Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $64.2100 (2.67%) ($63.0800 - $65.1300) on Tue. Feb. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $64.2100(2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(81%)    IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-8%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.31(3.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.57(2.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.38(2.93%)
To recent high   -19.6%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $29.301b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.4%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.89%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2016	72.43	62.38	62.57	62.31	62.14	62.92	64.21(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	80	70	1	4.31	40%	-0.14	-26.9	2.09%	0	1.1	61	INF
2	Feb_12_2016	72.53	62.3	62.61	61.65	61.46	60.84	62.54(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-17	-80	-14	-24	5.53	37%	-0.15	-43	2.04%	0	0.1	63	INF
3	Feb_11_2016	72.64	62.39	62.89	61.81	61.37	61.37	60.15(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-20	-44	-13	4.82	34%	-0.18	-40.1	1.98%	0	-1.3	50	INF
4	Feb_10_2016	72.77	62.57	63.21	62.53	62.31	62.08	62.24(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-40	13	38	3.19	35%	-0.16	-43.2	1.94%	0	-0.2	55	INF
5	Feb_9_2016	72.89	62.74	63.33	62.71	62.46	61.36	62.42(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-20	-140	-38	35	4.42	35%	-0.18	-46.7	1.95%	0	-0.2	56	INF

6	Feb_8_2016	73.02	62.84	63.16	62.87	62.81	62.54	60.89(-3.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-29	-30	-48	29	3.88	33%	-0.18	-57.7	1.91%	0	-1.1	48	INF
7	Feb_5_2016	73.15	63.02	63.01	63.69	63.31	63.56	63.36(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	10	1	55	3.51	37%	-0.18	-66.2	1.89%	0	0.2	52	INF
8	Feb_4_2016	73.28	63.09	62.8	64.14	63.6	63.08	63.73(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-80	-1	52	4.31	37%	-0.19	-77.3	1.9%	0	0.3	47	INF
9	Feb_3_2016	73.42	63.3	62.55	64	63.86	63.05	63.15(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-100	-31	26	6.04	37%	-0.18	-77.7	1.89%	0	-0.1	49	INF
10	Feb_2_2016	73.55	63.58	62.32	64.03	63.98	64.12	63.21(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	10	-2	15	5.2	37%	-0.18	-73.2	1.89%	0	-0.1	43	INF

11	Feb_1_2016	73.68	63.92	62.2	63.46	63.78	64.67	65.01(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	110	63	14	4.32	39%	-0.15	-72.5	1.89%	0	0.4	50	INF
12	Jan_29_2016	73.79	64.24	61.95	62.19	62.52	63.85	65.62(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	38	160	60	-30	6.38	39%	-0.15	-84.3	1.89%	0	0.4	52	INF
13	Jan_28_2016	73.9	64.56	61.77	61.29	61.32	62.89	62.99(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	180	60	-62	6.49	37%	-0.18	-79.7	1.81%	0	-0.4	43	INF
14	Jan_27_2016	74.03	65.06	61.8	60.92	60.92	61.19	63.3(4.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	30	54	-97	8.54	37%	-0.19	-71.7	1.84%	0	-0.4	36	INF
15	Jan_26_2016	74.17	65.53	62	60.42	60.57	59.74	60.38(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-71	-90	-36	-176	5.62	31%	-0.19	-67.7	1.71%	0	-1.1	25	INF

16	Jan_25_2016	74.31	66.18	62.43	60.78	60.74	60.65	58.66(-3.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-92	-10	-53	-207	5.71	27%	-0.23	-65	1.67%	0	-1.6	17	INF
17	Jan_22_2016	74.48	66.93	63.02	61.62	61.51	61.4	61.1(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-44	-20	-1	-173	4.15	41%	-0.21	-66.8	1.94%	0	-1.3	17	INF
18	Jan_21_2016	74.64	67.52	63.42	62.32	61.75	60.84	61.18(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-130	-39	-204	3.75	41%	-0.19	-64.8	1.96%	0	-1.4	16	INF
19	Jan_20_2016	74.78	68.11	64.14	62.81	62.46	61.62	60.76(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-101	-110	-60	-222	5.33	41%	-0.2	-63.7	1.96%	0	-1.6	14	INF
20	Jan_19_2016	74.93	68.72	65	63.82	63.59	62.66	62.19(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-78	-110	-35	-206	3.46	43%	-0.24	-62.7	1.94%	0	-1.5	18	INF

21	Jan_15_2016	75.11	69.34	65.83	64.33	64.27	63.3	62.85(-2.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-87	-110	-45	-211	4.83	46%	-0.2	-65.2	1.93%	0	-1.6	19	INF
22	Jan_14_2016	75.26	70.02	66.74	64.61	64.83	64.53	64.6(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-69	-20	-24	-204	4.57	48%	-0.13	-65.9	1.93%	0	-1.4	20	INF
23	Jan_13_2016	75.36	70.56	67.57	64.7	65.07	65.25	63.64(-3.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-62	40	-16	-198	5.41	48%	-0.12	-66.7	1.93%	0	-1.8	21	INF
24	Jan_12_2016	75.45	71.07	68.57	65.68	65.27	65.14	65.8(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-57	-30	-17	-176	3.68	52%	-0.11	-70.3	1.9%	0	-1.4	26	INF
25	Jan_11_2016	75.53	71.48	69.3	66.42	66.07	64.88	64.76(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-83	-140	-52	-174	3.42	52%		-76.4	1.88%	0	-1.9	20	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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