Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $126.9800 (-1.17%) ($126.0600 - $128.0100) on Fri. Jan. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $126.9800(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(64%)    IWM(63%)    XAR(59%)    EWG(57%)    PEJ(57%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $134.17
5 Day Moving Average   $127.73(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.39(-2.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $134.17(-5.36%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $18.742b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.86%(45%) Average negative next day return: -2.1%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -4.55%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.27%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.33%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2014	133.28	134.17	130.39	127.73	127.9	127.98	126.98(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-62	10	-19	-191	1.89	37%	-0.05	-62.9	1.18%	0	-1.5	23	0
2	Jan_30_2014	133.35	134.77	131.45	127.59	127.85	128.51	128.48(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	40	22	-183	1.42	35%	-0.03	-68.6	1.18%	0	-1.4	23	0
3	Jan_29_2014	133.39	135.4	132.36	128.31	127.76	127.81	128.59(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-65	-10	-23	-189	2.1	30%	-0.02	-64.9	1.21%	0	-1.5	23	0
4	Jan_28_2014	133.42	135.98	133.22	129.57	129.11	127.18	128.63(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-105	-120	-80	-178	1.57	30%	-0.01	-57.6	1.38%	0	-1.7	22	0
5	Jan_27_2014	133.43	136.57	134	131.13	131.12	127.71	125.95(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-209	-180	-207	-215	2.53	26%	-0.01	-49.2	1.35%	0	-2.6	17	0

6	Jan_24_2014	133.44	137.31	135.28	133.48	133.73	131.04	126.31(-4.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-200	-140	-207	-177	3.03	28%	0	-37.2	1.36%	0	-3.4	17	0
7	Jan_23_2014	133.44	138.02	136.59	135.79	136.14	134.54	132.08(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-111	-70	-113	-104	2.39	30%	0.04	-15.5	1.27%	0	-2.9	28	0
8	Jan_22_2014	133.39	138.38	137.35	136.93	137.2	136.43	134.88(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-70	-30	-70	-71	1.59	32%	0.08	15.6	1.26%	0	-2.3	27	0
9	Jan_21_2014	133.28	138.55	137.86	137.38	137.71	137.75	136.41(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	10	-7	-39	1.63	32%	0.11	56.5	1.26%	0	-1.7	37	0
10	Jan_17_2014	133.14	138.61	138.1	137.33	137.67	137.97	137.74(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	20	19	-33	1.32	35%	0.11	93.9	1.27%	0	-0.8	41	0

11	Jan_16_2014	133	138.54	138.23	137.4	137.33	137.67	137.84(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	20	4	-40	0.93	35%	0.12	115.5	1.27%	0	-0.6	41	0
12	Jan_15_2014	132.84	138.34	138.31	137.57	137.6	137.36	137.79(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10	1	-42	1.12	34%	0.12	109.6	1.27%	0	-0.4	44	0
13	Jan_14_2014	132.68	138.14	138.61	137.88	138.01	136.99	137.13(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-50	-54	-52	1.1	37%	0.1	91.3	1.28%	0	-0.6	45	0
14	Jan_13_2014	132.55	137.83	138.89	138.43	138.63	137.84	136.15(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-60	-40	-66	-40	1.41	37%	0.08	83.6	1.29%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Jan_10_2014	132.44	137.55	139.29	138.95	139.25	139.02	138.1(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10	-24	-6	1.04	42%	0.09	69.5	1.27%	0	0.2	57	0

16	Jan_9_2014	132.32	137.21	139.47	139.16	139.5	139.42	138.67(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	0	-1	19	0.87	42%	0.12	62.7	1.31%	0	0.4	65	0
17	Jan_8_2014	132.16	136.93	139.55	139.14	139.43	139.48	139.35(-0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	10	-8	34	0.98	41%	0.12	61.7	1.31%	0	0.7	77	0
18	Jan_7_2014	132	136.56	139.5	139.46	139.45	139.58	139.89(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	16	10	1	61	0.88	39%	0.13	62.1	1.32%	0	0.9	80	0
19	Jan_6_2014	131.83	136.1	139.3	139.47	139.73	139.39	138.72(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10	-1	85	1.35	39%	0.11	59.1	1.33%	0	0.7	84	0
20	Jan_3_2014	131.69	135.66	139.17	139.69	139.77	139.32	139.16(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-20	-35	101	1.09	39%	0.11	55.7	1.34%	0	0.9	86	0

21	Jan_2_2014	131.54	135.16	138.89	139.83	140.01	140.07	138.56(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	10	-8	131	1.53	41%	0.11	53.2	1.36%	0	0.8	78	0
22	Dec_31_2013	131.39	134.74	138.42	140	140.03	140.23	140.97(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	24	152	0.76	42%	0.12	51.9	1.36%	0	1.5	75	0
23	Dec_30_2013	131.23	134.31	137.65	139.53	139.66	139.94	139.93(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	20	15	150	0.71	42%	0.12	55.6	1.35%	0	1.4	76	0
24	Dec_27_2013	131.07	133.91	136.7	139.1	139.38	139.83	139.83(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	30	36	151	0.62	42%	0.12	60.1	1.36%	0	1.6	78	0
25	Dec_26_2013	130.91	133.52	135.7	138.57	138.73	139.38	139.85(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	40	39	146	0.63	42%		64.5	1.36%	0	1.8	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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