Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $89.7100 (1.5%) ($87.8200 - $89.7200) on Thu. Jan. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $89.7100(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IWN(79%)    IVE(78%)    IWD(78%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-7%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.21(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.84(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.11(1.82%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $40.938b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.69%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.45%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2017	80.33	88.11	87.84	88.21	88.03	88.49	89.71(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	30	30	8	3	71%	0.24	-37	1.6%	0	1.5	54	INF
2	Jan_25_2017	80.14	88.1	87.75	87.61	87.59	88.07	88.38(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	40	24	-13	5.3	71%	0.23	-57.1	1.59%	0	0.3	42	INF
3	Jan_24_2017	79.96	88.15	87.79	87.39	87.34	87.57	88.73(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	16	20	27	-17	2.71	71%	0.11	-60	1.59%	0	0.5	49	INF
4	Jan_23_2017	79.87	88.17	87.65	86.92	87.02	87.12	86.87(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	10	-6	-42	2.82	69%	0.2	-76.9	1.57%	0	-1.2	50	INF
5	Jan_20_2017	79.71	88.34	87.83	87.31	87.06	87.1	87.34(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10	-4	-27	1.68	70%	0.21	-60.2	1.57%	0	-0.9	52	INF

6	Jan_19_2017	79.54	88.5	87.93	87.42	87.47	86.92	86.72(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-40	-15	-28	1.7	71%	0.19	-53.7	1.57%	0	-1.6	46	INF
7	Jan_18_2017	79.39	88.67	88.28	87.91	87.74	87.02	87.28(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-60	-46	-27	1.71	71%	0.23	-38.1	1.59%	0	-1.2	43	INF
8	Jan_17_2017	79.21	88.79	88.45	88.25	88.24	88.03	86.37(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-20	-22	-13	2.19	71%	0.35	-31.8	1.59%	0	-2.1	40	INF
9	Jan_13_2017	78.93	89	88.57	88.46	88.54	88.46	88.85(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-0	6	-4	2.33	73%	0.25	-31.6	1.52%	0	-0.1	49	INF
10	Jan_12_2017	78.73	89.01	88.41	88.41	88.29	88.45	87.89(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	10	-10	-25	2.06	73%	0.25	-34.4	1.54%	0	-1	41	INF

11	Jan_11_2017	78.53	89.09	88.45	88.51	88.44	88.62	89.14(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	10	12	-24	1.89	71%	0.27	-26.3	1.52%	0	0	43	INF
12	Jan_10_2017	78.32	89.1	88.49	88.74	88.47	88.13	88.98(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-40	-11	-29	3.14	71%	0.27	-9.3	1.54%	0	-0.1	46	INF
13	Jan_9_2017	78.11	89.17	88.54	88.72	88.82	88.26	87.44(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-40	-21	-35	2.12	70%	0.26	9.2	1.53%	0	-1.6	42	INF
14	Jan_6_2017	77.91	89.33	88.72	88.68	89.03	88.8	88.6(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10	-7	-35	1.8	70%	0.27	26.5	1.52%	0	-0.7	42	INF
15	Jan_5_2017	77.7	89.38	88.89	88.38	88.63	89.39	88.38(-2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	70	10	-31	2.22	71%	0.26	42.2	1.52%	0	-1	49	INF

16	Jan_4_2017	77.5	89.37	89.1	88.34	88.34	89.27	90.3(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	36	70	52	-11	2.63	74%	0.3	66.4	1.5%	0	0.9	53	INF
17	Jan_3_2017	77.27	89.2	89.05	88.23	88.13	87.88	88.87(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-20	7	-30	3.44	73%	0.39	76.3	1.49%	0	-0.3	48	INF
18	Dec_30_2016	76.97	89.2	89.13	88.4	88.44	87.4	87.24(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-80	-52	-54	2.42	73%	0.26	67.5	1.48%	0	-1.3	34	INF
19	Dec_29_2016	76.77	89.07	89.46	88.79	89.08	88.38	87.11(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-54	-50	-56	-47	2.1	70%	0.26	80.5	1.49%	0	-1.4	33	INF
20	Dec_28_2016	76.57	88.95	89.67	89.45	89.5	89.49	88.19(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	0	-25	-21	2.23	70%	0.28	81.1	1.51%	0	-0.4	44	INF

21	Dec_27_2016	76.36	88.71	89.82	89.94	89.89	89.78	89.76(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10	5	10	2.03	73%	0.39	69.6	1.49%	0	0.5	62	INF
22	Dec_23_2016	76.06	88.4	89.79	89.94	90.02	89.52	89.68(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-40	-18	13	2.98	73%	0.32	64.2	1.49%	0	0.5	66	INF
23	Dec_22_2016	75.82	88.16	89.86	89.99	90.08	90.01	89.19(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-0	-24	29	2.62	73%	0.3	69	1.5%	0	0.4	68	INF
24	Dec_21_2016	75.59	87.94	90.01	90.23	90.22	90.53	90.44(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	19	70	2.46	73%	0.32	78	1.48%	0	0.9	70	INF
25	Dec_20_2016	75.35	87.56	89.92	89.93	90.12	90.16	90.62(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	10	19	87	2.07	73%		72.1	1.49%	0	1.1	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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