02	562.22	569.59	575.34	576.41	582.76	590.8(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	399	80	429	307	2.04	52%	0.12	20.5	1.04%	1.6	2.4	75	1.5
25	Nov_13_2023	554.34	561.11	565.65	571.23	571.51	577.07	578.35(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	373	70	404	279	1.65	49%		16.9	1.01%	1.1	1.7	68	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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