Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $139.3858 (1.05%) ($137.2818 - $140.1830) on Thu. Jan. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $139.3858(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(59%)    IWF(59%)    XLP(59%)    SPY(58%)    QQQ(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $135.34(-2.9%)
Resistance Level   $144.97
5 Day Moving Average   $139.63(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $141.07(-1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $144.97(-3.85%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $61.542b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.98%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.03%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.86%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.41%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2016	142.94	144.97	141.07	139.63	138.7	137.98	139.39(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-60	-42	-158	2.21	39%	0.07	-53.5	1.3%	0	-1.3	26	0
2	Jan_20_2016	142.84	145.41	141.78	139.96	139.39	138.57	137.94(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-104	-50	-79	-180	3.8	39%	0.08	-55.1	1.3%	0	-1.7	22	0
3	Jan_19_2016	142.73	145.86	142.8	141.3	140.77	139.41	139.47(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-88	-80	-65	-158	2.24	39%	0.17	-53.1	1.29%	0	-1.6	29	0
4	Jan_15_2016	142.49	146.36	143.63	142.09	141.88	140.2	139.4(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-116	-90	-99	-166	2.98	41%	0.07	-54.7	1.29%	0	-1.9	28	0
5	Jan_14_2016	142.39	146.95	144.66	142.4	142.79	142.12	141.98(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-20	-65	-150	2.28	41%	0.1	-55.5	1.28%	0	-1.5	31	0

6	Jan_13_2016	142.25	147.34	145.52	142.71	143.01	143.57	141(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	30	-14	-122	2.16	41%	0.13	-64.8	1.29%	0	-2	30	0
7	Jan_12_2016	142.06	147.82	146.5	143.88	143.26	143.46	144.65(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-0	16	-86	2.22	44%	0.16	-70.2	1.25%	0	-1.1	43	0
8	Jan_11_2016	141.83	148.02	146.97	144.6	143.91	142.46	143.41(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-80	-69	-100	2.16	44%	0.11	-75	1.25%	0	-1.7	45	0
9	Jan_8_2016	141.68	148.37	147.64	145.49	145.39	143.06	140.99(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-135	-110	-142	-112	3.16	47%	0.06	-76.6	1.25%	0	-3	32	0
10	Jan_7_2016	141.6	148.76	148.59	147.23	146.72	145.35	143.5(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-134	-80	-150	-87	3.83	50%	0.07	-84.2	1.26%	0	-2.9	32	0

11	Jan_6_2016	141.5	149.4	149.24	148.7	148.38	147.73	146.87(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-40	-40	-47	-20	2.03	53%	0.09	-62.1	1.23%	0	-1.9	43	0
12	Jan_5_2016	141.37	149.79	149.37	149.48	149.39	148.08	148.24(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-60	-54	-15	2.13	55%	0.09	-18.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	45	0
13	Jan_4_2016	141.24	150.1	149.21	149.71	149.89	149.04	147.88(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-40	-82	-28	2.64	55%	0.14	-7.8	1.23%	0	-1	50	0
14	Dec_31_2015	141.04	150.29	149.33	150.12	150.32	150.7	149.69(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	20	1	9	1.87	55%	0.11	-0.6	1.22%	0	-0.2	49	0
15	Dec_30_2015	140.89	150.28	149.43	150.15	150.22	150.73	150.81(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	30	41	35	0.89	55%	0.12	-1.9	1.22%	0	0.2	58	0

16	Dec_29_2015	140.72	150.22	149.28	149.88	149.98	149.95	150.77(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	0	27	3	1.17	55%	0.11	-8.6	1.22%	0	0.2	38	0
17	Dec_28_2015	140.56	150.16	149.18	149.27	149.53	149.72	149.38(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	9	-30	1.12	53%	0.15	-18.4	1.22%	0	-0.3	39	0
18	Dec_24_2015	140.35	150.27	149.08	148.63	148.95	150.01	149.92(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	23	60	46	-46	0.49	53%	0.11	-24.4	1.22%	0	-0.1	41	0
19	Dec_23_2015	140.2	150.3	149.07	148.43	148.95	149.33	149.89(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	29	50	56	-52	1.58	55%	0.11	-25	1.22%	0	-0.2	47	0
20	Dec_22_2015	140.04	150.33	148.89	148.63	148.28	147.9	149.44(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-30	18	-68	1.74	55%	0.11	-17.8	1.24%	0	-0.4	51	0

21	Dec_21_2015	139.88	150.43	149.51	148.64	148.65	147.23	147.74(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-84	-70	-82	-89	1.45	55%	0.1	-6.1	1.24%	0	-1.1	49	0
22	Dec_18_2015	139.74	150.61	150.2	149.09	149.47	148.66	146.17(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-70	-30	-72	-63	4.3	55%	0.09	15.8	1.24%	0	-1.9	46	0
23	Dec_17_2015	139.62	150.88	151.05	149.52	149.9	150.07	148.93(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	20	-1	-19	1.7	58%	0.11	36.6	1.22%	0	-0.9	46	0
24	Dec_16_2015	139.47	150.92	151.35	149.74	149.49	150.28	150.86(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	30	30	1	2.2	60%	0.13	50	1.21%	0	-0	52	0
25	Dec_15_2015	139.29	150.76	151.22	149.18	149.43	149.73	149.5(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	20	33	-12	2.38	60%		45	1.21%	0	-0.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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