Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ COP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)
COP latest price $73.8771 (-1.1%) ($73.6243 - $74.6444) on Fri. Jul. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $73.8771(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COP declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(85%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    USO(59%)    XLI(59%)
Factors Impacting COP price   COP will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-11%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $74.4
5 Day Moving Average   $74.69(-1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.84(-1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.4(-0.7%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $79.238b

ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.6%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2014	67.19	74.4	74.84	74.69	74.54	74.07	73.88(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-50	-48	-17	4.88	78%	0.13	101.8	0.68%	0	-0.6	47	INF
2	Jul_10_2014	67.1	74.33	74.95	74.99	74.71	74.46	74.7(-0.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-37	-30	-53	11	8.25	72%	0.13	112	0.68%	0	0.4	59	INF
3	Jul_9_2014	67.01	74.18	74.96	75.02	74.97	75.01	74.81(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	0	3	44	5.72	75%	0.15	102.7	0.77%	0	0.6	64	INF
4	Jul_8_2014	66.91	74.01	74.96	75.07	74.97	74.96	75.02(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-0	4	55	4.99	76%	0.16	98.3	0.8%	0	0.8	69	INF
5	Jul_7_2014	66.8	73.8	74.88	75.02	74.92	74.92	75.07(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-0	5	73	3.93	73%	0.15	89.8	0.8%	0	0.9	70	INF

6	Jul_3_2014	66.7	73.58	74.82	75	74.88	74.88	75.33(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-0	2	90	2.67	70%	0.18	78.2	0.81%	0	1	75	INF
7	Jul_2_2014	66.58	73.31	74.68	74.93	74.83	74.91	74.86(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	0	5	103	3.51	71%	0.17	74.1	0.82%	0	0.8	74	INF
8	Jul_1_2014	66.47	73.06	74.55	74.88	74.79	74.88	75.08(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	0	23	128	3.54	71%	0.17	71.2	0.82%	0	1	80	INF
9	Jun_30_2014	66.36	72.79	74.35	74.65	74.58	74.76	74.75(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	10	4	127	4.05	71%	0.18	68.1	0.82%	0	1	81	INF
10	Jun_27_2014	66.24	72.52	74.18	74.72	74.53	74.69	74.98(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	56	10	20	162	4.51	73%	0.18	71.1	0.83%	0	1.2	85	INF

11	Jun_26_2014	66.12	72.26	73.93	74.61	74.55	74.41	74.95(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-20	13	175	4.59	73%	0.18	73.6	0.83%	0	1.3	85	INF
12	Jun_25_2014	66	71.97	73.66	74.4	74.47	74.36	74.65(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	41	-10	-6	183	4.98	75%	0.2	74.8	0.83%	0	1.4	86	INF
13	Jun_24_2014	65.87	71.71	73.35	74.16	74.32	74.68	73.94(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	69	40	24	203	8.09	74%	0.17	76.8	0.83%	0	1.1	86	INF
14	Jun_23_2014	65.76	71.46	73.09	73.98	73.98	74.58	75.07(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	115	60	73	240	5.94	78%	0.21	79.3	0.8%	0	1.9	100	INF
15	Jun_20_2014	65.62	71.12	72.63	73.56	73.42	73.97	74.43(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	105	50	64	226	7.43	77%	0.2	80.2	0.81%	0	1.8	100	INF

16	Jun_19_2014	65.49	70.81	72.24	73.16	73.03	73.38	73.91(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	95	30	56	212	4.08	77%	0.2	81.3	0.81%	0	1.8	90	INF
17	Jun_18_2014	65.36	70.53	71.83	72.83	72.66	72.87	73.45(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	10	34	190	4.51	78%	0.18	83.3	0.82%	0	1.8	90	INF
18	Jun_17_2014	65.24	70.25	71.44	72.43	72.39	72.69	73.02(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	30	40	174	4.86	78%	0.2	79.9	0.83%	0	1.8	89	INF
19	Jun_16_2014	65.11	69.98	71.1	72.06	72.04	72.44	72.97(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	83	40	55	168	4.75	78%	0.18	77.1	0.83%	0	2	90	INF
20	Jun_13_2014	64.99	69.7	70.72	71.56	71.56	72.09	72.44(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	79	50	55	150	4.37	78%	0.18	74.2	0.84%	0	2	90	INF

21	Jun_12_2014	64.87	69.45	70.44	71.17	71.12	71.65	72.25(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	88	50	68	146	6.28	78%	0.19	74.7	0.85%	0	2.2	89	INF
22	Jun_11_2014	64.75	69.22	70.14	70.68	70.69	71.03	71.45(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	71	30	53	123	4.54	77%	0.17	74.1	0.85%	0	1.9	86	INF
23	Jun_10_2014	64.64	69.04	69.92	70.31	70.28	70.58	71.17(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	30	35	111	6.67	77%	0.17	77.6	0.85%	0	2	88	INF
24	Jun_9_2014	64.53	68.86	69.69	69.99	69.97	70.36	70.49(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	40	39	106	3.21	76%	0.17	84.1	0.86%	0	1.7	86	INF
25	Jun_6_2014	64.42	68.69	69.48	69.75	69.73	69.97	70.49(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	20	34	101	5.41	76%		83.2	0.86%	0	1.9	87	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.