Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $93.6600 (1.13%) ($92.0600 - $93.7200) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $93.6600(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IWN(79%)    IVE(78%)    IWD(78%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.08(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.88(1.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.94(4.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $42.74b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.41%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.46%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.14%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.74%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.59%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.3%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2017	84.37	89.94	91.88	93.08	92.83	92.69	93.66(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-20	3	142	1.73	70%	0.25	53.7	1.2%	0	1.6	81	0
2	Feb_24_2017	84.16	89.69	91.36	92.71	92.7	92.85	92.61(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	10	12	141	2.25	70%	0.25	57.6	1.19%	0	1.4	76	0
3	Feb_23_2017	83.95	89.53	90.96	92.29	92.36	92.96	93.41(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	71	50	43	155	2.14	72%	0.24	62.8	1.19%	0	1.9	85	0
4	Feb_22_2017	83.75	89.26	90.38	91.8	91.7	92.55	92.89(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	60	55	144	1.82	72%	0.25	65.2	1.23%	0	2	74	0
5	Feb_21_2017	83.54	89.03	89.89	91.26	91.18	91.75	92.85(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	85	40	67	139	3.83	74%	0.41	72.7	1.23%	0	2.4	74	0

6	Feb_17_2017	83.2	88.72	89.35	90.49	90.48	90.85	91.81(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	30	34	98	4.04	75%	0.27	62.1	1.23%	0	2.3	61	0
7	Feb_16_2017	82.98	88.49	88.95	89.81	89.97	90.62	90.51(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	60	41	75	1.8	69%	0.23	52.6	1.23%	0	1.7	55	0
8	Feb_15_2017	82.79	88.3	88.53	89.42	89.45	90.1	90.93(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	58	50	59	54	2.3	65%	0.24	36.4	1.27%	0	2.3	53	0
9	Feb_14_2017	82.59	88.1	88.17	88.74	88.79	89.31	90.18(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	40	39	22	2.15	68%	0.24	15.4	1.3%	0	2	57	0
10	Feb_13_2017	82.39	87.91	87.87	88.32	88.27	88.8	89.03(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	23	40	30	-0	1.79	68%	0.22	-1	1.35%	0	1.2	51	0

11	Feb_10_2017	82.21	87.89	87.83	88.04	88.01	88.27	88.4(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	20	26	-1	1.62	72%	0.21	-7.7	1.38%	0	0.6	58	0
12	Feb_9_2017	82.04	87.86	87.88	87.95	87.77	87.75	88.54(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10	9	-3	1.81	75%	0.21	-13.5	1.45%	0	0.7	56	0
13	Feb_8_2017	81.87	87.88	87.97	87.51	87.69	87.74	87.54(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	10	3	-3	2.05	71%	0.22	-31.8	1.55%	0	-0.4	55	0
14	Feb_7_2017	81.69	87.95	88.06	87.5	87.69	87.8	88.11(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	30	7	2	3.51	72%	0.21	-31.2	1.59%	0	0.2	54	0
15	Feb_6_2017	81.52	87.92	88.12	87.36	87.43	87.64	87.62(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	14	11	1.43	72%	0.22	-34.5	1.62%	0	-0.3	57	0

16	Feb_3_2017	81.34	87.96	88.06	87.59	87.46	87.07	87.92(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-40	-12	-1	2.89	73%	0.22	-20.7	1.62%	0	-0	46	0
17	Feb_2_2017	81.16	87.98	88.01	87.84	87.7	87.21	86.34(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-40	-43	-10	2.15	72%	0.2	-13.5	1.61%	0	-1.7	45	0
18	Feb_1_2017	81	88.18	88.08	88.51	88.46	87.85	87.51(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-50	-18	7	2.26	71%	0.21	7.7	1.6%	0	-0.7	44	0
19	Jan_31_2017	80.83	88.18	88.07	88.69	88.71	88.19	87.39(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-40	-32	-1	2.88	71%	0.19	9.5	1.61%	0	-0.8	44	0
20	Jan_30_2017	80.68	88.25	88	88.96	88.78	89.07	88.81(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	20	3	16	3.55	71%	0.22	7.7	1.6%	0	0.5	55	0

21	Jan_27_2017	80.5	88.17	87.98	88.57	88.65	89.22	89.15(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	50	40	23	2.2	71%	0.21	-16.8	1.6%	0	0.9	51	0
22	Jan_26_2017	80.33	88.11	87.84	88.21	88.03	88.49	89.71(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	30	30	8	3	71%	0.24	-37	1.6%	0	1.5	54	0
23	Jan_25_2017	80.14	88.1	87.75	87.61	87.59	88.07	88.38(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	40	24	-13	5.3	71%	0.23	-57.1	1.59%	0	0.3	42	0
24	Jan_24_2017	79.96	88.15	87.79	87.39	87.34	87.57	88.73(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	16	20	27	-17	2.71	71%	0.11	-60	1.59%	0	0.5	49	0
25	Jan_23_2017	79.87	88.17	87.65	86.92	87.02	87.12	86.87(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	10	-6	-42	2.82	69%		-76.9	1.57%	0	-1.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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