Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 10, 2018

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $103.1400 (1.43%) ($101.3000 - $103.7000) on Wed. Jan. 10, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $103.1400(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(81%)    IWN(80%)    IWD(79%)    IVE(78%)    PAVE(76%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    UUP(-21%)    VIXM(-20%)    IGOV(-5%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.7(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.78(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.38(3.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.9%
Market Cap   $47.066b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.46%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.04%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.15%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.95%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2018	89.05	99.38	100.78	101.7	101.55	101.9	103.14(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	20	52	79	2.62	74%	0.25	77.9	1.2%	0	1.7	73	INF
2	Jan_9_2018	88.83	99.01	100.43	100.96	101.16	101.19	101.69(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	10	19	49	2.16	73%	0.24	73.6	1.19%	0	1.3	63	INF
3	Jan_8_2018	88.62	98.72	100.3	100.54	100.67	101.2	100.8(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	40	15	56	1.76	73%	0.23	74.8	1.19%	0	1	73	INF
4	Jan_5_2018	88.42	98.44	100.17	100.3	100.33	101.14	101.43(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	60	54	92	2.06	73%	0.23	77.9	1.19%	0	1.4	82	INF
5	Jan_4_2018	88.22	98.07	99.89	100.07	100.01	100.14	101.42(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	10	36	98	2.15	73%	0.2	81.7	1.19%	0	1.5	77	INF

6	Jan_3_2018	88.04	97.69	99.61	99.74	99.82	99.52	99.44(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-20	-19	82	2.32	71%	0.18	84.8	1.17%	0	0.8	64	INF
7	Jan_2_2018	87.88	97.47	99.6	99.83	99.89	99.88	99.61(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	0	-16	104	1.66	72%	0.24	98.4	1.17%	0	0.9	65	INF
8	Dec_29_2017	87.67	97.13	99.3	100.01	99.98	100.13	99.58(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	10	9	124	1.12	72%	0.19	106.2	1.18%	0	1	66	INF
9	Dec_28_2017	87.5	96.76	98.8	100	100.05	99.89	100.3(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10	15	125	1.04	72%	0.17	109.5	1.17%	0	1.3	71	INF
10	Dec_27_2017	87.35	96.31	98.26	99.66	99.81	99.83	99.75(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	10	-8	113	1.18	72%	0.17	107.2	1.17%	0	1.2	73	INF

11	Dec_26_2017	87.2	95.82	97.91	99.45	99.64	100.21	99.92(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	50	25	134	1.17	72%	0.21	101.6	1.18%	0	1.4	74	INF
12	Dec_22_2017	87.02	95.19	97.5	99.33	99.45	99.79	100.5(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	81	30	57	153	2.07	72%	0.18	81.3	1.16%	0	1.4	70	INF
13	Dec_21_2017	86.86	94.54	97.01	98.49	99.03	99.07	99.52(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	20	39	139	1.58	72%	0.16	79.3	1.16%	0	1.4	73	INF
14	Dec_20_2017	86.72	93.93	96.55	97.4	98.21	99.11	98.59(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	90	47	126	2.03	72%	0.14	68.4	1.16%	0	1.3	74	INF
15	Dec_19_2017	86.6	93.4	96.08	96.63	97.12	98.99	98.74(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	115	150	106	143	2.46	72%	0.15	65	1.16%	0	1.5	76	INF

16	Dec_18_2017	86.47	92.87	95.59	96.12	96.18	97.3	99.31(3.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	127	80	117	156	3.01	72%	0.16	64.8	1.16%	0	1.8	81	INF
17	Dec_15_2017	86.33	92.29	95.1	95.45	95.56	95.24	96.31(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-20	10	142	4.27	71%	0.14	64.7	1.11%	0	1.2	82	INF
18	Dec_14_2017	86.21	91.83	94.75	95.35	95.54	95.06	94.06(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-30	-46	152	2	65%	0.1	62.9	1.09%	0	0.7	77	INF
19	Dec_13_2017	86.12	91.52	94.58	95.55	95.72	95.87	94.72(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	55	20	4	206	1.91	65%	0.08	62.3	1.11%	0	0.9	80	INF
20	Dec_12_2017	86.05	91.09	94.24	95.38	95.41	96.03	96.21(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	96	50	47	244	1.83	68%	0.1	54.5	1.09%	0	1.4	82	INF

21	Dec_11_2017	85.96	90.61	93.61	94.92	94.78	95.57	95.97(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	97	50	48	243	1.4	68%	0.1	46	1.09%	0	1.6	79	INF
22	Dec_8_2017	85.87	90.16	92.74	94.71	94.47	94.8	95.79(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	98	20	52	237	1.7	68%	0.16	40.8	1.1%	0	1.7	80	INF
23	Dec_7_2017	85.73	89.75	91.91	94.09	94.37	93.99	95.07(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	-20	22	211	1.75	65%	0.16	32.1	1.1%	0	1.8	80	INF
24	Dec_6_2017	85.59	89.42	91.13	93.48	93.76	94.14	93.87(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	41	40	-6	180	1.47	64%	0.15	24.3	1.11%	0	1.7	75	INF
25	Dec_5_2017	85.46	89.2	90.54	92.9	93.37	94.75	93.91(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	130	120	101	217	2.26	60%		16.2	1.12%	0	1.9	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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