Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $61.6638 (-1.63%) ($61.6105 - $63.4487) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $61.6638(-1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COP declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(85%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    USO(59%)    XLI(59%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-11%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $63.61
5 Day Moving Average   $61.07(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.93(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.61(-3.06%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $66.139b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 5.22% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.41%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.12%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.31%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.4%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 7.76%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.65%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2014	70.55	63.61	60.93	61.07	61.56	62.43	61.66(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	22	120	71	-126	9.85	29%	-0.11	-63.6	1.29%	0	-0.6	34	INF
2	Oct_21_2014	70.63	63.97	61.26	60.51	60.61	61.54	62.69(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	22	110	79	-149	9	30%	-0.1	-67.9	1.3%	0	-0.4	35	INF
3	Oct_20_2014	70.7	64.29	61.44	59.73	59.44	60.7	61.12(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	130	50	-218	6.75	26%	-0.13	-72.6	1.25%	0	-0.9	24	INF
4	Oct_17_2014	70.79	64.73	61.88	59.59	59.2	59.68	60.46(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	40	45	-246	11.01	25%	-0.13	-71.8	1.24%	0	-1.1	18	INF
5	Oct_16_2014	70.88	65.24	62.39	60	59.38	58.18	59.43(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-128	-170	-70	-302	12.8	26%	-0.14	-67.8	1.22%	0	-1.5	12	INF

6	Oct_15_2014	70.98	65.8	63.02	60.8	60.46	58.71	58.83(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-189	-220	-148	-313	16.08	25%	-0.14	-64.4	1.26%	0	-1.9	11	INF
7	Oct_14_2014	71.08	66.41	63.76	62.14	62.12	60.59	58.79(-2.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-164	-170	-126	-276	13.02	27%	-0.17	-58.2	1.26%	0	-2.3	10	INF
8	Oct_13_2014	71.2	67.05	64.64	63.38	63.43	62.2	60.45(-3.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-143	-130	-110	-240	8.61	29%	-0.13	-54.5	1.24%	0	-2.3	11	INF
9	Oct_10_2014	71.29	67.54	65.45	64.47	64.43	63.65	62.48(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-110	-90	-78	-204	10.32	30%	-0.08	-52.5	1.19%	0	-2	13	INF
10	Oct_9_2014	71.35	67.89	66.08	65.13	65.19	64.65	63.44(-3.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-78	-60	-44	-181	10.35	31%	-0.07	-54.6	1.18%	0	-2	13	INF

11	Oct_8_2014	71.4	68.23	66.57	65.57	65.54	65.21	65.54(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-67	-40	-29	-182	12	33%	-0.03	-56.8	1.12%	0	-1.4	21	INF
12	Oct_7_2014	71.42	68.43	66.93	65.66	65.66	65.73	64.99(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	10	-26	-193	7.3	33%	-0.04	-63.2	1.11%	0	-1.8	15	INF
13	Oct_6_2014	71.45	68.67	67.37	66.11	65.92	65.87	65.91(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-10	-12	-184	6.39	35%	-0.03	-66.1	1.1%	0	-1.6	17	INF
14	Oct_3_2014	71.47	68.86	67.77	66.62	66.31	65.59	65.75(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-81	-90	-49	-176	5.57	35%	-0.01	-66.8	1.11%	0	-1.9	28	INF
15	Oct_2_2014	71.48	69.12	68.28	67.21	66.92	65.96	65.68(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-99	-110	-81	-154	7.41	35%	-0.04	-64.9	1.11%	0	-2.4	35	INF

16	Oct_1_2014	71.51	69.36	68.76	67.72	67.66	67.02	65.95(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-85	-70	-71	-127	8.72	35%	-0.03	-68.3	1.11%	0	-2.7	33	INF
17	Sep_30_2014	71.53	69.63	69.27	68.37	68.22	67.87	67.29(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-51	-40	-41	-80	8.4	36%	0	-67.6	1.09%	0	-2.4	40	INF
18	Sep_29_2014	71.53	69.8	69.65	68.79	68.6	68.3	68.45(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-40	-32	-48	5.89	38%	0.01	-68	1.08%	0	-1.6	45	INF
19	Sep_26_2014	71.52	69.95	69.8	69.11	68.98	68.57	68.69(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-50	-39	-34	5.26	38%	0.03	-54.1	1.08%	0	-1.5	46	INF
20	Sep_25_2014	71.5	70.06	69.85	69.54	69.45	68.89	68.21(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-46	-60	-50	-32	4.91	40%	0.01	-43.6	1.07%	0	-2.3	36	INF

21	Sep_24_2014	71.49	70.22	70.03	69.97	69.99	69.4	69.22(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-60	-48	-16	6.28	40%	0.04	-30.5	1.07%	0	-1.4	44	INF
22	Sep_23_2014	71.46	70.3	70.07	70.3	70.38	70	69.39(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-30	-44	-11	4.34	41%	0.04	-15.8	1.08%	0	-1.3	40	INF
23	Sep_22_2014	71.43	70.39	70.09	70.63	70.7	70.57	70.06(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-9	10	5.24	41%	0.06	5.1	1.08%	0	-0.5	47	INF
24	Sep_19_2014	71.39	70.41	70.04	70.58	70.76	70.75	70.84(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	10	17	5	8.05	42%	0.08	1	1.08%	0	0.6	45	INF
25	Sep_18_2014	71.33	70.43	70	70.21	70.37	70.83	70.32(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	50	15	-15	4.42	42%		-9.1	1.08%	0	-0.2	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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