Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $101.2904 (0.18%) ($100.9991 - $101.5288) on Thu. May. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $101.2904(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(60%)    SPY(59%)    QQQ(58%)    XLK(55%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $101.36
5 Day Moving Average   $101.77(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.78(-0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.36(-0.07%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $44.722b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2014	100.13		101.78	101.77	101.68	101.28	101.29(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-30	-26	48	1.06	58%	0.03	32.6	0.75%	0	-0.1	50	INF
2	May_21_2014	100.1		101.76	101.7	101.77	101.65	101.11(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-10	-27	41	1.71	58%	0.02	37.6	0.76%	0	-0.3	48	INF
3	May_20_2014	100.08	101.36	101.55	101.81	101.68	102.07	101.64(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	20	9	38	2.13	58%	0.03	50.5	0.76%	0	0.3	49	INF
4	May_19_2014	100.05	101.28	101.33	101.95	101.67	101.89	102.74(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	10	38	41	2.21	62%	0.06	59.2	0.75%	0	1.5	54	INF
5	May_16_2014	99.99	101.16	101.12	101.91	101.73	101.3	102.07(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-8	-30	-14	12	2.15	62%	0.05	68.4	0.75%	0	0.9	51	INF

6	May_15_2014	99.94	101.05	101.04	101.81	101.89	101.46	100.95(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-30	-50	-6	1.89	59%	0.02	71.9	0.74%	0	-0.1	49	INF
7	May_14_2014	99.92	101	101.04	101.82	101.95	102.16	101.64(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	20	22	27	1.26	59%	0.04	72.7	0.74%	0	0.6	52	INF
8	May_13_2014	99.88	100.86	101.11	101.2	101.53	102.33	102.35(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	77	60	92	33	1.23	59%	0.07	48.2	0.74%	0	1.3	57	INF
9	May_12_2014	99.81	100.7	101.01	100.59	100.66	101.73	102.55(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	80	80	100	21	1.94	59%	0.06	39.1	0.75%	0	1.7	64	INF
10	May_9_2014	99.75	100.5	100.9	100.24	100.08	100.72	101.56(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	40	80	6	1.95	56%	0.05	36.4	0.75%	0	1	57	NAN

11	May_8_2014	99.7	100.36	100.86	100.19	100.01	99.58	100.98(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-40	-10	-23	2.56	56%	0.03	35.7	0.75%	0	0.5	57	NAN
12	May_7_2014	99.67	100.29	100.88	100.34	100.39	99.44	98.56(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-111	-60	-129	-55	2.95	47%	-0.03	44.3	0.65%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
13	May_6_2014	99.7	100.33	101.16	100.99	101.09	100.44	99.31(-1.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-73	-40	-101	10	1.95	50%	-0.01	65.8	0.64%	0	-0.9	60	NAN
14	May_5_2014	99.71	100.26	101.26	101.44	101.46	101.33	100.77(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-10	-50	68	1.4	58%	0.03	66.4	0.6%	0	0.4	66	NAN
15	May_2_2014	99.68	100.1	101.24	101.64	101.65	101.73	101.35(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	10	13	123	1.32	58%	0.05	62.3	0.6%	0	0.9	74	NAN

16	May_1_2014	99.63	99.95	101.1	101.61	101.64	101.59	101.71(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-0	13	134	1.17	58%	0.07	61.2	0.61%	0	1.3	78	NAN
17	Apr_30_2014	99.56	99.77	100.92	101.52	101.49	101.56	101.82(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	0	-0	128	1.63	58%	0.07	58.4	0.62%	0	1.5	67	NAN
18	Apr_29_2014	99.49	99.6	100.62	101.36	101.39	101.69	101.57(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	20	47	134	1.58	58%	0.06	51.5	0.63%	0	1.5	68	NAN
19	Apr_28_2014	99.43	99.43	100.37	101.04	101.09	101.41	101.74(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	20	52	133	3.02	58%	0.08	42.4	0.64%	0	1.9	77	NAN
20	Apr_25_2014	99.35	99.25	100.06	100.78	100.7	101.08	101.23(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	20	43	130	1.72	58%	0.07	32.2	0.64%	0	1.7	76	NAN

21	Apr_24_2014	99.28	99.11	99.8	100.51	100.47	100.78	101.25(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	20	56	125	1.94	58%	0.07	24.8	0.65%	0	2.1	67	NAN
22	Apr_23_2014	99.21	98.99	99.61	100.24	100.18	100.33	101.03(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	10	38	114	2	58%	0.06	18.5	0.67%	0	2.2	66	NAN
23	Apr_22_2014	99.15	98.93	99.41	99.76	99.94	100.16	99.95(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	30	96	2.32	53%	0.03	4.7	0.65%	0	1.2	60	NAN
24	Apr_21_2014	99.12	98.91	99.18	99.58	99.6	100.04	100.43(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	30	50	90	1.83	53%	0.06	-2.4	0.65%	0	1.8	64	NAN
25	Apr_17_2014	99.06	98.88	98.87	99.23	99.29	99.72	99.9(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	30	66	71	1.66	53%		-12.3	0.66%	0	1.3	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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