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     Tue. Aug. 21, 2018



Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Costco Wholesale)

COST latest price $226.8209 (0.52%) ($225.9872 - $228.3692) on Tue. Aug. 21, 2018.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Overbought
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  COST advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  COST advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support COST advance at 0.2% a week (68% probability)
  XLP(70%)    IVW(68%)    IWF(68%)    VUG(68%)    QQQ(67%)  
Factors Impacting COST price  COST will decline at least -0.3% in a week (32% probabilities).
  VXX(-47%)    TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    BWX(-14%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  A pullback is expected soon.
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.3
 
Relative Volatility   -0.5 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly Trend   0.95% [$226.21(2.46), $224.08(2.02)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


COST Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  0.8%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -0.8%
Recommended Position Size  94%
Latest Price  $226.8209
Next Hour Price  $226.82(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $224.42(-1.06%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $221.71 - $228.47
Support Level  $220.34
5 Day Moving Average  $223.59(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average  $221.58(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $220.34(2.94%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  16.2%
Market Cap  $100.147b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 


Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.8%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. COST price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20180921

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_21_2018-0%-16.2% 0.9%,0.7(0.1)1%,0.7(0.1)0.6%,0.42.10%0.6%2.20-0.5(1.33%,NAN%)0.72.07   226.82(0.52%)225.99-228.37Overbought 224.42(-1.06%)221.71-228.4772
2Aug_20_20180%-15.6% 0.8%,0.7(0.1)0.9%,0.7(0.2)0.7%,0.62.10%0.6%2.30-1.1(1.16%,NAN%)1.11.78   225.64(0.74%)224.27-226.5Breakout 226.2(0.25%)224.46-226.9566
3Aug_17_2018-0%-14.7% 0.7%,0.7(0.1)0.6%,0.6(0.2)0.5%,0.51.80%0.5%2.10-1.5(1.01%,NAN%)0.91.98   223.98(1.12%)220.48-224.18Breakout 224.34(0.16%)223.07-224.8963
4Aug_16_2018-0.6%-13.4% 0.6%,0.6(0.1)0.5%,0.5(0.3)0.5%,0.50.90%0.5%1.20-1.8(0.94%,NAN%)0.21.66   221.51(0.69%)220.47-222.57Growing Uptrend 221.91(0.18%)221.04-222.1358
5Aug_15_2018-1.3%-13.4% 0.6%,0.5(-0.2)0.2%,0.2(-0)-0.3%,-0.30.60%0.5%0.60-1.6(1.04%,NAN%)-1.41.84   220(-0.15%)217.12-220.44Uptrend 220.15(0.07%)219.71-220.3450
 
6Aug_14_2018-1.1%-13.6% 0.7%,0.6(-0.1)0.2%,0.2(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.20.60%0.5%0.80-1.4(1.13%,NAN%)0.41.45   220.33(1.11%)218.21-220.89Uptrend 220.46(0.06%)219.89-220.753
7Aug_13_2018-2.2%-12.3% 0.9%,0.7(-0.1)0.3%,0.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.2-0.90%0.5%-0.10-1.2(1.21%,NAN%)-11.52   217.91(-0.34%)217.41-219.91Uptrend Consolidation 218(0.04%)217.91-218.2654
8Aug_10_2018-1.9%-12.7% 1%,0.8(-0.2)0.5%,0.4(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-2.40%0.6%0.30-0.7(1.24%,NAN%)0.62.83   218.65(0.95%)216.11-220.05Uptrend Consolidation 218.5(-0.07%)218.24-219.2854
9Aug_9_2018-2.8%-11.7% 1.2%,0.9(-0.1)0.6%,0.5(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.2-0.60%0.7%-0.40-0.4(1.33%,NAN%)1.83.64   216.6(-2.82%)215.28-220.68Uptrend Consolidation 217.12(0.24%)217.03-217.3751
10Aug_8_2018-0%-15.8% 1.4%,0.9(0.1)1%,0.6(0.1)0.7%,0.40.90%0.9%1.600.1(1.54%,NAN%)2.32.02   222.89(0.32%)220.57-223.19Uptrend 224.38(0.67%)221.86-225.4771
 
