Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $42.1839 (-2.84%) ($42.1747 - $43.2879) on Mon. Sep. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $42.1839(-2.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(84%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    IWD(63%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-12%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $44.18
5 Day Moving Average   $43.66(-3.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.24(-4.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.18(-4.52%)
To recent high   -24.3%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $45.245b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.29%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.99%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2015	50.79	44.18	44.24	43.66	43.73	43.28	42.18(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-31	-70	-32	-26	8	36%	-0.35	74.6	2.22%	0	-2.3	40	INF
2	Sep_25_2015	50.97	44.24	44.36	44.2	44.18	43.93	43.42(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-40	-13	-2	8.63	37%	-0.33	110.1	2.2%	0	-1	52	INF
3	Sep_24_2015	51.14	44.2	44.39	44.41	44.39	44.18	43.94(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-30	-18	-1	8.19	37%	-0.31	101	2.2%	0	-0.3	49	INF
4	Sep_23_2015	51.3	44.02	44.46	44.85	44.62	44.43	44.03(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-50	-14	17	6.32	37%	-0.33	66.3	2.2%	0	0	49	INF
5	Sep_22_2015	51.47	43.78	44.47	45.14	44.98	44.59	44.73(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-70	-2	34	10.22	37%	-0.31	37.1	2.2%	0	0.6	55	INF

6	Sep_21_2015	51.63	43.54	44.45	44.9	45.06	44.82	44.85(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-30	-1	22	7.73	37%	-0.31	15.2	2.21%	0	0.7	48	INF
7	Sep_18_2015	51.79	43.39	44.31	44.53	44.75	45.37	44.49(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	110	11	17	12.76	37%	-0.33	0.7	2.2%	0	0.6	57	INF
8	Sep_17_2015	51.96	43.32	44.29	44.35	44.31	45.3	46.12(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	150	41	35	14.82	39%	-0.29	-8.9	2.17%	0	1.5	66	INF
9	Sep_16_2015	52.11	43.18	44.09	44.03	43.75	44.13	45.51(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	40	26	44	11.35	39%	-0.31	-23.1	2.16%	0	1.3	72	INF
10	Sep_15_2015	52.27	43.16	43.91	43.74	43.65	43.32	43.5(1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-60	-10	52	6.68	35%	-0.32	-29.9	2.06%	0	0.2	71	INF

11	Sep_14_2015	52.44	43.25	44.08	43.95	43.93	43.38	43.03(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-90	-20	94	8.77	35%	-0.32	-27.3	2.06%	0	-0.1	66	INF
12	Sep_11_2015	52.61	43.37	44.11	44.03	44.22	43.97	43.57(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-30	-15	110	9.27	35%	-0.36	-23.3	2.05%	0	0.1	57	INF
13	Sep_10_2015	52.8	43.48	43.99	44.18	44.17	44.47	44.56(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	50	-1	119	8.87	37%	-0.3	-21.1	2.04%	0	0.5	54	INF
14	Sep_9_2015	52.96	43.6	43.57	44.14	44.27	44.48	44.02(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	40	17	102	16.2	37%	-0.34	-15.8	2.05%	0	0.2	50	INF
15	Sep_8_2015	53.14	43.7	43.08	44.12	44.16	43.87	44.59(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-40	-6	53	13.56	37%	-0.47	-14.8	2.04%	0	0.4	46	INF

16	Sep_4_2015	53.39	43.76	42.59	44.25	44.06	44.07	43.43(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10	-9	20	10.52	35%	-0.34	-12.4	2%	0	-0.1	43	INF
17	Sep_3_2015	53.57	43.84	42.42	44.18	44.15	44.45	44.33(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	50	27	5	9.7	36%	-0.33	-15.7	1.99%	0	0.2	44	INF
18	Sep_2_2015	53.75	43.92	42.28	43.75	43.67	44.06	44.34(0.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	20	60	35	-27	11.27	36%	-0.33	-23.8	1.99%	0	0.2	43	INF
19	Sep_1_2015	53.93	43.95	42.19	42.87	43.06	43.86	43.93(-2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	140	55	-75	17.19	36%	-0.28	-40.1	1.99%	0	-0	38	INF
20	Aug_31_2015	54.08	44.04	42.3	41.85	41.98	43.29	45.22(4.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	23	230	69	-117	17.78	37%	-0.28	-55.2	1.96%	0	0.5	45	INF

21	Aug_28_2015	54.23	44.05	42.27	40.71	41.05	42.25	43.08(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	230	64	-178	14.9	33%	-0.31	-68.5	1.85%	0	-0.4	39	INF
22	Aug_27_2015	54.4	44.21	42.49	40.44	40.19	40.67	42.2(5.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-42	70	14	-209	19.43	31%	-0.29	-71.8	1.82%	0	-0.8	41	INF
23	Aug_26_2015	54.56	44.49	42.85	40.65	40.38	39.85	39.94(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-90	-110	-37	-247	18.99	25%	-0.37	-71	1.65%	0	-1.7	28	INF
24	Aug_25_2015	54.76	44.93	43.6	41.44	41.38	39.71	38.82(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-130	-290	-97	-230	15.89	22%	-0.36	-71.1	1.6%	0	-2.5	29	INF
25	Aug_24_2015	54.96	45.41	44.39	42.78	42.47	40.91	39.5(-5.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-143	-280	-130	-181	21.26	22%		-76.9	1.61%	0	-2.9	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.