Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $139.8939 (0.99%) ($138.0258 - $140.0426) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $139.8939(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    IWF(59%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLP(58%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $143.18
5 Day Moving Average   $141.27(-0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.62(-2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $143.18(-2.3%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $61.766b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.78%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.89%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.67%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	143.54	143.18	143.62	141.27	140.67	139.48	139.89(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-81	-70	-88	-60	2.27	37%	-0.09	-9.1	1.29%	0	-1.4	49	0
2	Apr_11_2016	143.67	143.31	144.1	142.29	142.17	140.55	138.53(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-88	-80	-103	-44	2.28	40%	-0.09	11.4	1.29%	0	-2.1	42	0
3	Apr_8_2016	143.8	143.51	144.53	143.9	143.7	141.85	140.94(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-96	-90	-120	-23	2.01	40%	-0.07	39.3	1.29%	0	-1.3	49	0
4	Apr_7_2016	143.9	143.59	144.59	145.13	145.06	143.79	141.3(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-78	-60	-104	-1	4.05	38%	-0.06	61.8	1.31%	0	-1.2	48	0
5	Apr_6_2016	143.99	143.66	144.79	146.16	146.2	145.55	145.7(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-30	-42	44	1.57	41%	-0.01	79.7	1.28%	0	1.1	58	0

6	Apr_5_2016	144.01	143.39	144.38	146.32	146.64	146.32	144.98(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10	-19	51	1.86	41%	0	81.8	1.29%	0	0.8	56	0
7	Apr_4_2016	144.01	143.05	144.2	146.18	146.63	146.85	146.59(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	27	72	1.46	41%	0.03	66	1.28%	0	1.6	66	0
8	Apr_1_2016	143.96	142.72	143.76	145.24	145.71	146.97	147.08(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	70	65	72	1.53	41%	0.01	59.5	1.29%	0	2	67	0
9	Mar_31_2016	143.94	142.4	143.31	143.97	144.43	146.41	146.46(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	104	110	115	72	2.69	41%	0.01	42	1.3%	0	2.1	65	0
10	Mar_30_2016	143.92	142.15	142.95	143.22	143.08	144.45	146.47(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	97	60	109	60	2.64	41%	0.01	33.3	1.3%	0	2.5	64	0

11	Mar_29_2016	143.91	141.81	142.58	142.22	142.14	142.45	144.3(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	10	38	22	1.66	38%	0.01	21.6	1.29%	0	1.7	66	0
12	Mar_28_2016	143.9	141.56	142.33	141.97	141.87	141.71	141.89(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10	-10	11	1.77	36%	-0.03	17	1.27%	0	0.2	68	0
13	Mar_24_2016	143.94	141.44	142.34	142.06	142.06	141.83	140.74(-1.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-12	-10	-21	14	2.51	36%	-0.03	20	1.27%	0	-0.5	53	0
14	Mar_23_2016	143.99	141.44	142.5	142.51	142.39	142.03	142.67(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-7	-20	-18	28	2.13	37%	-0.03	44.1	1.26%	0	0.7	56	0
15	Mar_22_2016	144.03	141.58	142.46	142.61	142.66	142.29	141.48(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-20	-28	28	1.94	37%	-0.04	53.1	1.25%	0	-0.1	48	0

16	Mar_21_2016	144.09	141.5	142.37	142.97	142.91	142.75	143.07(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10	-6	46	1.37	37%	-0.02	61.5	1.25%	0	0.9	61	0
17	Mar_18_2016	144.12	141.32	141.87	142.74	142.82	143.03	142.34(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	10	7	42	3.61	35%	-0.03	58.5	1.26%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Mar_17_2016	144.17	141.13	141.67	142.66	142.52	143.06	142.98(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	25	51	1.58	34%	-0.02	60	1.28%	0	1	64	0
19	Mar_16_2016	144.2	140.89	141.45	142.48	142.28	142.62	143.18(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	10	32	43	1.49	34%	-0.01	61.1	1.29%	0	1.3	47	0
20	Mar_15_2016	144.22	140.73	141.31	142.29	142.07	141.98	143.3(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10	12	29	1.4	34%	-0.01	67.7	1.3%	0	1.5	49	0

21	Mar_14_2016	144.24	140.49	140.95	141.69	141.9	141.95	141.89(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	10	17	21	1.22	34%	-0.01	67.5	1.29%	0	0.8	56	0
22	Mar_11_2016	144.26	140.31	140.71	140.85	141.19	142.17	141.93(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	60	37	13	1.83	34%	-0.03	65	1.3%	0	0.9	56	0
23	Mar_10_2016	144.31	140.04	140.43	140.51	140.3	141.85	142.08(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	70	75	25	1.41	36%	-0.01	64.2	1.31%	0	1.1	60	0
24	Mar_9_2016	144.32	139.82	140.55	140.28	139.87	140.21	142.25(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	10	69	34	2.4	32%	-0.01	64.9	1.32%	0	1.3	60	0
25	Mar_8_2016	144.33	139.56	140.58	140.23	139.31	138.74	140.29(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-50	-37	-2	3.16	31%		64.2	1.47%	0	0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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