Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $129.2332 (0.86%) ($128.6828 - $129.7126) on Thu. Jan. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $129.2332(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.67(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.88(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.89(2.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $57.059b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.3%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.59%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2015	117.88	125.89	126.88	126.67	126.78	128.28	129.23(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	121	90	138	68	2.94	65%	0.2	0.6	0.94%	0	1.7	72	INF
2	Jan_7_2015	117.65	125.75	126.71	125.99	125.96	126.4	128.13(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	20	63	46	2.17	65%	0.19	-9.4	0.99%	0	1.3	74	INF
3	Jan_6_2015	117.43	125.64	126.59	125.84	125.82	125.28	125.94(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-17	-30	-31	25	3.19	63%	0.17	-11.2	0.98%	0	0.2	65	INF
4	Jan_5_2015	117.23	125.7	126.6	126.11	126.28	125.53	124.3(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-43	-40	-68	33	1.75	61%	0.17	-4.9	0.98%	0	-0.8	62	INF
5	Jan_2_2015	117.03	125.83	126.78	126.72	126.81	126.35	125.73(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-24	-20	-52	60	1.47	66%	0.28	11.7	0.97%	0	-0.1	51	INF

6	Dec_31_2014	116.7	125.88	126.62	127.08	127.18	127.03	125.85(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10	-29	77	1.49	66%	0.18	25.9	0.97%	0	-0	55	INF
7	Dec_30_2014	116.49	125.93	126.28	127.51	127.49	127.28	127.4(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-8	78	1.16	69%	0.19	39.3	0.96%	0	0.8	50	INF
8	Dec_29_2014	116.27	125.85	125.83	127.46	127.7	127.32	127.26(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-20	-11	61	1.36	69%	0.19	45.1	0.96%	0	0.8	52	INF
9	Dec_26_2014	116.05	125.79	125.36	127.18	127.55	127.7	127.35(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	20	-2	36	1.23	69%	0.29	48.6	0.96%	0	0.9	49	INF
10	Dec_24_2014	115.71	125.62	125.15	126.84	127.17	128.07	127.54(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	60	70	49	0.74	67%	0.2	42.9	0.98%	0	1.1	50	INF

11	Dec_23_2014	115.48	125.41	124.82	126.08	126.39	127.4	127.98(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	98	60	118	38	1.46	67%	0.21	30.5	0.99%	0	1.5	52	INF
12	Dec_22_2014	115.24	125.21	124.66	124.86	125.04	126.27	127.15(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	68	70	92	-6	1.78	67%	0.2	14.8	0.99%	0	1.1	49	INF
13	Dec_19_2014	115.01	125.05	124.54	123.97	123.99	125.37	125.87(0.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	80	80	113	-21	4.03	66%	0.19	3	0.99%	0	0.5	49	INF
14	Dec_18_2014	114.79	124.94	124.63	123.28	123.23	123.81	125.68(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	40	30	71	-53	2.9	66%	0.18	-6.7	0.99%	0	0.4	48	INF
15	Dec_17_2014	114.58	124.87	124.72	123.25	122.92	122.6	123.7(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-30	-27	-84	2.43	64%	0.17	0	0.97%	0	-0.7	51	INF

16	Dec_16_2014	114.39	124.88	125.02	123.42	123.63	122.64	121.91(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-85	-50	-83	-89	2.47	63%	0.16	9	0.96%	0	-1.8	49	INF
17	Dec_15_2014	114.21	124.96	125.55	124.43	124.73	123.24	122.69(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-98	-80	-111	-60	2.46	63%	0.17	30.7	0.96%	0	-1.4	48	INF
18	Dec_12_2014	114.02	125	125.92	125.17	125.6	124.62	122.41(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-100	-40	-122	-35	3.67	63%	0.16	46.8	0.96%	0	-1.6	47	INF
19	Dec_11_2014	113.84	125.06	126.33	126.12	126.34	126.21	125.55(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-0	-36	41	2.4	69%	0.18	72.1	0.9%	0	0.3	61	INF
20	Dec_10_2014	113.63	124.87	126.22	126.41	126.66	126.58	124.52(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	14	0	-3	63	4.92	69%	0.19	72.6	0.9%	0	-0.2	53	INF

21	Dec_9_2014	113.42	124.73	126.14	126.41	126.7	126.47	127(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-20	-20	74	2.09	75%	0.21	75	0.86%	0	1.2	69	INF
22	Dec_8_2014	113.18	124.48	125.87	126.84	126.8	126.75	126.37(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-0	-10	85	1.95	75%	0.19	82.6	0.86%	0	1	70	INF
23	Dec_5_2014	112.96	124.26	125.64	126.78	126.81	126.93	127.18(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	10	12	100	1.2	76%	0.21	92	0.86%	0	1.6	76	INF
24	Dec_4_2014	112.72	123.97	125.29	126.58	126.71	126.85	126.98(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	10	30	104	1.32	79%	0.2	101.4	0.87%	0	1.7	73	INF
25	Dec_3_2014	112.49	123.66	125.01	126	126.41	126.69	126.69(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	30	39	99	1.8	79%		105.6	0.94%	0	1.7	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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