Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $83.7600 (3.42%) ($80.9500 - $83.8200) on Mon. Nov. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $83.7600(3.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-8%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.62(6.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.14(10.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.3(11.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.8%
Market Cap   $38.223b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 3.89% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.99%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.42%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.7%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 6.92%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.89%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2016	70.09	75.3	76.14	78.62	78.83	81.15	83.76(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	175	210	167	198	5.51	75%	0.31	62.5	1.33%	0	2.9	70	INF
2	Nov_11_2016	69.87	74.67	75.09	76.84	76.55	79	80.99(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	155	210	162	132	4.61	72%	0.22	55.6	1.27%	0	2.8	65	INF
3	Nov_10_2016	69.72	74.17	74.38	75.26	75.22	76.52	79.23(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	136	120	157	74	7.31	70%	0.23	40.2	1.26%	0	2.7	63	INF
4	Nov_9_2016	69.56	73.75	73.88	73.88	73.89	74.1	76.3(4.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	24	20	39	-23	13.26	65%	0.17	18.8	1.19%	0	1.7	57	INF
5	Nov_8_2016	69.44	73.53	73.74	73.14	73.31	73.92	72.84(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	70	12	-60	6.62	57%	0.12	0	1.05%	0	-0.5	48	INF

6	Nov_7_2016	69.36	73.51	73.99	73.22	73.2	73.69	74.84(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	42	50	61	-17	4.13	66%	0.16	0	0.99%	0	1	67	INF
7	Nov_4_2016	69.25	73.51	74.03	73.06	72.97	72.7	73.1(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-30	-22	-31	3.65	67%	0.13	0.5	1.01%	0	-0.2	62	INF
8	Nov_3_2016	69.16	73.43	74.21	73.37	73.41	72.72	72.32(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-60	-53	-6	5.65	65%	0.12	10.9	1.01%	0	-0.8	61	INF
9	Nov_2_2016	69.08	73.47	74.45	73.86	73.91	73.23	72.61(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-48	-60	-75	34	4.03	65%	0.12	30.9	1.01%	0	-0.6	66	INF
10	Nov_1_2016	69	73.53	74.58	74.43	74.5	74.09	73.23(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-40	-42	85	3.97	65%	0.06	49.7	1.01%	0	-0.2	60	INF

11	Oct_31_2016	68.96	73.51	74.5	74.86	74.71	74.59	74.04(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-20	-29	113	3.47	69%	0.06	61.6	1%	0	0.4	65	INF
12	Oct_28_2016	68.92	73.42	74.31	75.13	74.92	74.9	74.63(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-10	-4	128	3.78	69%	0.06	70.9	1%	0	0.9	58	INF
13	Oct_27_2016	68.88	73.28	74.02	75.18	75.12	74.84	74.8(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-30	3	125	2.69	69%	0.04	69.5	1%	0	1	60	INF
14	Oct_26_2016	68.85	73.06	73.66	75.12	74.92	74.94	75.43(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-10	-12	106	4.73	69%	0.04	65	0.99%	0	1.6	65	INF
15	Oct_25_2016	68.82	72.87	73.32	74.76	74.85	75.41	75.39(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	74	60	63	108	4.39	69%	0.04	62.8	0.99%	0	1.8	58	INF

16	Oct_24_2016	68.79	72.68	72.98	74.08	74.23	74.91	75.4(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	76	70	75	78	3.11	69%	0.04	56.4	0.99%	0	2.1	63	INF
17	Oct_21_2016	68.76	72.45	72.74	73.36	73.44	74.3	74.89(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	68	90	73	53	3.95	69%	0.03	45.9	1.01%	0	2.1	65	INF
18	Oct_20_2016	68.74	72.26	72.53	72.69	72.83	73.55	74.51(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	74	70	86	36	4.5	69%	0.01	38.6	1.01%	0	2.2	65	INF
19	Oct_19_2016	68.73	72.13	72.35	72	72.19	72.58	73.62(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	36	50	45	8	3.35	67%	0.01	28.9	1%	0	1.7	69	INF
20	Oct_18_2016	68.72	72.02	72.33	71.69	71.76	72.11	71.99(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	12	40	17	-4	3.12	61%	0.04	25.2	0.97%	0	-0	52	INF

21	Oct_17_2016	68.69	71.96	72.41	71.72	71.69	71.81	71.78(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	10	6	1	3.9	61%	-0.03	23	0.97%	0	-0.2	51	INF
22	Oct_14_2016	68.71	71.93	72.45	72.03	71.88	71.41	71.53(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-50	-31	11	2.87	61%	-0.01	23.5	0.98%	0	-0.4	56	INF
23	Oct_13_2016	68.72	71.87	72.5	72.33	72.34	71.58	71.07(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-45	-70	-65	16	4.82	61%	-0.03	25.2	0.99%	0	-0.8	51	INF
24	Oct_12_2016	68.74	71.88	72.47	72.73	72.84	72.34	72.06(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-37	-40	-58	27	2.23	74%	0	30.4	0.97%	0	0.2	50	INF
25	Oct_11_2016	68.74	71.81	72.45	73.06	73.14	73.1	72.16(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-0	-20	57	2.25	78%		34.1	1.01%	0	0.4	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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