Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $346.9100 (2.26%) ($346.9100 - $347.5900) on Thu. Mar. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $346.9100(2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    SPY(60%)    IWF(59%)    DIA(57%)    QQQ(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-17%)    TBT(-7%)    VXX(-6%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 2.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $337.79(2.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $333.24(4.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $328.6(5.57%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $153.169b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2021	359.36	328.6	333.24	337.79	339.82	343.17	346.91(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	298	90	311	257	3.42	44%	-0.08	-11.9	1.22%	2.1	2.3	71	1.1
2	Mar_24_2021	359.66	327.84	331.32	333.11	335.09	338.99	339.25(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	211	100	215	197	2.49	41%	-0.09	-44	1.19%	0.7	1.5	66	1
3	Mar_23_2021	360	327.77	329.9	331.08	331.16	336.48	340.39(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	277	110	297	218	3.6	41%	-0.07	-60.8	1.19%	1.2	1.7	62	1.1
4	Mar_22_2021	360.25	327.7	327.7	328.38	328.76	331.19	334.22(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	257	60	283	178	3.05	38%	-0.07	-69.1	1.16%	1.4	0.8	53	1.9
5	Mar_19_2021	360.49	328.35	325.48	327.42	326.91	325.84	328.16(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-28	-30	-41	13	2.46	35%	-0.11	-62.6	1.13%	1.2	-0	46	1.6

6	Mar_18_2021	360.87	329.56	324.49	328.04	327.51	326.32	323.51(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-101	-30	-123	-33	2.22	32%	-0.12	-52.7	1.12%	-1.3	-0.5	42	1.2
7	Mar_17_2021	361.31	331.13	324.16	329.13	329.09	327.99	329.13(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-20	-27	-6	2.26	34%	-0.12	-45.9	1.11%	1	-0.2	43	2.1
8	Mar_16_2021	361.76	332.45	323.57	328.41	329.06	328.7	326.9(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-0	-49	-47	2.73	34%	-0.13	-45.8	1.1%	-1.2	-0.4	36	1.9
9	Mar_15_2021	362.22	333.74	323.63	326.74	328.72	330.19	329.39(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	100	50	137	-10	2.84	34%	-0.13	-50.5	1.1%	-0.1	-0.3	36	2.4
10	Mar_12_2021	362.68	334.84	323.7	323.1	325.72	329.42	331.25(0.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	175	100	243	-31	3.18	34%	-0.13	-56.8	1.09%	1.1	-0.3	32	1.8

11	Mar_11_2021	363.15	335.84	323.53	320.44	321.05	327.26	329(1.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	229	140	324	-58	3.89	34%	-0.14	-61.5	1.1%	1	-0.5	27	1.5
12	Mar_10_2021	363.66	337.14	323.91	318.57	318.29	322.02	325.52(2.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	256	80	372	-93	3.92	34%	-0.15	-63.4	1.09%	1.8	-0.8	22	1.2
13	Mar_9_2021	364.21	338.78	325.23	318.24	316.81	314.84	318.52(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-103	-60	-37	-301	4.63	29%	-0.16	-62.2	1.04%	0.8	-1.3	13	1.2
14	Mar_8_2021	364.8	340.85	327.51	320.22	318.14	314.56	311.21(-2.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-391	-100	-370	-452	4.83	22%	-0.2	-58.1	0.99%	-1	-1.9	9	0.4
15	Mar_5_2021	365.53	343.17	331.41	324.3	322.47	318.79	317.96(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-303	-100	-274	-389	7.42	24%	-0.17	-56	0.97%	-0.4	-1.8	13	0.6

16	Mar_4_2021	366.15	345.15	335.07	326.96	325.88	321.73	319.62(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-345	-100	-332	-383	4.27	24%	-0.17	-56.8	0.98%	-1.5	-2	15	-0.4
17	Mar_3_2021	366.76	347.06	338.78	329.92	328.77	326.15	323.87(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-314	-70	-303	-347	4	23%	-0.16	-57.4	0.97%	-1.4	-2	15	0.3
18	Mar_2_2021	367.35	348.75	342.21	333.26	331.42	330.04	328.45(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-197	-50	-175	-262	4.65	25%	-0.14	-60.7	1%	-1.8	-2	15	1
19	Mar_1_2021	367.85	350.02	344.83	335.98	334.45	331.4	331.62(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-190	-80	-171	-246	4.62	25%	-0.11	-66.3	1%	-0.6	-2.1	16	1
20	Feb_26_2021	368.24	351.13	347.05	339.73	337.06	332.81	331.23(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-379	-110	-402	-309	3.35	25%	-0.1	-69.5	1.01%	-1.2	-2.5	25	0.5

21	Feb_25_2021	368.6	352.56	349.32	344.51	341.85	337.5	334.46(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-340	-110	-367	-258	2.83	25%	-0.08	-68.7	1.01%	-1.7	-2.8	26	0.2
22	Feb_24_2021	368.89	353.76	351.6	349	347.02	341.3	340.55(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-350	-130	-390	-229	2.65	27%	-0.05	-70.3	1%	-1	-2.7	30	1.4
23	Feb_23_2021	369.08	355.01	353.53	352.49	351.19	346.2	342.05(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-401	-110	-461	-220	3.66	27%	-0.05	-46.4	1%	-1.6	-2.9	32	1.3
24	Feb_22_2021	369.25	356.03	355.37	354.9	355.19	352.74	350.35(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-180	-50	-211	-86	1.71	30%	-0.01	-41.8	0.96%	-1.2	-1.6	51	1.1
25	Feb_19_2021	369.3	356.65	355.93	355.41	356.12	356.18	355.12(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	10	-56	-14	1.38	32%		-36.4	0.95%	-0.3	-0.4	58	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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