Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $128.0381 (0.65%) ($127.1207 - $128.4483) on Wed. Jun. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $128.0381(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(53%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $125.19(-2.22%)
Resistance Level   $129.85
5 Day Moving Average   $127.63(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $127.87(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.85(-1.4%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $56.532b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(83%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.83%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.41%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.33%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2015	134.54	129.85	127.87	127.63	127.4	127.3	128.04(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10	12	-98	1.51	39%	0.02	-57.4	0.82%	0	-0.8	28	0
2	Jun_16_2015	134.51	130.11	128.13	127.74	127.66	126.91	127.21(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	-40	-48	-137	1.55	39%	0	-53.8	0.81%	0	-1.2	21	0
3	Jun_15_2015	134.51	130.44	128.44	127.75	127.97	127.49	126.52(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-87	-20	-64	-154	1.94	39%	0	-52.7	0.81%	0	-1.7	30	0
4	Jun_12_2015	134.51	130.8	128.91	127.75	128.08	128.41	127.95(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	20	1	-133	1.29	44%	0.02	-56.1	0.8%	0	-1.3	32	0
5	Jun_11_2015	134.48	130.99	129.25	127.9	127.98	128.45	128.45(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	37	-124	1.34	44%	0.04	-63	0.82%	0	-1.2	33	0

6	Jun_10_2015	134.43	131.18	129.68	128.14	128.01	127.75	128.55(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-45	-20	-14	-136	1.73	41%	0.04	-65.4	0.82%	0	-1.3	35	0
7	Jun_9_2015	134.38	131.4	130.2	128.64	128.52	127.51	127.27(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-102	-60	-87	-147	2.04	39%	-0.06	-62.7	0.84%	0	-2.1	26	0
8	Jun_8_2015	134.46	131.71	130.7	129.26	129.38	128.26	127.28(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-125	-60	-117	-150	1.88	39%	0.03	-65.9	0.84%	0	-2.5	25	0
9	Jun_5_2015	134.42	132.08	131.25	130.06	130.13	129.53	127.95(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-101	-30	-93	-123	3.2	45%	0.03	-60.7	0.85%	0	-2.7	28	0
10	Jun_4_2015	134.38	132.36	131.75	130.76	130.8	130.5	129.67(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-20	-38	-71	2.9	47%	0.04	-57.6	0.91%	0	-2.2	45	0

11	Jun_3_2015	134.32	132.56	132.04	131.43	131.21	130.74	131.04(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-30	-49	-58	1.86	49%	0.04	-47.5	0.9%	0	-1.4	47	0
12	Jun_2_2015	134.26	132.68	132.28	132.04	131.8	131.09	130.37(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-56	-40	-60	-43	1.96	49%	0.03	-40.8	0.9%	0	-2.3	41	0
13	Jun_1_2015	134.22	132.88	132.62	132.38	132.43	131.69	131.28(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-40	-58	-30	2.18	49%	0.03	-39.1	0.9%	0	-1.7	43	0
14	May_29_2015	134.18	133.03	132.86	132.62	132.67	132.51	131.46(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-10	-48	-24	3.03	49%	0.02	-44.6	0.9%	0	-1.8	38	0
15	May_28_2015	134.15	133.06	132.89	132.86	132.88	133.17	133(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	20	27	5	3.21	52%	0.04	-58.1	0.9%	0	-0.1	49	0

16	May_27_2015	134.1	133.07	132.8	132.72	132.71	132.83	134.07(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	10	10	16	-10	2.95	52%	0.06	-74.2	0.9%	0	1.2	52	0
17	May_26_2015	134.02	133.09	132.66	132.6	132.66	132.6	132.07(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-0	-14	-28	2.48	49%	0.13	-77.6	0.88%	0	-1.1	45	0
18	May_22_2015	133.85	133.24	132.76	132.93	132.92	132.59	132.47(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-20	-18	-27	1.19	49%	-0.01	-51.2	0.87%	0	-0.7	40	0
19	May_21_2015	133.87	133.42	132.95	133.14	133.12	132.72	132.71(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-20	-28	-24	1.54	49%	0.05	-31.8	0.87%	0	-0.6	43	0
20	May_20_2015	133.8	133.55	133	132.9	133.17	133.25	132.29(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	10	-5	-15	1.64	49%	0.04	-36.3	0.88%	0	-1	53	0

21	May_19_2015	133.75	133.69	133.13	132.85	132.92	133.51	133.45(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	30	34	1	1.33	49%	0.05	-44.6	0.88%	0	-0.2	51	0
22	May_18_2015	133.68	133.78	133.1	132.73	132.67	133.1	133.74(0.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	38	20	52	-4	1.45	49%	0.04	-54.3	0.88%	0	-0	45	0
23	May_15_2015	133.62	133.82	133.14	132.58	132.52	132.32	133.53(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-15	-10	-8	-36	2.36	49%	0	-66.7	0.87%	0	-0.2	43	0
24	May_14_2015	133.62	133.8	133.18	132.77	132.78	132.25	131.47(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-61	-30	-60	-62	3.02	45%	0.03	-77.1	0.86%	0	-1.8	32	0
25	May_13_2015	133.58	133.99	133.26	133.14	133.52	132.72	132.06(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-30	-47	-64	2.14	45%		-73.7	0.86%	0	-1.5	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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