Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $85.5700 (0.74%) ($84.5900 - $85.7200) on Tue. Jun. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $85.5700(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(74%)    PEJ(72%)    VYM(71%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.59(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.3(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.37(1.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $39.049b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.61%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.79%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.07%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2015	80.51	84.37	84.3	84.59	84.52	85.09	85.57(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	40	32	4	2.36	52%	0.06	60.7	1.04%	0	1.6	49	INF
2	Jun_8_2015	80.46	84.26	84.12	84.26	84.31	84.71	84.94(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	38	30	52	-4	3.48	52%	0.11	56.3	1.05%	0	0.9	52	INF
3	Jun_5_2015	80.37	84.17	84.12	83.95	83.99	83.96	84.94(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-0	14	-26	3.97	52%	0.1	51.7	1.05%	0	1	56	INF
4	Jun_4_2015	80.29	84.03	84.11	83.68	83.79	83.91	83.19(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	10	-13	-45	3.16	48%	0.09	43.1	1.02%	0	-1	43	INF
5	Jun_3_2015	80.22	84.01	84.33	83.9	83.89	84.02	84.3(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	10	15	-15	2.22	50%	0.07	59.8	1.01%	0	0.3	56	INF

6	Jun_2_2015	80.16	83.92	84.43	83.9	83.91	83.67	83.95(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-20	-11	-8	2.43	50%	0.06	65.5	1.01%	0	0	59	INF
7	Jun_1_2015	80.11	83.84	84.49	83.97	84.11	83.77	83.39(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-20	-32	-8	2.13	50%	0.05	70.7	1.01%	0	-0.4	53	INF
8	May_29_2015	80.07	83.78	84.58	84.29	84.3	84.15	83.56(-0.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-20	-10	-30	11	2.47	50%	0.04	81.7	1.01%	0	-0.2	55	INF
9	May_28_2015	80.04	83.66	84.68	84.6	84.56	84.15	84.3(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10	-11	47	1.85	50%	0.05	75	1.01%	0	0.5	68	INF
10	May_27_2015	80	83.48	84.63	84.81	84.76	84.45	84.63(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-30	-19	60	2.13	50%	0.08	66.9	1.02%	0	0.8	64	INF

11	May_26_2015	79.94	83.29	84.48	84.97	84.94	84.66	83.95(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-20	-28	68	2.83	50%	0.01	64.3	1.02%	0	0.4	63	INF
12	May_22_2015	79.93	83.12	84.43	85.09	85.14	85.06	85.02(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-0	1	95	1.74	53%	0.06	55.9	1%	0	1.1	72	INF
13	May_21_2015	79.88	82.89	84.25	84.89	84.99	85.23	85.11(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	20	10	100	2.16	53%	0.04	50.3	1.01%	0	1.4	74	INF
14	May_20_2015	79.85	82.72	83.95	84.76	84.77	85.22	85.35(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	40	39	117	2.12	53%	0.03	47.6	1.01%	0	1.7	80	INF
15	May_19_2015	79.83	82.53	83.67	84.42	84.49	84.76	85.41(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	66	20	47	122	2.62	53%	0.03	42.2	1.02%	0	2	82	INF

16	May_18_2015	79.81	82.33	83.35	83.92	84.03	84.31	84.56(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	30	22	105	1.67	53%	0.01	37.7	1.02%	0	1.8	76	INF
17	May_15_2015	79.8	82.19	83.12	83.67	83.63	84.23	84.03(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	50	35	114	3.15	56%	0.06	39.7	1.03%	0	1.6	76	INF
18	May_14_2015	79.75	82.08	82.9	83.5	83.39	83.74	84.47(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	30	56	127	2.39	56%	0.01	43.3	1.03%	0	2.2	79	INF
19	May_13_2015	79.74	81.99	82.54	83.01	83.04	83.03	83.65(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	0	13	87	2.17	56%	0	48.3	1.03%	0	1.7	60	INF
20	May_12_2015	79.74	81.93	82.22	82.81	82.72	83.04	82.91(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	20	4	67	2.44	60%	0	58.6	1.03%	0	1.1	57	INF

21	May_11_2015	79.74	81.85	82.01	82.68	82.67	83.05	83.31(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	30	42	72	2.11	60%	0.01	63.6	1.07%	0	1.6	61	INF
22	May_8_2015	79.73	81.74	81.71	82.47	82.42	82.4	83.16(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-0	16	43	2.77	60%	0.01	64.8	1.06%	0	1.7	54	INF
23	May_7_2015	79.72	81.61	81.44	82.22	82.25	82.28	82.02(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	0	0	18	3.15	58%	0.04	60.2	1.06%	0	0.5	49	INF
24	May_6_2015	79.69	81.53	81.41	81.99	82.14	82.45	82.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	30	37	17	3.28	58%	0.05	53.7	1.06%	0	1.3	44	INF
25	May_5_2015	79.65	81.41	81.3	81.53	81.6	82.22	82.27(0.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	27	60	38	-7	2.76	58%		44.2	1.06%	0	0.9	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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