Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $61.9390 (4.2%) ($59.1951 - $62.0190) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.02% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $61.9390(4.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(85%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    IVE(62%)    USO(59%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -1.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.01% (StdDev 2.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.88(-22.7%)
5 Day Moving Average   $57.55(7.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.65(7.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60(3.23%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $66.434b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 5.52% (three month std-dev: 2.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.14%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.21%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2014	65.54	60	57.65	57.55	57.65	59.74	61.94(4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	72	260	108	-37	15.95	42%	-0.2	-43.5	2.02%	0	0.6	58	0
2	Dec_17_2014	65.67	60.08	57.52	56.46	56.3	56.97	59.44(5.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	70	53	-100	15.36	39%	-0.23	-50.4	1.95%	0	-0.2	41	0
3	Dec_16_2014	65.82	60.27	57.79	55.86	55.91	55.55	56.14(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-40	-12	-161	12.95	35%	-0.29	-54.5	1.79%	0	-1.2	30	0
4	Dec_15_2014	66.01	60.65	58.31	56.17	56.13	55.64	54.78(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-74	-60	-38	-183	9.82	34%	-0.32	-54.4	1.77%	0	-1.7	24	0
5	Dec_12_2014	66.22	61.1	58.88	56.76	56.63	56.27	55.46(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-78	-50	-40	-192	8.68	34%	-0.32	-55.6	1.78%	0	-1.8	24	0

6	Dec_11_2014	66.43	61.48	59.24	57.72	57.33	56.62	56.49(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-85	-110	-47	-200	8.18	35%	-0.3	-54	1.77%	0	-1.8	27	0
7	Dec_10_2014	66.63	61.84	59.88	58.73	58.36	56.98	56.42(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-105	-180	-77	-190	9.84	35%	-0.28	-47.5	1.77%	0	-2.1	31	0
8	Dec_9_2014	66.82	62.22	60.62	60.02	59.7	58.05	57.69(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-102	-210	-83	-158	12.14	36%	-0.25	-34	1.76%	0	-2	35	0
9	Dec_8_2014	66.99	62.54	61.35	60.78	60.92	59.73	57.75(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-78	-130	-63	-121	10.16	35%	-0.25	-26.3	1.76%	0	-2.4	36	0
10	Dec_5_2014	67.16	62.88	62.12	61.26	61.44	61.34	60.25(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-0	-10	-80	9.82	37%	-0.21	-23.7	1.7%	0	-1.5	41	0

11	Dec_4_2014	67.3	63.04	62.6	60.95	61.05	62.11	61.55(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	130	23	-66	10.72	38%	-0.21	-31.5	1.68%	0	-0.9	49	0
12	Dec_3_2014	67.44	63.08	62.85	61.22	60.43	61.53	62.87(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	90	39	-48	11.9	39%	-0.16	-27.5	1.67%	0	-0.1	50	0
13	Dec_2_2014	67.55	63.01	62.92	61.38	60.65	59.98	61.46(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-110	-13	-66	11.69	36%	-0.21	-27.2	1.65%	0	-1	43	0
14	Dec_1_2014	67.69	63.08	63.13	62.11	61.64	59.34	60.18(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-102	-280	-108	-84	14.03	34%	-0.21	-11.1	1.63%	0	-1.8	38	0
15	Nov_28_2014	67.83	63.28	63.49	63.16	63.1	61.32	58.67(-6.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-119	-200	-137	-66	11.78	31%	-0.34	13.5	1.59%	0	-3.2	29	0

16	Nov_26_2014	68.06	63.54	63.93	64.42	64.67	63.94	62.9(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-32	-70	-47	12	7.39	35%	-0.18	59.6	1.36%	0	-0.6	49	0
17	Nov_25_2014	68.18	63.51	63.93	64.65	65	64.88	63.7(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	0	-16	41	8.91	35%	-0.16	67.7	1.36%	0	0.2	62	0
18	Nov_24_2014	68.29	63.45	63.99	64.64	64.84	65.41	65.12(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	70	27	77	6.12	36%	-0.04	60.2	1.34%	0	1.5	76	0
19	Nov_21_2014	68.32	63.25	63.83	64.3	64.46	65.12	65.39(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	80	55	82	8.94	36%	-0.16	55.2	1.34%	0	2	63	0
20	Nov_20_2014	68.43	63.09	63.68	63.91	63.84	64.27	65.01(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	40	38	61	5.73	36%	-0.13	58.6	1.34%	0	1.9	53	0

21	Nov_19_2014	68.52	62.94	63.5	63.4	63.46	63.79	64.05(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	40	26	37	6.37	34%	-0.17	61.6	1.33%	0	1.2	53	0
22	Nov_18_2014	68.64	62.82	63.3	63.24	63.1	63.41	63.64(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	30	11	25	5.31	33%	-0.16	74.3	1.33%	0	0.9	58	0
23	Nov_17_2014	68.75	62.77	63.06	63.25	63.05	63.13	63.42(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-0	11	17	5.1	33%	-0.17	91.2	1.34%	0	0.7	55	0
24	Nov_14_2014	68.87	62.66	62.99	63.28	63.13	62.78	63.41(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-8	-50	-16	18	5.27	33%	-0.16	87.7	1.34%	0	0.7	60	0
25	Nov_13_2014	68.98	62.51	63.03	63.41	63.41	62.96	62.47(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-16	-50	-31	30	7.52	31%		71.6	1.33%	0	-0	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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