Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $82.4900 (2.07%) ($81.3000 - $82.6700) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $82.4900(2.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(81%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)    PEJ(72%)    VYM(71%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $84.49
5 Day Moving Average   $81.54(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.09(1.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.49(-2.37%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $37.643b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 6% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.81%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.45%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.16%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2015	84.11	84.49	81.09	81.54	81.52	81.46	82.49(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10	13	-77	2.3	41%	0.02	-30	1.85%	0	-0.4	27	0
2	Aug_7_2015	84.09	84.8	80.7	81.37	81.42	81.14	80.82(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-46	-20	-15	-139	2.88	40%	0	-30.1	1.84%	0	-0.8	22	0
3	Aug_6_2015	84.09	85.16	80.52	81.46	81.42	81.59	81.14(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-47	10	-4	-176	3.2	40%	-0.01	-30.9	1.84%	0	-0.8	24	0
4	Aug_5_2015	84.1	85.45	81.38	81.53	81.53	81.69	81.86(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	10	16	-169	3.94	40%	0.01	-33.2	1.84%	0	-0.7	25	0
5	Aug_4_2015	84.09	85.69	82.25	81.09	81.29	81.47	81.38(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	20	19	-174	2.09	40%	0	-37.9	1.84%	0	-0.9	27	0

6	Aug_3_2015	84.09	86.03	83.2	80.54	80.72	81.37	81.63(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	60	26	-175	3.39	40%	0.01	-41.9	1.84%	0	-0.9	32	0
7	Jul_31_2015	84.08	86.36	84.13	79.94	80.06	81.1	81.3(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	100	46	-172	3.68	42%	0	-47	1.85%	0	-1.1	31	0
8	Jul_30_2015	84.08	86.73	85.07	79.45	79.35	80.08	81.5(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-45	60	3	-189	4.28	42%	0.04	-52.4	1.86%	0	-1.1	37	0
9	Jul_29_2015	84.05	87.11	86.01	81.3	79.42	79.02	79.62(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-95	-100	-69	-173	4.63	38%	0.02	-43.9	1.84%	0	-1.7	35	0
10	Jul_28_2015	84.03	87.56	87.1	83.71	82.39	78.62	78.65(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-122	-370	-118	-135	7.52	38%	-0.01	-34.1	1.83%	0	-2.2	34	0

11	Jul_27_2015	84.04	88.07	88.22	86.32	85.62	79.81	78.61(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-228	-500	-259	-136	7.2	38%	0	-21.5	1.83%	0	-2.7	31	0
12	Jul_24_2015	84.04	88.64	89.38	88.89	88.9	86.17	78.86(-13.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.6	-176	-210	-214	-61	16.8	36%	0	-1	1.83%	0	-3.5	32	0
13	Jul_23_2015	84.04	89.2	90.4	91.31	91.42	91.43	90.77(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	34	0	-9	162	2.65	59%	0.14	41	0.81%	0	1	63	0
14	Jul_22_2015	83.92	89.1	90.03	91.35	91.31	91.63	91.65(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	20	30	171	2.48	61%	0.16	46.9	0.8%	0	1.6	66	0
15	Jul_21_2015	83.79	88.97	89.5	91.04	91.09	91.42	91.71(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	84	30	59	160	2.52	61%	0.16	49.1	0.79%	0	1.9	69	0

16	Jul_20_2015	83.66	88.84	89.11	90.5	90.66	90.98	91.44(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	30	49	133	2.38	61%	0.16	49.3	0.8%	0	2	69	0
17	Jul_17_2015	83.53	88.67	88.72	90.02	90.07	90.76	90.99(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	76	60	65	108	2.4	58%	0.14	48.1	0.8%	0	2	57	0
18	Jul_16_2015	83.41	88.54	88.43	89.36	89.56	90.33	90.96(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	105	70	110	91	2.07	58%	0.13	40	0.82%	0	2.3	58	0
19	Jul_15_2015	83.3	88.37	88.16	88.51	88.78	89.37	90.1(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	72	60	83	38	2.21	60%	0.12	25.5	0.82%	0	1.9	53	0
20	Jul_14_2015	83.2	88.26	87.92	87.73	88.08	88.79	89.02(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	42	70	62	-17	1.78	57%	0.11	16.3	0.83%	0	0.9	46	0

21	Jul_13_2015	83.11	88.18	87.79	87.51	87.56	88.18	89.03(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	41	50	67	-38	2.06	57%	0.11	22.8	0.83%	0	1	46	0
22	Jul_10_2015	83.02	88.18	87.76	87.25	87.25	87.37	87.67(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	10	23	-66	1.72	54%	0.11	28.6	0.81%	0	-0.5	46	0
23	Jul_9_2015	82.93	88.11	87.87	87.38	87.24	86.94	86.73(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-30	-36	-83	2.03	51%	0.08	59.3	0.81%	0	-1.7	39	0
24	Jul_8_2015	82.86	88.14	88.11	87.75	87.6	87.14	86.21(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-56	-40	-53	-64	2.36	51%	0.07	90.9	0.8%	0	-2.5	42	0
25	Jul_7_2015	82.8	88.13	88.44	88.11	88.08	87.54	87.89(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-40	-42	-35	2.58	57%		102	0.76%	0	-0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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