Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Dec. 12, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $558.8450 (6.64%) ($558.8450 - $558.8450) on Sun. Dec. 12, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $558.8450(6.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $537.61(3.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $536.61(4.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $535.28(4.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.16%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.15%(25%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.3%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.43%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2021	474.92	535.28	536.61	537.61	538.79	541.42	558.85(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	524	40	622	231	5.15	63%	0.3	60.7	1.48%	1.7	2.1	60	0.9
2	Dec_9_2021	473.48	532.93	534.98	531.67	532.39	527.29	524.05(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-340	-60	-389	-194	2.99	57%	0.24	46.8	1.24%	-1.1	-0.8	49	0.3
3	Dec_8_2021	472.36	532.2	537.48	531.76	533.68	536.16	530.59(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	40	-17	-28	2.59	59%	0.25	43.7	1.23%	-1.1	-0.1	54	0.6
4	Dec_7_2021	471.2	531.24	538.96	531.58	532.17	537.49	541.3(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	286	70	339	128	1.62	61%	0.28	44.8	1.2%	1.3	0.8	60	-0.1
5	Dec_6_2021	469.9	529.45	538.85	531.19	529.14	531.2	533.25(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	114	20	132	61	1.76	60%	0.27	45.4	1.2%	1.1	0.3	61	-1.4

6	Dec_3_2021	468.64	528.5	539.03	535.66	530.58	526.84	529.15(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-145	-80	-184	-28	2.02	60%	0.25	60.3	1.21%	-0.6	0	61	-2.2
7	Dec_2_2021	467.45	527.85	539.29	539.06	537.19	527.07	524.53(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-373	-140	-462	-104	2.47	61%	0.25	74.1	1.2%	-1.3	-0.2	62	-1.7
8	Dec_1_2021	466.28	526.88	539.78	543.96	543.02	534.32	529.69(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-540	-120	-672	-142	2.86	61%	0.27	83.3	1.2%	-1.9	0.2	69	-2.6
9	Nov_30_2021	465.03	525.38	539.76	547.07	547.87	547.31	539.33(-2.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-155	-0	-232	76	4.09	65%	0.29	86.7	1.16%	-1.5	0.8	73	-2
10	Nov_29_2021	463.69	523.09	537.93	547.31	549.47	551.73	555.6(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	279	40	269	309	2.1	70%	0.32	83.8	1.09%	1.2	1.8	90	-0.3

11	Nov_26_2021	462.23	519.85	534.09	542.94	545.71	548.44	546.13(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	188	50	167	252	1.78	68%	0.43	82.7	1.08%	0	1.5	74	-3.8
12	Nov_24_2021	460.24	517.04	530.75	539.63	542.18	547.2	549.03(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	350	80	362	314	1.23	68%	0.33	80	1.07%	1.9	1.8	74	0.8
13	Nov_23_2021	458.72	514.02	526.43	535.11	536.87	542.97	545.24(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	392	90	417	315	1.77	67%	0.19	82	1.08%	1.3	1.8	78	0.9
14	Nov_22_2021	457.84	511	522.72	531.46	532.01	537.16	540.57(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	380	70	405	303	1.51	67%	0.32	87.5	1.08%	1.4	1.8	79	0.7
15	Nov_19_2021	456.39	508.38	519.01	527.17	528.62	530.77	533.75(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	283	40	294	248	1.44	68%	0.31	92.7	1.08%	1.3	1.7	79	1.1

16	Nov_18_2021	454.97	505.8	516.82	523.91	524.96	526.86	529.57(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	124	30	107	176	1.66	66%	0.3	97.4	1.1%	1.7	1.6	78	1.7
17	Nov_17_2021	453.6	503.16	515.2	520.42	522.11	526.48	526.4(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	266	70	272	246	1.61	66%	0.29	97.1	1.12%	0.7	1.5	78	2.1
18	Nov_16_2021	452.3	500.36	512.77	516.3	518.16	523.07	527.03(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	366	80	393	285	1.29	67%	0.29	95	1.12%	1.6	1.6	79	2.1
19	Nov_15_2021	450.97	497.37	509.75	512.64	512.85	517.74	519.12(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	278	70	291	237	1.13	65%	0.28	93.4	1.11%	0.6	1.3	78	2.2
20	Nov_12_2021	449.69	494.56	507.08	509.62	509.96	513.24	517.41(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	303	50	325	238	1.78	65%	0.29	85.1	1.11%	1.2	1.3	72	1.1

21	Nov_11_2021	448.41	491.37	504.51	508.76	506.87	507.95	512.15(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	0	35	129	1.22	65%	0.27	80.1	1.11%	1.6	1.1	74	0.5
22	Nov_10_2021	447.19	488.35	502.35	509.29	507.62	506.68	505.79(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-20	-18	129	1.01	64%	0.26	75.8	1.1%	-0.9	0.9	75	0.5
23	Nov_9_2021	446.03	485.44	500.8	508.6	509.88	505.79	508.74(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-21	-50	-70	128	1.88	64%	0.28	71.1	1.1%	-0	1.1	81	0.9
24	Nov_8_2021	444.78	482.4	498.56	506.25	508.15	508.55	504(-1.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-121	20	-191	90	2.05	64%	0.28	68	1.09%	-1.2	1	81	1
25	Nov_5_2021	443.52	479.73	497.11	503.83	506.39	513.97	513.1(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	434	120	456	369	1.79	69%		67.8	1.07%	0.4	1.5	92	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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