Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 15, 2022

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $542.5000 (3.17%) ($542.5000 - $543.7900) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $542.5000(3.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(61%)    DIA(60%)    IVW(60%)    IWF(59%)    QQQ(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-17%)    TBT(-9%)    EDOC(-7%)    VXX(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 2.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $531.11(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $529.55(2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $521.03(4.12%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $239.526b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -3%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.71%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.31%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2022	523.83	521.03	529.55	531.11	532.31	534.34	542.5(3.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	322	30	358	215	1.95	45%	0.11	32.6	1.48%	2.1	1.9	78	-2.8
2	Mar_14_2022	523.28	519.23	527.44	527.28	528.54	526.29	525.86(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-85	-20	-120	22	1.52	38%	0.08	22.2	1.51%	-0.8	0.6	67	-1.8
3	Mar_11_2022	522.84	518.55	526.79	527.84	527.86	530.27	526.81(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	30	-20	70	1.67	38%	0.1	20.7	1.52%	0.1	0.8	58	0.6
4	Mar_10_2022	522.32	518.08	525.96	527.63	528.01	530.79	533.66(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	218	40	233	173	1.41	46%	0.13	19.1	1.52%	1.2	1.6	59	0.9
5	Mar_9_2022	521.66	517.69	523.25	527.54	525.12	525.46	526.71(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10	-14	62	2.25	46%	0.12	22.3	1.74%	-0.1	0.9	59	-0.8

6	Mar_8_2022	521.05	517.39	520.34	527.77	526.25	525.23	523.35(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-20	2	59	3.45	45%	0.12	30.3	1.74%	-0.5	0.6	56	-1.2
7	Mar_7_2022	520.42	516.96	518.33	527.54	526.92	524.79	528.67(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-21	-30	-41	39	3.89	46%	0.15	35.5	1.76%	-0.1	1.2	63	-1.6
8	Mar_4_2022	519.63	516.43	516.62	525.46	525.46	527.27	525.77(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-13	20	-30	37	4.42	46%	0.15	44.9	1.75%	-0.5	1	58	-1.2
9	Mar_3_2022	518.84	516.15	515.5	523.83	524.46	529.05	533.18(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	203	60	227	132	3.78	46%	0.17	60.7	1.76%	0.8	1.9	57	-0.8
10	Mar_2_2022	517.94	515.51	513.23	518.31	520.83	523.66	527.88(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	180	50	208	95	2.52	46%	0.16	70.4	1.76%	0.9	1.5	47	-1

11	Mar_1_2022	517.1	514.51	511.63	511.8	515.83	519.86	522.22(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	144	80	174	52	1.66	45%	0.14	69.1	1.76%	1	1	49	-1.8
12	Feb_28_2022	516.36	513.64	510.08	507.73	509.25	518.01	518.25(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	187	130	231	56	1.51	44%	0.13	63.6	1.79%	0.7	0.6	51	-1
13	Feb_25_2022	515.67	512.36	509.37	506.56	505.96	511.79	517.64(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	277	80	339	89	1.65	44%	0.13	55.2	1.79%	1.3	0.6	48	-0.7
14	Feb_24_2022	515	510.77	509.28	506.19	504.62	500.49	505.57(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-70	-35	-65	2.15	42%	0.11	45.9	1.78%	0.5	-0.5	40	-1.1
15	Feb_23_2022	514.43	509.81	511.47	507.55	507.1	500.13	495.32(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-279	-100	-315	-170	2.02	40%	0.1	41.5	1.76%	-1.8	-1.1	32	-1.5

16	Feb_22_2022	513.93	509.18	514.25	511.24	510.74	508.74	501.9(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-168	-30	-191	-100	1.68	41%	0.25	41.7	1.76%	-1.4	-0.5	49	-0.8
17	Feb_18_2022	512.63	508.67	515.75	512.4	512.9	514.07	512.39(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	20	59	10	1.5	43%	0.13	36.6	1.74%	0.4	0.2	57	-1.1
18	Feb_17_2022	511.98	507.27	516.49	512.39	511.73	512.74	515.75(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	10	42	21	1.53	43%	0.13	25.5	1.74%	1.2	0.5	67	-1
19	Feb_16_2022	511.33	505.7	517.06	512.96	510.88	511.74	512.41(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-0	-12	25	1.77	44%	0.13	14.6	1.74%	1.2	0.4	70	0.3
20	Feb_15_2022	510.67	504.6	518.12	516.25	512.86	510.71	513.74(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-50	-45	50	1.04	44%	0.11	11.3	1.75%	0.4	0.6	71	-0.1

21	Feb_14_2022	510.12	503.35	517.76	517.94	516.45	510.02	507.69(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-154	-100	-209	12	1.29	44%	0.08	6	1.74%	-1.2	0.3	71	-1
22	Feb_11_2022	509.71	503.09	517.7	519.48	520.07	515.01	512.36(-1.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-177	-60	-242	17	1.87	45%	0	-0.6	1.74%	-1.6	0.6	64	-1
23	Feb_10_2022	509.69	503.17	515.88	520.96	520.82	522.87	518.59(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-24	30	-66	103	1.65	45%	0.13	-6.6	1.74%	-1.1	0.9	70	0.1
24	Feb_9_2022	509.01	503.32	512.62	521.62	520.79	525.14	528.88(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	217	50	215	223	2.2	47%	0.16	-11.9	1.72%	0.8	1.5	76	0.6
25	Feb_8_2022	508.22	502.73	508.11	520.43	519.24	518.78	522.2(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	93	-10	70	160	1.18	45%		-25.4	1.72%	1.2	1.2	68	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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