Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $81.4200 (2.35%) ($80.4000 - $81.6200) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $81.4200(2.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(81%)    IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-9%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.52(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.2(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.71(4.77%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $37.155b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.93%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 3.65%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -2%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2015	80.02	77.71	80.2	80.52	80.63	80.68	81.42(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	10	17	95	3.58	62%	-0.09	47	1.95%	0	1.2	69	INF
2	Nov_5_2015	80.09	77.35	80.15	80.02	80.3	80.46	79.55(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	20	-3	102	3.38	60%	-0.11	46.8	1.94%	0	0.7	66	INF
3	Nov_4_2015	80.18	77.13	79.75	80.15	80.19	80.59	80.55(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	40	11	116	2.29	60%	-0.09	52.1	1.93%	0	1.1	69	INF
4	Nov_3_2015	80.25	76.84	79.11	80.27	80.16	80.13	80.88(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10	14	128	1.95	60%	-0.09	59.6	1.93%	0	1.4	74	INF
5	Nov_2_2015	80.32	76.54	78.5	79.96	80.1	79.79	80.22(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-20	-6	119	2.28	60%	-0.09	66.5	1.93%	0	1.3	67	INF

6	Oct_30_2015	80.39	76.27	77.96	79.84	79.95	80.18	78.9(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	20	-13	119	2.71	62%	-0.11	72.5	1.92%	0	1	64	INF
7	Oct_29_2015	80.48	75.97	77.55	80.29	80.05	80.41	80.2(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	66	20	37	154	2.01	62%	-0.09	76.5	1.93%	0	1.6	67	INF
8	Oct_28_2015	80.55	75.6	76.98	79.24	79.72	79.73	81.14(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	20	42	132	2.26	62%	-0.05	68.2	1.93%	0	2.2	67	INF
9	Oct_27_2015	80.59	75.15	76.11	77.74	78.34	79.69	79.33(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	140	32	87	1.96	60%	-0.07	55.6	1.91%	0	1.8	64	INF
10	Oct_26_2015	80.65	74.76	75.55	76.79	77.13	79.7	79.65(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	102	250	106	91	3.08	60%	-0.06	43.2	1.91%	0	2.2	64	INF

11	Oct_23_2015	80.7	74.37	74.97	75.79	75.77	76.99	81.12(8.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	70	110	77	47	6.56	46%	-0.04	30	2.49%	0	3.6	69	INF
12	Oct_22_2015	80.73	73.98	74.97	74.5	75.77	74.56	74.94(1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	0	1	-2	4.23	38%	-0.11	20.5	2.26%	0	0.9	62	INF
13	Oct_21_2015	80.82	73.98	74.23	74.42	74.55	74.56	73.68(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	5	0	5	5	3.24	38%	-0.12	7	2.25%	0	-0.2	57	INF
14	Oct_20_2015	80.92	73.88	74.36	74.19	74.38	74.54	74.58(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	20	6	9	2.17	38%	-0.11	-14.7	2.25%	0	0.7	64	INF
15	Oct_19_2015	81.01	73.83	74.41	74.07	74.02	74.56	74.64(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	50	10	20	2.43	38%	-0.11	-29.9	2.25%	0	0.8	69	INF

16	Oct_16_2015	81.1	73.82	74.46	73.99	73.93	74.22	74.67(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	30	18	32	2.71	39%	-0.12	-37.6	2.25%	0	0.8	64	INF
17	Oct_15_2015	81.2	73.76	74.3	73.94	73.86	73.48	74.52(2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-3	-40	-9	17	2.59	40%	-0.12	-44.7	2.26%	0	0.7	52	INF
18	Oct_14_2015	81.3	73.81	74.15	74.05	74.17	73.64	72.56(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-50	-24	14	3.29	37%	-0.15	-35.7	2.23%	0	-0.9	49	INF
19	Oct_13_2015	81.42	74.04	74.18	74.53	74.53	74.25	73.94(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-30	-18	23	2.34	39%	-0.09	-20.7	2.22%	0	-0.1	53	INF
20	Oct_12_2015	81.49	74.15	73.97	74.79	74.86	74.69	74.25(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10	-7	26	1.73	39%	-0.13	-16.6	2.24%	0	0.1	53	INF

21	Oct_9_2015	81.6	74.21	73.78	75	75.03	74.81	74.45(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-20	1	27	2.21	40%	-0.13	-9.6	2.24%	0	0.2	48	INF
22	Oct_8_2015	81.71	74.26	73.72	74.68	74.9	75.03	75.05(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	10	26	2.42	39%	-0.13	-17.3	2.24%	0	0.5	56	INF
23	Oct_7_2015	81.82	74.29	73.52	74.26	74.17	75.24	74.96(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	100	26	15	2.34	39%	-0.12	-22.9	2.25%	0	0.4	45	INF
24	Oct_6_2015	81.92	74.33	73.35	73.77	73.48	74.77	75.22(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	110	55	4	2.34	39%	-0.12	-26.5	2.25%	0	0.6	40	INF
25	Oct_5_2015	82.02	74.39	73.17	73.04	72.81	73.1	75.3(3.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	21	20	37	-27	2.54	39%		-41.1	2.25%	0	0.6	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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