Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 2, 2023

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $570.3100 (0.9%) ($570.3100 - $570.3100) on Mon. Oct. 2, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $570.3100(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(57%)    IVW(45%)    IWF(44%)    QQQ(44%)    DIA(43%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-31%)    UUP(-31%)    VIXM(-30%)    GLD(-25%)    SLV(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $564.28(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $562.46(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $559.03(2.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $251.805b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(59%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 0.96%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.6%(44%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.46%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2023	539.02	559.03	562.46	564.28	565.81	567.78	570.31(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	168	30	190	100	1.32	54%	0.13	74	0.91%	1.3	1.6	58	-1.1
2	Sep_29_2023	538.33	557.72	561.57	561.95	561.51	567.06	565.25(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	209	70	242	110	1.23	56%	0.12	71.5	0.92%	-0.4	1	55	-1.3
3	Sep_28_2023	537.67	556.97	560.69	560.53	559.62	563.84	568.87(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	450	50	526	221	1.68	56%	0.13	79.1	0.92%	1.2	1.7	65	-0.9
4	Sep_27_2023	536.96	555.64	560.17	557.73	556.94	555.96	563.5(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-20	42	27	4.59	56%	0.12	69.5	0.91%	2.2	1.1	63	-1.6
5	Sep_26_2023	536.31	554.6	559.73	558.05	556.56	555.4	553.45(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-205	-20	-249	-72	2.02	54%	0.1	71.3	0.9%	-1.8	-0.2	60	-3

6	Sep_25_2023	535.75	553.8	560.35	560.35	559.55	557.91	558.68(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-30	-20	-53	38	1.31	55%	0.12	66.5	0.89%	-1.1	0.6	66	-1.5
7	Sep_22_2023	535.12	552.59	560.41	561.1	561.37	557.71	558.13(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-176	-40	-231	-10	0.95	55%	0.13	57.2	0.89%	-0.3	0.6	66	-1
8	Sep_21_2023	534.43	551.33	559.74	560.76	562.45	561.19	554.88(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-162	-10	-215	-4	1.67	55%	0.12	45	0.89%	-1.7	0.3	55	-0.9
9	Sep_20_2023	533.77	550.64	559.28	562.79	562.17	565.03	565.1(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	97	30	82	142	0.84	59%	0.14	42	0.86%	0.9	1.4	72	-0
10	Sep_19_2023	533.04	549.25	557.41	561.65	562.16	563.71	564.96(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	290	20	309	231	0.74	59%	0.14	31.4	0.86%	1.5	1.5	71	0.9

11	Sep_18_2023	532.31	548.15	555.45	560.43	560.77	559.32	562.45(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-20	-35	98	0.67	59%	0.12	22.2	0.87%	0.4	1.5	75	1
12	Sep_15_2023	531.69	547.19	553.64	559.71	559.71	560.62	556.4(-1.53%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-50	10	-95	84	2.65	57%	0.11	12.7	0.87%	-1.1	1	74	1
13	Sep_14_2023	531.12	546.69	553.03	558.47	559.93	562.23	565.05(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	330	40	347	280	0.8	60%	0.14	1.9	0.85%	1.7	2.1	85	1.5
14	Sep_13_2023	530.4	546.22	550.68	555.19	556.22	558.8	559.41(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	179	40	175	192	0.8	59%	0.11	-9.3	0.85%	0.7	1.6	67	1.3
15	Sep_12_2023	529.82	546.05	548.95	552.48	553.53	557.63	558.85(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	330	60	355	253	1.06	59%	0.09	-18	0.85%	0.9	1.6	69	1

16	Sep_11_2023	529.32	546.03	546.6	549.73	550.44	553.64	558.83(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	333	40	367	229	1.39	59%	0.1	-24.7	0.85%	1.8	1.5	60	1.3
17	Sep_8_2023	528.78	546.06	543.99	546.78	547.45	549.42	550.21(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	170	30	185	125	0.55	59%	0.09	-28.1	0.83%	0.7	0.5	54	1.3
18	Sep_7_2023	528.31	546.52	542.17	546.83	545.93	547.25	548.63(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	10	89	66	0.91	59%	0.1	-25.1	0.86%	1.1	0.2	49	1.2
19	Sep_6_2023	527.76	546.99	541.29	545.49	546.49	545.49	545.86(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	75	-10	88	35	0.92	59%	0.1	-24.2	0.86%	0.4	-0.1	37	1.4
20	Sep_5_2023	527.25	547.51	540.45	544.81	545.51	544.61	545.12(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-121	-10	-134	-83	1.03	61%	0.17	-25.3	0.87%	-0.4	-0.2	37	1.7

21	Sep_1_2023	526.38	548.13	540.28	542.84	544.86	547.49	544.11(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	109	40	147	-5	1.02	61%	0.09	-31.9	0.87%	-0.2	-0.4	34	2.3
22	Aug_31_2023	525.9	548.54	540.23	540.61	542.65	546.42	550.42(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	328	60	416	65	1.36	64%	0.12	-42.9	0.86%	1.6	0.2	36	2.3
23	Aug_30_2023	525.28	548.86	539.77	536.84	538.17	542.23	541.97(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	213	60	294	-32	0.87	61%	0.09	-55.4	0.84%	1.1	-0.7	29	2.2
24	Aug_29_2023	524.83	549.38	541.27	536.55	535.54	538.89	542.44(1.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	221	40	306	-33	1.02	61%	0.1	-63.7	0.84%	2	-0.7	32	1.7
25	Aug_28_2023	524.33	550.03	542.73	535.6	535.06	534.11	535.28(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	32	-20	85	-129	0.62	59%		-71.2	0.84%	0.3	-1.5	28	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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