Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $80.7700 (0.98%) ($80.5800 - $81.3900) on Thu. Jan. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $80.7700(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COF declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(80%)    IVE(77%)    IWM(73%)    PEJ(71%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-10%)    GLD(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $81.59
5 Day Moving Average   $80.59(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.77(-1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.59(-1.01%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $36.858b

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. COF price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.18%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.47%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.56%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.91%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.12%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2015	81.85	81.59	81.77	80.59	80.48	80.47	80.77(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-0	3	-50	2.01	38%	-0.05	-33.5	1.22%	0	-0.5	60	INF
2	Jan_7_2015	81.89	81.71	82.02	80.94	80.91	79.97	79.99(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-80	-54	-35	2.43	38%	-0.1	-25.6	1.23%	0	-1.1	64	INF
3	Jan_6_2015	81.97	81.87	82.33	81.61	81.69	80.5	79.09(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-73	-100	-93	-11	2.93	38%	-0.15	-12.1	1.22%	0	-1.7	52	INF
4	Jan_5_2015	82.09	82.07	82.7	82.45	82.54	81.85	80.59(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-40	-60	-67	42	2.68	43%	-0.09	0	1.2%	0	-1	55	INF
5	Jan_2_2015	82.16	82.16	82.89	82.97	83.07	82.89	82.49(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-24	83	1.49	51%	0.02	0	1.13%	0	0.2	50	INF

6	Dec_31_2014	82.14	82.14	82.64	83.12	83.28	83.24	82.55(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	0	-5	81	1.52	51%	0.02	0	1.15%	0	0.3	50	INF
7	Dec_30_2014	82.12	82.13	82.25	83.27	83.32	83.26	83.31(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-0	-2	59	2.07	51%	0.07	0	1.16%	0	0.8	48	INF
8	Dec_29_2014	82.06	82.07	81.89	83.18	83.36	83.33	83.3(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	0	5	39	1.6	51%	0.07	0	1.19%	0	0.9	49	INF
9	Dec_26_2014	82	82.07	81.58	83.01	83.19	83.39	83.21(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	20	10	4	0.96	51%	0.09	0	1.22%	0	58.2	50	INF
10	Dec_24_2014	81.93	82.07	81.47	82.8	82.94	83.4	83.23(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	40	43	17	1.04	51%	0.1	0	1.26%	0	57.8	54	INF

11	Dec_23_2014	81.85	82.07	81.35	82.07	82.41	82.99	83.28(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	60	65	26	1.69	51%	0.11	0	1.3%	0	57.4	54	INF
12	Dec_22_2014	81.76	82.07	81.31	81.06	81.29	82.48	82.89(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	49	110	58	23	2.05	51%	0.09	0	1.34%	0	57.2	51	INF
13	Dec_19_2014	81.69	82.07	81.3	80.41	80.32	81.82	82.43(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	72	130	85	34	4.06	51%	0.07	0	1.37%	0	56.1	50	INF
14	Dec_18_2014	81.63	82.07	81.32	79.96	79.67	80.1	82.16(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	30	45	18	4.34	51%	0.05	0	1.42%	0	54.8	50	INF
15	Dec_17_2014	81.59	82.07	81.3	80	79.63	78.82	79.61(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-90	-56	-22	5.07	33%	-0.21	0	1.13%	0	51.4	50	INF

16	Dec_16_2014	81.76	82.07	81.57	80.56	80.54	79.25	78.23(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-100	-110	-117	-47	3.89	16%	-0.39	0	0.99%	0	52.2	50	INF
17	Dec_15_2014	82.08	82.07	82.01	81.56	81.59	80.45	79.61(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-97	-100	-114	-46	4.61	21%	-0.3	0	0.95%	0	71.7	50	INF
18	Dec_12_2014	82.33	82.07	82.31	82.28	82.32	81.83	80.17(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-63	-40	-74	-30	3.03	21%	-0.29	0	0.99%	0	97.8	50	INF
19	Dec_11_2014	82.57	82.07	82.31	82.84	82.81	82.73	82.38(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10	-9	-4	2.14	44%	-0.02	0	0.54%	0	196.1	50	INF
20	Dec_10_2014	82.59	82.07	82.31	82.78	82.87	82.82	82.39(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	11	-0	13	5	4.8	44%	-0.04	0	0.58%	0	187.3	50	INF

21	Dec_9_2014	82.62	82.07	82.31	82.74	82.54	82.89	83.27(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	20	17	7	3.19	78%	0.13	0	0.41%	0	181	50	INF
22	Dec_8_2014	82.51	82.07	82.31	82.55	82.4	82.93	83.2(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	89	40	105	42	3.58	78%	0.17	0	0.44%	0	202.9	50	INF
23	Dec_5_2014	82.37	82.07	82.31	82.37	82.22	82.2	82.94(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	910	-10	1070	428	2.85	78%	0.17	0	0.49%	0	276.5	50	INF
24	Dec_4_2014	82.23	82.07	82.31	65.78	82.12	81.86	82.09(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	163.1	5651	720	6648	2659	2.93	12%	-0.06	0	0.1%	0	820.9	50	INF
25	Dec_3_2014	82.28	82.07	82.31	49.37	82.12	81.86	82.18(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	468.7	7072	NAN	8320	3328	2.33	17%		0	0.12%	0	1174	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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