Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 5, 2023

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $605.3050 (1%) ($605.3050 - $605.3050) on Tue. Dec. 5, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $605.3050(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(56%)    IWF(48%)    VUG(45%)    QQQ(43%)    XLK(43%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-56%)    XLE(-48%)    UUP(-39%)    XHB(-35%)    TIP(-35%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $596.22(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $593.74(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $586.26(3.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $267.256b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.33%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.82%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2023	562.63	586.26	593.74	596.22	598.33	602.32	605.31(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	306	60	342	196	1.5	53%	0.09	83.5	1.04%	1.2	1.7	59	1.3
2	Dec_4_2023	562.11	584.43	591.24	593.89	594.39	597.73	599.33(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	188	40	207	132	1.09	53%	0.09	88.4	1.04%	1.4	1.4	64	1.4
3	Dec_1_2023	561.58	582.56	589.04	593.03	592.97	594.34	596.13(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	159	20	174	115	1.05	51%	0.1	91.1	1.04%	1.5	1.2	64	1.3
4	Nov_30_2023	561	580.6	587.28	592.09	592.51	591.05	592.54(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-20	-16	47	1.01	53%	0.1	86.3	1.06%	0.2	1	69	1.4
5	Nov_29_2023	560.45	578.86	587.5	591.43	592.24	591.61	587.78(-0.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-71	-0	-106	35	1.31	55%	0.1	83.9	1.06%	-1.5	0.7	64	1.3

6	Nov_28_2023	559.87	577.17	587.76	590.67	592.16	593.97	593.66(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	133	30	129	145	0.86	55%	0.12	76.6	1.06%	-0.7	1.2	65	1.5
7	Nov_27_2023	559.19	575.25	586.25	588.02	589.74	592.86	595.02(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	213	50	224	178	1.62	55%	0.13	72.3	1.06%	0.9	1.4	66	1.3
8	Nov_24_2023	558.48	572.65	584.4	584.41	586.39	590.36	591.44(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	265	60	287	200	0.64	53%	0.13	57.6	1.06%	0	1.3	69	1.4
9	Nov_22_2023	557.78	570.49	581.72	581.8	582.78	586.62	589.27(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	235	50	253	180	0.8	51%	0.06	46.6	1.07%	1.4	1.3	71	1.2
10	Nov_21_2023	557.47	568.53	579.58	583.21	580.58	582.42	583.96(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	10	71	126	0.92	51%	0.08	43.8	1.08%	1.4	1.1	68	1.3

11	Nov_20_2023	557.03	566.95	578.24	584.58	583.67	578.94	580.41(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-60	-42	107	1.07	51%	0.08	41.1	1.08%	0.8	0.9	69	1.4
12	Nov_17_2023	556.61	565.54	577.18	584.17	585.55	578.74	576.99(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-347	-70	-448	-42	1.3	48%	0.08	34.7	1.08%	-0.8	0.8	66	1.5
13	Nov_16_2023	556.16	564.33	575.75	584.11	585.58	588.4	578.38(-3.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-85	40	-145	96	2.38	48%	0.09	31.7	1.11%	-1.5	1	73	1.5
14	Nov_15_2023	555.68	563.6	573.67	581.13	584.71	592.35	596.31(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	652	110	720	447	1.41	52%	0.12	26.7	1.04%	1	2.4	79	1.6
15	Nov_14_2023	555.02	562.22	569.59	575.34	576.41	582.76	590.8(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	399	80	429	307	2.04	52%	0.12	20.5	1.04%	1.6	2.4	75	1.5

16	Nov_13_2023	554.34	561.11	565.65	571.23	571.51	577.07	578.35(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	373	70	404	279	1.65	49%	0.1	16.9	1.01%	1.1	1.7	68	1.4
17	Nov_10_2023	553.79	560.64	563.25	569.41	569.79	570.06	576.73(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	260	10	273	221	1.26	49%	0.1	18.7	1.01%	1.9	1.7	67	1.4
18	Nov_9_2023	553.26	559.98	559.81	566.31	567.85	565.94	563.48(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-117	-20	-164	23	1.29	46%	0.08	15	0.97%	-1.1	0.4	60	0.9
19	Nov_8_2023	552.83	559.97	558.33	564.81	567.38	569.51	567.33(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	96	40	94	101	0.79	46%	0.09	7.5	0.97%	-1.1	0.8	49	1.6
20	Nov_7_2023	552.35	559.82	556.59	562.69	564.18	569.76	570.26(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	308	80	354	169	0.88	48%	0.03	-2.5	0.96%	0.7	1.2	44	1.7

21	Nov_6_2023	552.16	559.4	554.69	559.13	560.8	565.24	569.27(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	404	60	480	177	1.35	48%	0.08	-14.9	0.97%	1.5	1.1	44	1.9
22	Nov_3_2023	551.7	558.85	552.86	556.26	556.7	558.61	561.22(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	155	30	198	26	1.25	46%	0.06	-30.9	0.97%	2.7	0.3	39	1.9
23	Nov_2_2023	551.37	558.67	551.93	552.4	554.51	556.36	555.99(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	144	30	196	-13	1.45	46%	0.06	-45.8	0.97%	0.8	-0.3	41	1.9
24	Nov_1_2023	551.06	559.32	552.71	550.82	550.99	554.79	556.73(0.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	129	50	182	-29	1.09	45%	0.07	-49.4	0.97%	1.6	-0.3	44	1.6
25	Oct_31_2023	550.7	560.02	554.16	549.53	548.83	552.65	552.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	231	40	302	18	0.93	45%		-49.7	0.97%	0.8	-0.8	39	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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