Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $125.8392 (1.06%) ($124.9633 - $125.9129) on Wed. Jul. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $125.8392(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(53%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $124.81(-0.82%)
Resistance Level   $127.59
5 Day Moving Average   $125.89(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $127.29(-1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.59(-1.37%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $55.561b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.06%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.47%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2015	134.02	127.59	127.29	125.89	125.94	125.3	125.84(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-30	-38	-71	1.71	39%	-0.08	-88.3	0.83%	0	-1.1	40	0
2	Jun_30_2015	134.13	127.85	127.52	126.24	126.45	125.51	124.52(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-105	-50	-109	-93	2.45	40%	-0.08	-90.2	0.82%	0	-2.1	34	0
3	Jun_29_2015	134.24	128.15	127.83	127.08	127.2	126.58	125.1(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-85	-30	-93	-60	1.96	40%	-0.08	-84.6	0.84%	0	-2	43	0
4	Jun_26_2015	134.35	128.46	128.02	127.91	128.02	127.39	127.29(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-30	-56	-24	2.25	42%	-0.07	-75.4	0.81%	0	-0.8	52	0
5	Jun_25_2015	134.45	128.66	128.1	128.32	128.61	127.81	126.72(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-67	-40	-82	-21	1.66	40%	-0.09	-62.1	0.81%	0	-1.1	45	0

6	Jun_24_2015	134.57	128.96	128.28	128.89	129.14	128.65	127.54(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-43	-20	-57	1	1.97	40%	-0.07	-45.7	0.82%	0	-0.7	40	0
7	Jun_23_2015	134.66	129.27	128.39	128.99	129.4	129.4	128.75(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	10	5	17	1.49	42%	-0.01	-42.2	0.82%	0	-0.3	38	0
8	Jun_22_2015	134.67	129.42	128.25	128.68	129.03	129.63	129.25(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	40	49	9	1.42	42%	0.01	-49.4	0.82%	0	-0.1	43	0
9	Jun_19_2015	134.65	129.57	128.05	128.13	128.35	129.4	129.35(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	64	60	89	-13	2.76	42%	0.04	-57.3	0.83%	0	-0.1	40	0
10	Jun_18_2015	134.6	129.72	127.89	127.85	127.67	128.42	129.54(1.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	50	40	81	-44	2.07	42%	0.04	-56.4	0.83%	0	-0.1	40	0

11	Jun_17_2015	134.54	129.85	127.87	127.63	127.4	127.3	128.04(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10	12	-98	1.51	39%	0.02	-57.4	0.82%	0	-0.8	28	0
12	Jun_16_2015	134.51	130.11	128.13	127.74	127.66	126.91	127.21(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	-40	-48	-137	1.55	39%	0	-53.8	0.81%	0	-1.2	21	0
13	Jun_15_2015	134.51	130.44	128.44	127.75	127.97	127.49	126.52(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-87	-20	-64	-154	1.94	39%	0	-52.7	0.81%	0	-1.7	30	0
14	Jun_12_2015	134.51	130.8	128.91	127.75	128.08	128.41	127.95(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	20	1	-133	1.29	44%	0.02	-56.1	0.8%	0	-1.3	32	0
15	Jun_11_2015	134.48	130.99	129.25	127.9	127.98	128.45	128.45(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	37	-124	1.34	44%	0.04	-63	0.82%	0	-1.2	33	0

16	Jun_10_2015	134.43	131.18	129.68	128.14	128.01	127.75	128.55(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-45	-20	-14	-136	1.73	41%	0.04	-65.4	0.82%	0	-1.3	35	0
17	Jun_9_2015	134.38	131.4	130.2	128.64	128.52	127.51	127.27(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-102	-60	-87	-147	2.04	39%	-0.06	-62.7	0.84%	0	-2.1	26	0
18	Jun_8_2015	134.46	131.71	130.7	129.26	129.38	128.26	127.28(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-125	-60	-117	-150	1.88	39%	0.03	-65.9	0.84%	0	-2.5	25	0
19	Jun_5_2015	134.42	132.08	131.25	130.06	130.13	129.53	127.95(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-101	-30	-93	-123	3.2	45%	0.03	-60.7	0.85%	0	-2.7	28	0
20	Jun_4_2015	134.38	132.36	131.75	130.76	130.8	130.5	129.67(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-20	-38	-71	2.9	47%	0.04	-57.6	0.91%	0	-2.2	45	0

21	Jun_3_2015	134.32	132.56	132.04	131.43	131.21	130.74	131.04(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-30	-49	-58	1.86	49%	0.04	-47.5	0.9%	0	-1.4	47	0
22	Jun_2_2015	134.26	132.68	132.28	132.04	131.8	131.09	130.37(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-56	-40	-60	-43	1.96	49%	0.03	-40.8	0.9%	0	-2.3	41	0
23	Jun_1_2015	134.22	132.88	132.62	132.38	132.43	131.69	131.28(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-40	-58	-30	2.18	49%	0.03	-39.1	0.9%	0	-1.7	43	0
24	May_29_2015	134.18	133.03	132.86	132.62	132.67	132.51	131.46(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-10	-48	-24	3.03	49%	0.02	-44.6	0.9%	0	-1.8	38	0
25	May_28_2015	134.15	133.06	132.89	132.86	132.88	133.17	133(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	20	27	5	3.21	52%		-58.1	0.9%	0	-0.1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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