Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $43.2419 (-1.43%) ($43.2419 - $44.2494) on Thu. Aug. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $43.2419(-1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(84%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    IVE(62%)    USO(59%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39.3(-9.12%)
Resistance Level   $46.12
5 Day Moving Average   $44.81(-3.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.46(-4.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.12(-6.24%)
To recent high   -27.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $46.38b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 3.25% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.62%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.65%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.68%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.49%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2015	55.27	46.12	45.46	44.81	44.79	44.03	43.24(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-67	-120	-63	-78	10.55	26%	-0.23	-96.6	1.46%	0	-1.9	37	INF
2	Aug_19_2015	55.4	46.44	45.78	45.38	45.38	45.01	43.87(-3.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-60	-50	-59	14.53	25%	-0.23	-89.6	1.46%	0	-1.6	33	INF
3	Aug_18_2015	55.53	46.78	45.94	46.09	45.88	45.56	45.55(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-60	-19	-41	7.31	27%	-0.22	-78.1	1.41%	0	-0.7	35	INF
4	Aug_17_2015	55.65	47.05	45.98	46.25	46.21	45.75	45.6(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-70	-21	-52	5.81	27%	-0.2	-75.4	1.41%	0	-0.8	39	INF
5	Aug_14_2015	55.76	47.32	46	46.37	46.28	46.2	45.79(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-20	-9	-49	7.85	27%	-0.2	-71.8	1.42%	0	-0.7	48	INF

6	Aug_13_2015	55.87	47.61	46.05	46.2	46.17	46.67	46.09(-2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	70	15	-62	10.05	27%	-0.2	-71.6	1.42%	0	-0.7	43	INF
7	Aug_12_2015	55.98	47.92	46.22	46.23	45.96	46.35	47.42(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	40	46	-65	14.04	28%	-0.16	-67.2	1.39%	0	-0.2	41	INF
8	Aug_11_2015	56.07	48.18	46.3	45.79	45.96	45.67	46.37(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-0	7	-124	10.71	24%	-0.18	-65.6	1.35%	0	-0.6	34	INF
9	Aug_10_2015	56.17	48.55	46.45	45.69	45.62	45.56	46.19(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	-10	1	-157	10.57	24%	-0.21	-64.2	1.38%	0	-0.8	31	INF
10	Aug_7_2015	56.29	48.9	46.5	45.6	45.71	45.57	44.93(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-64	-10	-14	-214	10.29	19%	-0.2	-63.7	1.33%	0	-1.3	25	INF

11	Aug_6_2015	56.4	49.34	46.8	45.88	45.76	45.68	46.26(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-80	-20	-25	-245	11.64	20%	-0.19	-64.9	1.3%	0	-1	27	INF
12	Aug_5_2015	56.51	49.69	47.13	46.21	46.09	45.68	45.19(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-97	-40	-39	-271	8.05	16%	-0.19	-65.2	1.25%	0	-1.5	19	INF
13	Aug_4_2015	56.62	50.09	47.67	46.9	46.72	45.85	45.88(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-102	-140	-49	-262	7.69	17%	-0.18	-65.4	1.25%	0	-1.5	19	INF
14	Aug_3_2015	56.72	50.51	48.2	47.34	47.35	46.32	45.74(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-119	-150	-67	-274	11.24	17%	-0.18	-66.7	1.24%	0	-1.7	17	INF
15	Jul_31_2015	56.82	50.91	48.76	47.51	47.79	47.58	46.31(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-101	-10	-44	-273	12.2	17%	-0.16	-75	1.25%	0	-1.8	21	INF

16	Jul_30_2015	56.91	51.35	49.32	47.83	47.85	48.37	47.91(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-67	80	0	-269	10.08	19%	-0.12	-78.5	1.19%	0	-1.4	24	INF
17	Jul_29_2015	56.98	51.69	49.78	48.2	47.95	48	48.67(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-62	-10	4	-260	11.82	20%	-0.12	-81.9	1.18%	0	-1.3	29	INF
18	Jul_28_2015	57.05	52.04	50.2	48.6	48.38	47.33	48.06(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-118	-170	-67	-272	13.38	17%	-0.12	-80.1	1.17%	0	-1.6	27	INF
19	Jul_27_2015	57.12	52.41	50.79	49.24	49.19	47.9	46.6(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-170	-190	-133	-282	14.27	8%	-0.17	-79.8	1.1%	0	-2.5	14	INF
20	Jul_24_2015	57.22	52.92	51.5	50.19	50.29	49.42	47.92(-3.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-131	-120	-99	-226	13.24	9%	-0.16	-80.3	1.06%	0	-2.5	21	INF

21	Jul_23_2015	57.31	53.36	52.1	50.99	50.98	50.48	49.72(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-103	-70	-72	-195	12.07	10%	-0.14	-81.4	0.98%	0	-2	21	INF
22	Jul_22_2015	57.39	53.73	52.48	51.57	51.48	51.15	50.69(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-81	-50	-52	-169	10.37	11%	-0.14	-76.2	0.96%	0	-1.7	28	INF
23	Jul_21_2015	57.47	54.06	52.72	52.04	51.98	51.49	51.28(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-83	-70	-54	-170	8.42	12%	-0.12	-70.6	0.96%	0	-1.6	26	INF
24	Jul_20_2015	57.54	54.34	53.01	52.6	52.47	51.8	51.36(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-90	-100	-68	-156	8.09	12%	-0.12	-65.9	0.96%	0	-1.7	29	INF
25	Jul_17_2015	57.61	54.61	53.26	53.02	53.01	52.47	51.93(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-84	-70	-60	-155	7.36	11%		-66.7	0.97%	0	-1.7	27	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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