Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $123.9595 (-0.97%) ($123.9062 - $126.4721) on Wed. Jan. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $123.9595(-0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $125.55
5 Day Moving Average   $125.51(-1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.66(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.55(-1.27%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $54.731b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.26% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.23%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.75%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.83%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.05%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2015	120.06	125.55	124.66	125.51	125.78	125.48	123.96(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10	-30	-51	2.02	51%	0.1	-28.6	0.89%	0	-1	34	0
2	Jan_27_2015	119.94	125.72	124.8	125.43	125.62	126.14	125.18(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	15	30	31	-34	1.79	53%	0.12	-26.2	0.88%	0	-0.3	48	0
3	Jan_26_2015	119.8	125.82	124.91	125.14	124.99	126.07	126.88(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	61	60	85	-13	1.48	56%	0.13	-26.4	0.86%	0	0.7	59	0
4	Jan_23_2015	119.65	125.84	124.9	124.57	124.47	125.1	126.12(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	68	30	97	-18	1.7	56%	0.13	-25.4	0.86%	0	0.2	51	0
5	Jan_22_2015	119.5	125.92	125.15	124.09	123.92	123.91	125.42(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-0	16	-51	1.9	56%	0.16	-17.3	0.86%	0	-0.3	49	0

6	Jan_21_2015	119.31	126.01	125.39	123.74	123.79	123.83	123.53(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	0	-16	-73	1.68	56%	0.13	-10.9	0.84%	0	-1.4	37	0
7	Jan_20_2015	119.15	126.14	125.65	124.09	123.88	123.93	123.75(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-0	-15	-68	1.84	61%	0.14	3.7	0.86%	0	-1.4	39	0
8	Jan_16_2015	118.98	126.25	125.75	124.64	124.34	123.74	124.05(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-40	-44	-74	1.78	60%	0.15	14.6	0.93%	0	-1.4	39	0
9	Jan_15_2015	118.8	126.26	125.94	125.28	125.2	123.83	123.68(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-104	-80	-109	-90	1.82	57%	0.14	25.9	0.95%	0	-1.8	37	0
10	Jan_14_2015	118.63	126.21	126.18	126.39	126.2	124.95	123.68(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-126	-70	-140	-82	2.21	57%	0.14	31.9	0.97%	0	-1.7	36	0

11	Jan_13_2015	118.46	126.19	126.57	127.28	127.55	126.57	125.26(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-50	-50	-58	-24	2.2	57%	0.15	33.1	0.96%	0	-0.6	44	0
12	Jan_12_2015	118.28	126.08	126.78	127.42	127.87	127.45	126.53(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10	-37	-6	1.34	59%	0.17	20.4	0.97%	0	0.2	54	0
13	Jan_9_2015	118.08	126.03	126.86	126.97	127.47	128.54	127.24(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	70	40	20	1.73	59%	0.17	9.3	0.97%	0	0.6	57	0
14	Jan_8_2015	117.88	125.89	126.88	126.67	126.78	128.28	129.23(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	121	90	138	68	2.94	65%	0.2	0.6	0.94%	0	1.7	72	0
15	Jan_7_2015	117.65	125.75	126.71	125.99	125.96	126.4	128.13(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	20	63	46	2.17	65%	0.19	-9.4	0.99%	0	1.3	74	0

16	Jan_6_2015	117.43	125.64	126.59	125.84	125.82	125.28	125.94(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-17	-30	-31	25	3.19	63%	0.17	-11.2	0.98%	0	0.2	65	0
17	Jan_5_2015	117.23	125.7	126.6	126.11	126.28	125.53	124.3(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-43	-40	-68	33	1.75	61%	0.17	-4.9	0.98%	0	-0.8	62	0
18	Jan_2_2015	117.03	125.83	126.78	126.72	126.81	126.35	125.73(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-24	-20	-52	60	1.47	66%	0.28	11.7	0.97%	0	-0.1	51	0
19	Dec_31_2014	116.7	125.88	126.62	127.08	127.18	127.03	125.85(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10	-29	77	1.49	66%	0.18	25.9	0.97%	0	-0	55	0
20	Dec_30_2014	116.49	125.93	126.28	127.51	127.49	127.28	127.4(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-8	78	1.16	69%	0.19	39.3	0.96%	0	0.8	50	0

21	Dec_29_2014	116.27	125.85	125.83	127.46	127.7	127.32	127.26(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-20	-11	61	1.36	69%	0.19	45.1	0.96%	0	0.8	52	0
22	Dec_26_2014	116.05	125.79	125.36	127.18	127.55	127.7	127.35(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	20	-2	36	1.23	69%	0.29	48.6	0.96%	0	0.9	49	0
23	Dec_24_2014	115.71	125.62	125.15	126.84	127.17	128.07	127.54(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	60	70	49	0.74	67%	0.2	42.9	0.98%	0	1.1	50	0
24	Dec_23_2014	115.48	125.41	124.82	126.08	126.39	127.4	127.98(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	98	60	118	38	1.46	67%	0.21	30.5	0.99%	0	1.5	52	0
25	Dec_22_2014	115.24	125.21	124.66	124.86	125.04	126.27	127.15(1.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	68	70	92	-6	1.78	67%		14.8	0.99%	0	1.1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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