Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $114.7800 (2.1%) ($112.3400 - $114.9500) on Tue. May. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $114.7800(2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)    XLI(70%)    SDY(69%)    IWN(66%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $115.63
5 Day Moving Average   $114.1(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.53(-0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.63(-0.74%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $16.942b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2016	100.96	115.63	115.53	114.1	113.82	113.42	114.78(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-30	-25	-42	2.22	62%	0.3	78.3	1.53%	0	-0.4	46	INF
2	May_9_2016	100.66	115.33	115.67	114.87	114.41	113.55	112.42(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-60	-49	-42	1.94	59%	0.29	66.4	1.58%	0	-1	36	INF
3	May_6_2016	100.37	115.09	115.97	115.69	115.41	114.22	114.99(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-80	-52	-34	1.14	64%	0.3	60.8	1.54%	0	-0	46	INF
4	May_5_2016	100.07	114.7	116.09	116.1	116.12	115.27	113.89(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-50	-61	-28	1.25	64%	0.28	51.6	1.55%	0	-0.2	48	INF
5	May_4_2016	99.79	114.31	116.25	116.64	116.79	116.59	114.44(-3.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-16	-10	-21	-0	3.75	72%	0.28	46.4	1.56%	0	0	52	INF

6	May_3_2016	99.51	113.95	116.49	117.1	116.98	116.96	118.6(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-0	7	26	3.67	81%	0.33	45.3	1.74%	0	1	68	INF
7	May_2_2016	99.18	113.42	116.36	116.61	116.83	116.96	116.53(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	20	7	45	2.52	74%	0.3	41.3	1.74%	0	0.7	77	INF
8	Apr_29_2016	98.88	113.05	116.37	116.29	116.59	116.99	117.03(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	30	19	73	1.78	77%	0.28	40.5	1.77%	0	0.9	81	INF
9	Apr_28_2016	98.6	112.69	116.2	116.11	116.12	116.68	116.61(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	22	96	1.82	78%	0.28	43.4	1.8%	0	0.9	81	INF
10	Apr_27_2016	98.32	112.35	116.01	115.81	115.78	116.19	116.72(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	20	22	119	3.12	78%	0.29	45.1	1.81%	0	1	83	INF

11	Apr_26_2016	98.04	111.97	115.72	115.79	115.51	115.56	116.18(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	-0	-3	131	2.27	78%	0.27	46.4	1.82%	0	1	76	INF
12	Apr_25_2016	97.78	111.64	114.95	116.1	115.82	115.37	114.91(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-30	-15	135	1.54	73%	0.24	49.4	1.82%	0	0.8	68	INF
13	Apr_22_2016	97.55	111.31	114.17	116.45	116.35	115.47	116.11(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-60	-23	132	2.77	73%	0.25	50.1	1.85%	0	1.2	67	INF
14	Apr_21_2016	97.31	110.87	113.24	116.3	116.49	116.28	115.14(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10	-23	123	1.74	74%	0.23	48.3	1.85%	0	1.1	61	INF
15	Apr_20_2016	97.09	110.49	112.29	116.18	116.38	117.23	116.61(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	60	33	134	1.69	74%	0.26	50.7	1.85%	0	1.6	65	INF

16	Apr_19_2016	96.84	110.1	111.27	115.6	115.6	116.69	117.75(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	90	70	75	136	2.52	74%	0.19	56.6	1.84%	0	2.1	70	INF
17	Apr_18_2016	96.66	109.69	110.25	113.61	114.09	115.54	116.66(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	89	100	84	103	2.66	74%	0.19	55.6	1.85%	0	2.2	66	INF
18	Apr_15_2016	96.48	109.32	109.42	111.53	111.88	114.51	115.32(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	95	170	101	77	2.06	70%	0.2	53.7	1.86%	0	2.2	67	INF
19	Apr_14_2016	96.29	109	108.82	109.72	109.84	112.65	114.57(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	119	180	136	69	2.46	71%	0.17	54.5	1.91%	0	2.4	68	INF
20	Apr_13_2016	96.13	108.57	108.27	107.83	108	109.25	113.7(5.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	78	90	95	27	4.13	68%	0.17	46.4	1.92%	0	2.6	65	INF

21	Apr_12_2016	95.97	108.1	107.75	106.37	106.54	107.03	107.8(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	40	11	-32	1.08	65%	0.1	36.2	1.83%	0	-0.2	44	INF
22	Apr_11_2016	95.87	107.99	107.95	106.42	106.32	106.75	106.26(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	30	9	-34	1.4	65%	0.08	35.6	1.83%	0	-0.9	34	INF
23	Apr_8_2016	95.79	107.9	108.18	106.98	106.57	106.05	106.28(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-50	-16	-40	1.33	65%	0.08	45	1.84%	0	-0.8	37	INF
24	Apr_7_2016	95.71	107.77	108.33	107.75	107.33	105.89	105.09(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-55	-110	-57	-50	2.28	65%	0.07	53.1	1.85%	0	-1.2	35	INF
25	Apr_6_2016	95.64	107.66	108.64	108.72	108.21	107.1	106.43(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-90	-64	-33	3.4	65%		63.4	1.85%	0	-0.5	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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