Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $157.0559 (0.29%) ($156.1277 - $157.5809) on Tue. Feb. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $157.0559(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(61%)    IWF(60%)    SPY(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLP(59%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $156.17(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $154.82(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $153.85(2.08%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $69.344b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.69%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.28%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.31%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.19%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2017	145.47	153.85	154.82	156.17	157.14	157.01	157.06(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	28	69	2.73	85%	0.11	65.6	0.96%	0	1.6	58	INF
2	Feb_6_2017	145.31	153.53	154.45	155.5	156.08	157.29	156.6(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	70	42	60	2.17	85%	0.1	60.5	0.96%	0	1.6	59	INF
3	Feb_3_2017	145.17	153.32	154.06	154.79	155.06	157.28	157.81(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	160	110	179	103	3.23	77%	0.11	59.1	0.98%	0	2.5	67	INF
4	Feb_2_2017	145.01	153.05	153.63	153.62	153.72	154.87	157.65(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	126	50	144	71	5.82	77%	0.12	55.9	0.99%	0	3.2	67	INF
5	Feb_1_2017	144.84	152.64	153.17	152.85	152.66	152.85	151.75(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	0	-1	4	2.22	73%	0.08	43.4	0.88%	0	-0.8	54	INF

6	Jan_31_2017	144.73	152.56	153.4	153.28	152.94	152.58	153.71(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-20	-2	25	1.8	73%	0.09	40	0.87%	0	0.9	62	INF
7	Jan_30_2017	144.6	152.39	153.38	153.23	153.19	152.48	153.05(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-38	-30	-55	13	2.15	73%	0.08	32.6	0.89%	0	0.5	63	INF
8	Jan_27_2017	144.48	152.29	153.27	153.18	153.45	153.31	151.94(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-29	-0	-43	14	2.34	73%	0.06	25	0.89%	0	-0.2	47	INF
9	Jan_26_2017	144.39	152.25	153.29	153.59	153.55	153.9	153.82(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	18	47	1.18	77%	0.06	23.7	0.87%	0	1.1	55	INF
10	Jan_25_2017	144.3	152.15	153.06	153.52	153.57	153.6	153.89(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	0	24	54	1.3	77%	0.04	18.5	0.87%	0	1.2	69	INF

11	Jan_24_2017	144.24	152.04	152.83	153.55	153.53	153.2	153.45(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-20	-23	45	1.35	79%	0.07	26.4	0.88%	0	1.1	68	INF
12	Jan_23_2017	144.14	151.96	152.59	153.57	153.6	153.55	152.83(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-0	-10	53	1.42	79%	0.03	33.3	0.91%	0	0.7	64	INF
13	Jan_20_2017	144.09	151.95	152.57	153.36	153.48	153.86	153.98(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	20	36	74	1.9	79%	0.06	41.9	0.91%	0	1.6	63	INF
14	Jan_19_2017	144.01	151.91	152.42	152.91	152.94	153.65	153.47(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	30	55	79	1.98	79%	0.01	50.6	0.91%	0	1.3	62	INF
15	Jan_18_2017	143.99	151.88	152.07	152.51	152.33	153.11	154.01(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	73	30	74	69	1.83	79%	0.02	55.3	0.91%	0	1.8	58	INF

16	Jan_17_2017	143.96	151.7	151.64	152.02	151.79	152.22	153.58(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	54	20	57	43	2.43	76%	-0.06	47.3	0.91%	0	1.7	56	INF
17	Jan_13_2017	144.05	151.52	151.28	151.49	151.42	151.55	151.75(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	0	9	4	1.25	75%	-0.02	45.2	0.91%	0	0.2	48	INF
18	Jan_12_2017	144.08	151.4	151.21	151.67	151.37	151.36	151.76(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10	-6	-5	1.3	75%	-0.03	68	0.91%	0	0.3	43	INF
19	Jan_11_2017	144.13	151.31	151.12	151.86	151.59	151.28	151.45(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-20	-4	-10	1.38	75%	-0.03	95.2	0.91%	0	0.1	37	INF
20	Jan_10_2017	144.18	151.25	151.16	151.53	151.71	151.37	151.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10	-11	-27	1.48	75%	-0.03	113.8	0.91%	0	0.2	40	INF

21	Jan_9_2017	144.23	151.17	151.19	151.17	151.35	151.89	150.92(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	30	6	-23	2.32	75%	-0.05	130.7	0.91%	0	-0.2	54	INF
22	Jan_6_2017	144.3	151.03	151.28	151.01	150.96	152.05	152.66(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	71	50	90	13	2.17	78%	-0.03	142.9	0.89%	0	1.2	62	INF
23	Jan_5_2017	144.34	150.63	151.27	150.69	150.5	150.81	152.73(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	10	66	10	2.88	78%	-0.03	134.7	0.9%	0	1.4	67	INF
24	Jan_4_2017	144.38	150.11	151.32	150.33	150.26	149.87	149.78(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-20	-40	-26	2.16	76%	-0.06	94.9	0.87%	0	-0.2	53	INF
25	Jan_3_2017	144.46	149.78	151.67	150.76	150.7	150.19	149.75(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-20	-51	-8	2.1	76%		74.3	0.87%	0	-0	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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