Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2023

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $501.8300 (-0.82%) ($501.8300 - $501.8300) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $501.8300(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(33%)    ARKK(28%)    BLOK(24%)    SPY(24%)    DIA(23%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    USO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV -0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $506.08
5 Day Moving Average   $504.86(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $505.13(-0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $506.08(-0.84%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $221.569b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.91%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.85%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.89%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2023	490.49	506.08	505.13	504.86	505.24	503.91	501.83(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-20	-42	-55	1.21	45%	0.09	63.4	1.69%	-0.7	-0.5	45	0.7
2	Feb_17_2023	490.05	505.72	506.41	505.79	505.7	504.98	505.99(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10	-41	-44	0.95	45%	0.06	58.2	1.67%	-0	0	53	0.2
3	Feb_16_2023	489.77	504.55	507.17	504.59	505.52	506.57	504.11(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	18	20	29	-15	1.45	45%	0.03	44.5	1.67%	-0.1	-0	52	-0.3
4	Feb_15_2023	489.63	503.03	508.99	503.9	504.23	506.42	509.17(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	30	102	27	0.93	51%	0.07	36.1	1.67%	1.7	0.5	60	0.1
5	Feb_14_2023	489.31	501.63	509.83	502.93	501.95	504.46	503.22(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	30	53	22	1.26	51%	0.04	33.2	1.71%	0	0.1	63	-0.2

6	Feb_13_2023	489.1	500.88	510.58	505.58	502.61	502.04	506.47(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-30	33	35	1.45	51%	0.09	41	1.71%	1	0.4	63	0.1
7	Feb_10_2023	488.67	499.86	510.4	507.31	504.84	499.45	499.98(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-153	-90	-191	-40	1.54	57%	0.03	44.9	1.7%	-1	0	59	0.2
8	Feb_9_2023	488.54	499.03	510.92	510.19	509.05	503.19	500.64(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-211	-90	-266	-46	1.52	57%	0.02	59.3	1.8%	-1.6	0.1	68	-0.9
9	Feb_8_2023	488.46	498.26	510.94	514.75	512.63	510.24	504.34(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-150	-40	-205	15	1.53	57%	0.01	75.8	1.8%	-1.4	0.4	75	-0.8
10	Feb_7_2023	488.41	497.15	509.78	517.57	516.74	514.92	516.46(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-30	-18	111	1.93	62%	0.02	89.3	1.78%	0.5	1.3	73	-0.9

11	Feb_6_2023	488.3	495.24	507.38	516.24	517.8	515.01	515.13(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-29	-30	-69	91	1.17	62%	0.02	96.7	1.78%	-0.8	1.3	66	-1.1
12	Feb_3_2023	488.19	493.56	505.17	513.89	516.33	518.55	514.36(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	40	-3	116	1.3	62%	0.02	105.8	1.78%	-0.5	1.4	66	-0.9
13	Feb_2_2023	488.08	490.45	501.85	511.66	513.39	520.59	523.47(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	270	110	284	226	2.28	56%	0.03	89.8	1.76%	1.1	2	74	-1.4
14	Feb_1_2023	487.91	487.08	496.56	506.63	508.17	514.11	518.44(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	289	90	315	210	1.37	56%	0.02	83.4	1.81%	3.3	2	70	-1.5
15	Jan_31_2023	487.83	483.79	492.56	500.94	503.14	506.19	509.78(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	187	60	201	143	1.22	53%	-0.06	72.1	1.8%	2.2	1.7	68	-1.8

16	Jan_30_2023	488.13	481.08	490.1	497.3	498.19	502.22	503.4(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	107	60	109	99	1.86	53%	-0.07	69.1	1.81%	0.5	1.5	68	-1.8
17	Jan_27_2023	488.48	478.73	488.15	495.14	495.44	500.09	503.19(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	202	70	223	138	2.03	56%	-0.05	63.5	1.85%	1.6	1.6	63	-1.7
18	Jan_26_2023	488.74	476.21	485.89	490.49	492.19	494.17	498.33(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	164	40	178	123	1.11	56%	-0.07	55.1	1.85%	2	1.5	76	-1.6
19	Jan_25_2023	489.07	474.19	484.3	484.86	487.59	490.79	490(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	99	60	102	89	1.01	56%	-0.06	44.6	1.83%	0.3	1.1	69	-1.6
20	Jan_24_2023	489.37	472.77	483.4	482.78	482.64	490.22	491.57(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	194	110	210	144	1.13	60%	0.01	41.3	1.83%	0.7	1.3	71	-1.5

21	Jan_23_2023	489.34	471.08	482.06	481.85	479.65	484.4	492.62(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	237	60	258	173	2.71	60%	-0.06	39.1	1.89%	1.6	1.5	69	-1.6
22	Jan_20_2023	489.61	469.46	480.93	480.35	479.15	475.06	479.93(2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-70	-17	75	1.75	60%	-0.1	31.4	1.9%	0.7	0.8	65	-1.3
23	Jan_19_2023	490.12	468.36	478.27	480.73	480.46	474.89	470.18(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-211	-80	-273	-25	1.42	58%	-0.11	22.4	1.89%	-1.3	0.1	63	-1.2
24	Jan_18_2023	490.68	467.82	477.22	483.46	483.37	483.25	479.6(-1.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-54	-0	-92	60	1.44	63%	-0.09	18.4	1.87%	-1.4	0.9	64	-1.1
25	Jan_17_2023	491.13	466.93	474.75	483.82	484.43	486.03	486.9(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	109	30	100	135	1.13	65%		12.1	1.87%	1.2	1.5	65	-1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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