Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $86.0000 (-0.7%) ($85.1800 - $86.6200) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $86.0000(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IVE(78%)    IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-7%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.5(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.01(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.44(5.6%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $39.245b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 4.83% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.33%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.81%(53%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 2.65%(35%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.44%(65%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2016	72.7	81.44	84.01	84.5	84.62	85.78	86(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	100	51	87	5.09	71%	0.25	72	1.52%	0	1.2	63	INF
2	Dec_1_2016	72.52	80.78	83.57	84.21	84.03	84.71	86.61(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	50	53	92	5.28	71%	0.26	63.2	1.51%	0	1.4	69	INF
3	Nov_30_2016	72.33	80.08	82.93	83.81	83.75	83.46	84.04(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-30	9	85	3.8	70%	0.22	56.7	1.48%	0	0.9	71	INF
4	Nov_29_2016	72.17	79.55	82.73	83.52	83.72	83.35	82.6(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-20	-26	109	2.24	68%	0.22	51.5	1.47%	0	0.7	75	INF
5	Nov_28_2016	72.01	79.13	82.84	83.65	83.74	84.04	83.24(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	30	7	171	3.39	68%	0.26	50.6	1.47%	0	0.9	69	INF

6	Nov_25_2016	71.82	78.7	82.62	83.4	83.52	84.09	84.57(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	50	46	224	1.58	71%	0.46	49.6	1.45%	0	1.3	75	INF
7	Nov_23_2016	71.49	78.2	82.1	82.8	82.86	83.43	84.62(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	98	50	47	249	3.42	71%	0.34	49.1	1.44%	0	1.5	76	INF
8	Nov_22_2016	71.25	77.71	81.29	81.92	82.08	82.96	82.59(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	93	80	41	250	3.81	69%	0.17	48.6	1.41%	0	1.2	73	INF
9	Nov_21_2016	71.13	77.33	80.38	81.83	81.37	82.28	83.21(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	96	60	43	255	3.13	69%	0.28	54.5	1.41%	0	1.5	72	INF
10	Nov_18_2016	70.93	76.92	79.56	81.94	81.1	81.19	82.01(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	86	-20	26	266	2.31	68%	0.27	64.5	1.4%	0	1.4	68	INF

11	Nov_17_2016	70.74	76.54	78.7	81.74	81.26	80.47	81.56(1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	56	-90	-7	246	3.07	68%	0.27	71.5	1.4%	0	1.5	65	INF
12	Nov_16_2016	70.55	76.17	77.8	81.27	81.08	81	80.22(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	47	-10	-12	224	3.71	67%	0.3	76.9	1.39%	0	1.3	63	INF
13	Nov_15_2016	70.34	75.82	77.06	80.49	80.53	82.06	82.15(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	141	130	107	242	6.24	71%	0.36	73.7	1.35%	0	2	65	INF
14	Nov_14_2016	70.09	75.3	76.14	78.62	78.83	81.15	83.76(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	175	210	167	198	5.51	75%	0.31	62.5	1.33%	0	2.9	70	INF
15	Nov_11_2016	69.87	74.67	75.09	76.84	76.55	79	80.99(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	155	210	162	132	4.61	72%	0.22	55.6	1.27%	0	2.8	65	INF

16	Nov_10_2016	69.72	74.17	74.38	75.26	75.22	76.52	79.23(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	136	120	157	74	7.31	70%	0.23	40.2	1.26%	0	2.7	63	INF
17	Nov_9_2016	69.56	73.75	73.88	73.88	73.89	74.1	76.3(4.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	24	20	39	-23	13.26	65%	0.17	18.8	1.19%	0	1.7	57	INF
18	Nov_8_2016	69.44	73.53	73.74	73.14	73.31	73.92	72.84(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	70	12	-60	6.62	57%	0.12	0	1.05%	0	-0.5	48	INF
19	Nov_7_2016	69.36	73.51	73.99	73.22	73.2	73.69	74.84(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	42	50	61	-17	4.13	66%	0.16	0	0.99%	0	1	67	INF
20	Nov_4_2016	69.25	73.51	74.03	73.06	72.97	72.7	73.1(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-30	-22	-31	3.65	67%	0.13	0.5	1.01%	0	-0.2	62	INF

21	Nov_3_2016	69.16	73.43	74.21	73.37	73.41	72.72	72.32(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-60	-53	-6	5.65	65%	0.12	10.9	1.01%	0	-0.8	61	INF
22	Nov_2_2016	69.08	73.47	74.45	73.86	73.91	73.23	72.61(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-48	-60	-75	34	4.03	65%	0.12	30.9	1.01%	0	-0.6	66	INF
23	Nov_1_2016	69	73.53	74.58	74.43	74.5	74.09	73.23(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-40	-42	85	3.97	65%	0.06	49.7	1.01%	0	-0.2	60	INF
24	Oct_31_2016	68.96	73.51	74.5	74.86	74.71	74.59	74.04(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-20	-29	113	3.47	69%	0.06	61.6	1%	0	0.4	65	INF
25	Oct_28_2016	68.92	73.42	74.31	75.13	74.92	74.9	74.63(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-10	-4	128	3.78	69%		70.9	1%	0	0.9	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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