Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $133.4630 (0.5%) ($131.9892 - $134.5845) on Fri. Feb. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $133.4630(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(59%)    IWF(59%)    XLP(59%)    SPY(58%)    QQQ(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $139.04
5 Day Moving Average   $136.02(-1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $137.21(-2.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $139.04(-4.01%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $58.927b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(36%) Average negative next day return: -2.26%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(27%) Average negative next three day return: -4.43%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.57%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.06%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2016	143.64	139.04	137.21	136.02	135.49	133.25	133.46(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-117	-130	-120	-108	4.08	34%	0.01	-92.4	1.39%	0	-1.9	39	INF
2	Feb_4_2016	143.63	139.56	138.1	137.34	137.21	135.17	132.8(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-123	-110	-134	-91	5.34	34%	0	-98	1.39%	0	-2.5	33	INF
3	Feb_3_2016	143.63	140.26	138.81	138.51	138.59	137.74	135.97(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-40	-64	-49	2.55	36%	0.03	-95.3	1.36%	0	-1.6	40	INF
4	Feb_2_2016	143.58	140.86	139.05	138.51	138.86	139.25	137.64(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	20	-2	-40	1.93	36%	0.05	-86.4	1.36%	0	-1.1	36	INF
5	Feb_1_2016	143.51	141.35	139.25	138.7	138.62	139.45	140.19(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	26	40	45	-33	2.14	37%	0.07	-83.8	1.34%	0	-0.4	42	INF

6	Jan_29_2016	143.41	141.79	139.16	138.61	138.32	138.46	140.07(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	0	6	-56	3.22	37%	0.08	-84.1	1.34%	0	-0.5	48	INF
7	Jan_28_2016	143.3	142.3	139.31	139.09	138.94	137.79	138.65(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-60	-36	-70	2.08	37%	0.07	-69.7	1.34%	0	-1	41	INF
8	Jan_27_2016	143.2	142.88	139.54	139.23	139.83	138.18	136.93(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-88	-70	-82	-105	2.19	37%	0.05	-60.2	1.32%	0	-1.4	33	INF
9	Jan_26_2016	143.13	143.51	140.29	139.44	140.14	140.1	137.64(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	10	-47	-98	2.83	37%	-0.04	-54.2	1.33%	0	-1.4	32	INF
10	Jan_25_2016	143.19	144.12	140.87	139.8	139.73	141.48	139.76(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	28	90	58	-64	1.82	39%	0.08	-52.2	1.32%	0	-1	35	INF

11	Jan_22_2016	143.07	144.63	141.01	139.73	139.38	140.18	142.45(2.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	57	30	101	-75	2.54	42%	0.09	-54.5	1.31%	0	-0.5	35	INF
12	Jan_21_2016	142.94	144.97	141.07	139.63	138.7	137.98	139.39(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-60	-42	-158	2.21	39%	0.07	-53.5	1.3%	0	-1.3	26	INF
13	Jan_20_2016	142.84	145.41	141.78	139.96	139.39	138.57	137.94(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-104	-50	-79	-180	3.8	39%	0.08	-55.1	1.3%	0	-1.7	22	INF
14	Jan_19_2016	142.73	145.86	142.8	141.3	140.77	139.41	139.47(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-88	-80	-65	-158	2.24	39%	0.17	-53.1	1.29%	0	-1.6	29	INF
15	Jan_15_2016	142.49	146.36	143.63	142.09	141.88	140.2	139.4(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-116	-90	-99	-166	2.98	41%	0.07	-54.7	1.29%	0	-1.9	28	INF

16	Jan_14_2016	142.39	146.95	144.66	142.4	142.79	142.12	141.98(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-20	-65	-150	2.28	41%	0.1	-55.5	1.28%	0	-1.5	31	INF
17	Jan_13_2016	142.25	147.34	145.52	142.71	143.01	143.57	141(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	30	-14	-122	2.16	41%	0.13	-64.8	1.29%	0	-2	30	INF
18	Jan_12_2016	142.06	147.82	146.5	143.88	143.26	143.46	144.65(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-0	16	-86	2.22	44%	0.16	-70.2	1.25%	0	-1.1	43	INF
19	Jan_11_2016	141.83	148.02	146.97	144.6	143.91	142.46	143.41(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-80	-69	-100	2.16	44%	0.11	-75	1.25%	0	-1.7	45	INF
20	Jan_8_2016	141.68	148.37	147.64	145.49	145.39	143.06	140.99(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-135	-110	-142	-112	3.16	47%	0.06	-76.6	1.25%	0	-3	32	INF

21	Jan_7_2016	141.6	148.76	148.59	147.23	146.72	145.35	143.5(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-134	-80	-150	-87	3.83	50%	0.07	-84.2	1.26%	0	-2.9	32	INF
22	Jan_6_2016	141.5	149.4	149.24	148.7	148.38	147.73	146.87(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-40	-40	-47	-20	2.03	53%	0.09	-62.1	1.23%	0	-1.9	43	INF
23	Jan_5_2016	141.37	149.79	149.37	149.48	149.39	148.08	148.24(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-60	-54	-15	2.13	55%	0.09	-18.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	45	INF
24	Jan_4_2016	141.24	150.1	149.21	149.71	149.89	149.04	147.88(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-40	-82	-28	2.64	55%	0.14	-7.8	1.23%	0	-1	50	INF
25	Dec_31_2015	141.04	150.29	149.33	150.12	150.32	150.7	149.69(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	20	1	9	1.87	55%		-0.6	1.22%	0	-0.2	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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