Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $147.4500 (-0.28%) ($146.6800 - $150.3500) on Thu. Jan. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $147.4500(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    XLI(71%)    SDY(70%)    IWN(67%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $144.67(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.36(3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $140.41(5.01%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $21.764b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 37 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(49%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(51%) Sample size 37 Average positive next three day return: 1.78%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(57%) Sample size 37 Average positive next weekly return: 2.05%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.59%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2017	132.76	140.41	142.36	144.67	145.01	147.64	147.45(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	122	130	118	132	1.51	66%	0.22	56.1	1.55%	0	2.2	73	INF
2	Jan_25_2017	132.47	139.91	141.63	143.38	143.32	145.35	147.86(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	136	100	139	125	1.48	66%	0.24	51.5	1.55%	0	2.9	67	INF
3	Jan_24_2017	132.15	139.39	140.75	141.79	141.81	142.38	145.01(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	69	30	68	73	1.11	65%	0.1	55.1	1.54%	0	2.7	62	INF
4	Jan_23_2017	132.02	139.03	139.97	140.57	140.74	141.28	141.47(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	30	14	36	0.79	62%	0.12	47.4	1.51%	0	1.5	63	INF
5	Jan_20_2017	131.86	138.87	139.69	140.27	140.24	141.25	141.58(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	50	50	52	0.91	62%	0.13	45.4	1.52%	0	1.8	64	INF

6	Jan_19_2017	131.69	138.68	139.3	139.67	139.77	140.19	140.97(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	20	45	44	1.14	62%	0.12	22.7	1.52%	0	1.7	63	INF
7	Jan_18_2017	131.53	138.5	139.14	139.61	139.1	139.23	139.9(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-0	-8	27	0.82	62%	0.11	6.7	1.52%	0	1.1	55	INF
8	Jan_17_2017	131.39	138.28	139.11	139.55	139.33	139.34	138.92(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-0	16	40	1.19	62%	0.16	-20.9	1.53%	0	0.5	52	INF
9	Jan_13_2017	131.18	138.27	138.91	139.25	139.27	138.98	139.98(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	3	-10	-4	24	0.92	62%	0.11	-40.8	1.51%	0	1.3	55	INF
10	Jan_12_2017	131.03	138.2	138.57	138.99	139.03	139.31	138.56(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	10	-7	13	2.6	62%	0.11	-75.3	1.52%	0	0.3	49	INF

11	Jan_11_2017	130.89	138.38	138.38	138.83	139.04	139.56	140.71(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	30	38	25	0.84	65%	0.12	-78.7	1.5%	0	1.8	59	INF
12	Jan_10_2017	130.73	138.42	138.09	138.62	138.61	138.74	139.56(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	10	2	9	1.57	65%	0.11	-72.3	1.5%	0	0.7	58	INF
13	Jan_9_2017	130.58	138.53	137.94	138.66	138.84	138.52	137.42(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	5	-10	1	18	0.93	63%	0.08	-65.6	1.49%	0	-0.6	60	INF
14	Jan_6_2017	130.47	138.83	138.02	138.51	138.94	138.48	138.72(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-10	-10	9	0.92	61%	0.1	-60	1.5%	0	-0.1	49	INF
15	Jan_5_2017	130.34	139.18	138	138.05	138.51	139.17	137.75(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	40	4	7	1.39	63%	0.09	-48.5	1.5%	0	-0.6	46	INF

16	Jan_4_2017	130.22	139.41	138.03	137.79	138.06	139.4	139.63(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	70	66	16	1.18	63%	0.1	-34.8	1.51%	0	0.1	39	INF
17	Jan_3_2017	130.09	139.56	137.79	137.48	137.45	137.85	139.79(2.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	30	20	44	-11	1.64	63%	0.12	-30.3	1.51%	0	0.1	40	INF
18	Dec_30_2016	129.93	139.7	137.35	137.17	137.27	136.73	136.67(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-30	-20	-60	1.2	64%	0.08	-29.8	1.49%	0	-1	29	INF
19	Dec_29_2016	129.83	140	137.56	137.49	137.58	137.06	136.42(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-20	-37	-74	0.94	64%	0.08	-25.1	1.54%	0	-1.2	25	INF
20	Dec_28_2016	129.72	140.28	137.81	137.94	138.01	137.81	136.46(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-33	-10	-17	-79	0.87	66%	0.08	-18.2	1.54%	0	-1.3	21	INF

21	Dec_27_2016	129.62	140.4	138.39	138.25	138.25	138.1	138.08(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10	0	-68	0.7	66%	0.13	-13.2	1.56%	0	-0.8	39	INF
22	Dec_23_2016	129.45	140.44	138.78	138.12	138.12	138.21	138.24(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	0	6	-71	0.56	66%	0.12	-9.9	1.55%	0	-0.8	39	INF
23	Dec_22_2016	129.3	140.6	139.16	137.54	137.79	138.4	138.23(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	40	17	-78	0.96	66%	0.12	-6.3	1.55%	0	-0.9	39	INF
24	Dec_21_2016	129.14	140.74	139.68	137.66	137.48	138.03	138.7(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	20	24	-72	1.1	66%	0.14	1.6	1.55%	0	-0.8	41	INF
25	Dec_20_2016	128.96	140.8	140.4	137.69	137.63	137.19	138(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-20	-13	-76	1.2	66%		4.8	1.56%	0	-1.1	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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