11Aug_7_20180%-16.3% 1.3%,0.8(0)0.8%,0.5(0.1)0.5%,0.31.50%1%1.600.2(1.57%,NAN%)2.31.43   222.18(0.51%)221.3-223.78Uptrend 223.45(0.57%)221.14-224.4474
12Aug_6_2018-0%-15.7% 1.3%,0.8(0)0.7%,0.5(0)0.3%,0.21.80%1%1.400.3(1.6%,NAN%)1.91.29   221.04(0.31%)219.35-221.59Uptrend 222.1(0.48%)220.07-222.9873
13Aug_3_20180%-15.4% 1.3%,0.7(0)0.7%,0.4(0)0.2%,0.10.60%1.1%1.300.5(1.67%,NAN%)1.11.2   220.36(0.41%)219.34-220.95Uptrend 221.51(0.52%)219.44-222.3972
14Aug_2_2018-0.3%-14.9% 1.2%,0.7(-0)0.7%,0.4(-0.1)-0.1%,-0-0.60%1.3%1.200.7(1.75%,NAN%)0.81.9   219.46(1.84%)213.39-219.74Uptrend Consolidation 218.34(-0.51%)217.54-220.7463
15Aug_1_2018-2.1%-12.8% 1.2%,0.7(-0)0.9%,0.5(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.2-0.60%1.4%0.300.6(1.72%,NAN%)0.71.84   215.5(-0.72%)214.62-217.45Uptrend Consolidation 215.39(-0.05%)214.95-216.7362
 
16Jul_31_2018-1.4%-13.6% 1.3%,0.7(0)1.3%,0.7(-0.1)0%,0-0.90%1.5%0.701.2(1.93%,NAN%)0.61.89   217.06(-0.18%)216.69-218.41Uptrend 218.93(0.86%)216.43-219.9974
17Jul_30_2018-1.2%-13.9% 1.2%,0.6(0)1.5%,0.7(-0.1)0%,0-0.30%1.6%0.901.5(2.04%,NAN%)0.31.29   217.46(-0.25%)216.97-218.46Uptrend 219.55(0.96%)216.68-220.7972
18Jul_27_2018-0.9%-14.1% 1.2%,0.6(0)1.6%,0.8(-0.1)0.1%,00.90%1.6%1.101.3(2.07%,NAN%)0.61.6   218(-0.93%)217.11-220.83Uptrend Consolidation 217.11(-0.41%)215.96-220.5675
19Jul_26_2018-0%-15.2% 1.1%,0.5(0)1.9%,0.9(-0)0.4%,0.20.60%1.8%1.701.2(2.08%,NAN%)1.11.82   220.05(0.46%)219.16-222.93Uptrend 222.65(1.18%)218.57-224.3984
20Jul_25_20180%-14.7% 1.1%,0.6(0)2%,1(0)0.5%,0.30.30%1.7%1.700.9(1.93%,NAN%)1.21.56   219.04(0.97%)215.73-219.16Uptrend 221.6(1.17%)217.66-223.2884
 
21Jul_24_2018-0.1%-13.9% 1%,0.6(-0)1.9%,1(-0)0.3%,0.20.90%1.5%1.500.6(1.79%,NAN%)1.21.45   216.94(-0.12%)215.95-219.02Uptrend 219.04(0.97%)215.78-220.4385
22Jul_23_2018-0%-14% 1%,0.6(0)1.9%,1.1(0)0.4%,0.21.20%1.4%1.800.3(1.67%,NAN%)0.91.39   217.19(0.07%)216.56-218.8Uptrend 219.23(0.94%)215.92-220.6481
23Jul_20_20180%-13.9% 1%,0.7(-0)1.8%,1.2(0)0.2%,0.10.90%1.2%20-0.1(1.53%,NAN%)1.11.8   217.05(0.53%)214.61-217.29Breakout 218.74(0.78%)215.72-220.0475
24Jul_19_2018-0%-13.3% 1.1%,0.8(0)1.8%,1.3(0.1)0.3%,0.200%1%20-0.5(1.36%,NAN%)1.22.79   215.9(1.2%)212.42-216.56Breakout 217.39(0.69%)214.72-218.5575
25Jul_18_2018-0.7%-12% 1.1%,0.9(0)1.6%,1.3(0.2)0.4%,0.3-0.30%0.8%1.40-0.8(1.25%,NAN%)1.41.87   213.35(-0.01%)211.99-214.26Growing Uptrend 215.01(0.78%)212.62-215.6164
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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