Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $143.4085 (1.72%) ($140.9986 - $144.5579) on Mon. Jan. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $143.4085(1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(59%)    IWF(59%)    XLP(59%)    SPY(58%)    QQQ(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $148.02
5 Day Moving Average   $144.6(-0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $146.97(-2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.02(-3.12%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $63.318b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.82%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.9%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2016	141.83	148.02	146.97	144.6	143.91	142.46	143.41(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-80	-69	-100	2.16	44%	0.11	-75	1.25%	0	-1.7	45	0
2	Jan_8_2016	141.68	148.37	147.64	145.49	145.39	143.06	140.99(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-135	-110	-142	-112	3.16	47%	0.06	-76.6	1.25%	0	-3	32	0
3	Jan_7_2016	141.6	148.76	148.59	147.23	146.72	145.35	143.5(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-134	-80	-150	-87	3.83	50%	0.07	-84.2	1.26%	0	-2.9	32	0
4	Jan_6_2016	141.5	149.4	149.24	148.7	148.38	147.73	146.87(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-40	-40	-47	-20	2.03	53%	0.09	-62.1	1.23%	0	-1.9	43	0
5	Jan_5_2016	141.37	149.79	149.37	149.48	149.39	148.08	148.24(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-60	-54	-15	2.13	55%	0.09	-18.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	45	0

6	Jan_4_2016	141.24	150.1	149.21	149.71	149.89	149.04	147.88(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-40	-82	-28	2.64	55%	0.14	-7.8	1.23%	0	-1	50	0
7	Dec_31_2015	141.04	150.29	149.33	150.12	150.32	150.7	149.69(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	20	1	9	1.87	55%	0.11	-0.6	1.22%	0	-0.2	49	0
8	Dec_30_2015	140.89	150.28	149.43	150.15	150.22	150.73	150.81(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	30	41	35	0.89	55%	0.12	-1.9	1.22%	0	0.2	58	0
9	Dec_29_2015	140.72	150.22	149.28	149.88	149.98	149.95	150.77(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	0	27	3	1.17	55%	0.11	-8.6	1.22%	0	0.2	38	0
10	Dec_28_2015	140.56	150.16	149.18	149.27	149.53	149.72	149.38(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	9	-30	1.12	53%	0.15	-18.4	1.22%	0	-0.3	39	0

11	Dec_24_2015	140.35	150.27	149.08	148.63	148.95	150.01	149.92(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	23	60	46	-46	0.49	53%	0.11	-24.4	1.22%	0	-0.1	41	0
12	Dec_23_2015	140.2	150.3	149.07	148.43	148.95	149.33	149.89(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	29	50	56	-52	1.58	55%	0.11	-25	1.22%	0	-0.2	47	0
13	Dec_22_2015	140.04	150.33	148.89	148.63	148.28	147.9	149.44(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-30	18	-68	1.74	55%	0.11	-17.8	1.24%	0	-0.4	51	0
14	Dec_21_2015	139.88	150.43	149.51	148.64	148.65	147.23	147.74(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-84	-70	-82	-89	1.45	55%	0.1	-6.1	1.24%	0	-1.1	49	0
15	Dec_18_2015	139.74	150.61	150.2	149.09	149.47	148.66	146.17(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-70	-30	-72	-63	4.3	55%	0.09	15.8	1.24%	0	-1.9	46	0

16	Dec_17_2015	139.62	150.88	151.05	149.52	149.9	150.07	148.93(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	20	-1	-19	1.7	58%	0.11	36.6	1.22%	0	-0.9	46	0
17	Dec_16_2015	139.47	150.92	151.35	149.74	149.49	150.28	150.86(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	30	30	1	2.2	60%	0.13	50	1.21%	0	-0	52	0
18	Dec_15_2015	139.29	150.76	151.22	149.18	149.43	149.73	149.5(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	20	33	-12	2.38	60%	0.12	45	1.21%	0	-0.6	50	0
19	Dec_14_2015	139.13	150.58	151.22	150.58	149.17	148.71	150.01(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-50	-68	-33	2.43	60%	0.12	58.5	1.21%	0	-0.2	48	0
20	Dec_11_2015	138.96	150.24	151.26	151.56	150.79	149.13	148.32(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-60	-90	-73	-21	2.51	60%	0.1	52.9	1.2%	0	-0.6	45	0

21	Dec_10_2015	138.82	150.1	151.62	152.82	152.36	149.62	150.03(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-115	-130	-145	-24	3.65	60%	0.11	61.3	1.19%	0	-0	49	0
22	Dec_9_2015	138.67	149.87	151.7	153.16	153.25	152.45	148.04(-5.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-103	-30	-134	-9	9.53	56%	0.11	61.1	1.18%	0	-0.5	49	0
23	Dec_8_2015	138.52	149.75	151.98	153.41	154.01	155.1	156.52(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	119	60	118	120	3.16	69%	0.17	59.3	0.97%	0	1.9	78	0
24	Dec_7_2015	138.29	149.09	151.43	152	152.54	154.06	154.9(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	108	80	108	108	2.79	68%	0.16	46	0.99%	0	1.7	80	0
25	Dec_4_2015	138.07	148.61	151.01	150.95	151.36	152.91	154.61(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	122	80	122	123	2.58	65%		39.4	1%	0	1.8	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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