Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $42.6951 (-3.29%) ($42.3083 - $43.9423) on Wed. Jul. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $42.6951(-3.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(85%)    OIH(81%)    XOP(78%)    IWD(64%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-13%)    DIA(-6%)    BNDX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $43.39
5 Day Moving Average   $42.89(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.98(-0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.39(-1.6%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $45.793b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.81%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.52%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2017	44.94	43.39	42.98	42.89	43.02	43.33	42.7(-3.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	60	12	-60	7.73	53%	-0.2	-5	1.52%	0	-0.7	42	INF
2	Jul_3_2017	45.03	43.41	43.13	42.86	42.86	43.09	44.15(3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	40	26	-65	5.74	58%	-0.09	-7.9	1.46%	0	0.8	42	INF
3	Jun_30_2017	45.07	43.33	43.17	42.58	42.69	42.71	42.5(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	10	-6	-95	9.13	64%	-0.11	-22.6	1.36%	0	-0.9	36	INF
4	Jun_29_2017	45.12	43.35	43.41	42.75	42.79	42.64	42.62(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-8	-57	8.25	64%	-0.11	-21.4	1.76%	0	-0.8	47	INF
5	Jun_28_2017	45.17	43.39	43.54	42.89	42.95	42.68	42.5(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-40	-16	-40	6.98	66%	-0.11	-26.3	1.77%	0	-1	59	INF

6	Jun_27_2017	45.22	43.43	43.69	43.08	43.17	42.93	42.51(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-30	-22	-21	8.7	66%	-0.13	-31.5	1.8%	0	-1.1	55	INF
7	Jun_26_2017	45.28	43.48	43.93	43.44	43.45	43.21	42.76(-1.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-13	-40	-20	7	9.05	66%	-0.11	-31	1.8%	0	-0.8	51	INF
8	Jun_23_2017	45.33	43.54	44.09	43.85	43.71	43.41	43.34(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-60	-22	36	8.48	66%	-0.07	-29.3	1.79%	0	-0.2	56	INF
9	Jun_22_2017	45.36	43.55	44.11	44.18	44.1	43.68	43.32(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-70	-17	58	8.88	66%	-0.09	-25.9	1.79%	0	-0.3	54	INF
10	Jun_21_2017	45.4	43.63	43.97	44.29	44.1	44.02	43.46(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-50	-16	52	10.79	66%	-0.07	-19.9	1.8%	0	-0.2	51	INF

11	Jun_20_2017	45.43	43.71	43.86	44.38	44.39	44.52	44.3(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	20	-10	53	7.74	69%	-0.02	-17.9	1.79%	0	0.6	56	INF
12	Jun_19_2017	45.44	43.75	43.73	44.5	44.4	44.77	44.82(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	50	19	69	6.03	69%	-0.04	-16	1.78%	0	1	58	INF
13	Jun_16_2017	45.46	43.79	43.51	44.38	44.31	44.25	44.99(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10	17	55	11.64	69%	-0.09	-16.4	1.78%	0	1.1	55	INF
14	Jun_15_2017	45.5	43.77	43.27	44.04	44.17	44.02	43.88(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10	7	32	9.67	69%	-0.11	-28.5	1.76%	0	0.1	52	INF
15	Jun_14_2017	45.55	43.81	43.21	43.6	43.83	44.38	43.91(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	100	21	6	7.07	65%	-0.09	-42.7	1.77%	0	0.1	42	INF

16	Jun_13_2017	45.59	43.89	43.13	43.24	43.25	44.31	44.89(1.55%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	33	170	48	-13	8.6	69%	-0.07	-45.4	1.77%	0	0.8	45	INF
17	Jun_12_2017	45.62	43.92	42.95	42.86	42.71	43.29	44.2(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	80	46	-46	13.55	69%	-0.09	-49.8	1.76%	0	0.2	40	INF
18	Jun_9_2017	45.66	43.97	42.89	42.53	42.38	42.19	43.33(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-40	4	-92	10.41	64%	-0.11	-54.6	1.76%	0	-0.5	32	INF
19	Jun_8_2017	45.71	44.09	42.9	42.42	42.42	42.13	41.64(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-50	-27	-125	9.18	54%	-0.13	-49.7	1.69%	0	-1.8	29	INF
20	Jun_7_2017	45.77	44.31	43.25	42.77	42.68	42.56	42.12(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-30	-14	-101	13.14	54%	-0.13	-44.7	1.74%	0	-1.8	31	INF

21	Jun_6_2017	45.83	44.44	43.55	42.99	42.92	42.7	43(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-40	-5	-93	8.58	57%	-0.07	-45.5	1.73%	0	-1.3	30	INF
22	Jun_5_2017	45.86	44.56	43.78	43.05	42.99	42.79	42.56(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-40	-19	-101	5.73	57%	-0.13	-48.2	1.73%	0	-1.8	25	INF
23	Jun_2_2017	45.92	44.69	44.11	43.3	43.15	43.13	42.79(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10	-9	-84	8	54%	-0.11	-51.4	1.73%	0	-1.9	31	INF
24	Jun_1_2017	45.97	44.77	44.32	43.46	43.35	43.13	43.37(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-40	-13	-87	7.95	58%	-0.13	-61.2	1.74%	0	-1.6	31	INF
25	May_31_2017	46.03	44.87	44.48	43.81	43.58	43.18	43.21(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-80	-28	-84	8.77	57%		-61.5	1.77%	0	-2	31	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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