Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $115.8700 (0.09%) ($115.5200 - $117.3400) on Thu. Feb. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $115.8700(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(63%)    SPY(63%)    XAR(58%)    EWG(57%)    PEJ(57%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $110.05(-5.02%)
Resistance Level   $116.65
5 Day Moving Average   $113.81(1.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.23(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.65(-0.67%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $17.102b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2013	106.06	116.65	115.23	113.81	114.19	115.32	115.87(0.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	53	80	91	-62	1.41	80%	0.28	-24.5	1.39%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
2	Feb_27_2013	105.76	116.64	115.5	113.14	113.44	113.49	115.77(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	10	26	-107	1.64	80%	0.26	-31	1.39%	0	-0.3	34	NAN
3	Feb_26_2013	105.49	116.66	115.81	112.96	113.08	113.05	113.38(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-71	0	-48	-139	1.92	78%	0.21	-32.8	1.37%	0	-1.2	40	NAN
4	Feb_25_2013	105.27	116.81	116.39	114.05	114.06	113.4	111.25(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-56	-40	-39	-107	1.96	77%	0.2	-21.8	1.35%	0	-2.2	37	NAN
5	Feb_22_2013	105.06	117.13	117.25	115.65	115.37	113.11	112.79(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-104	-140	-108	-93	1.72	80%	0.21	0	1.35%	0	-2	41	NAN

6	Feb_21_2013	104.84	117.3	117.91	116.83	116.88	114.72	112.53(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-134	-130	-154	-73	2.49	80%	0.22	23.7	1.36%	0	-2.3	47	NAN
7	Feb_20_2013	104.61	117.47	118.74	118.14	118.27	117.63	114.83(-3.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-60	-30	-80	1	2.12	87%	0.24	56.6	1.33%	0	-1.5	51	NAN
8	Feb_19_2013	104.36	117.54	119.05	119.01	118.97	119.04	118.87(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	0	1	62	1.39	100%	0.38	85	1.24%	0	0.8	64	NAN
9	Feb_15_2013	103.96	117.38	118.84	119.09	119.1	119.04	119.21(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10	-0	65	1.34	100%	0.27	100	1.28%	0	1.1	67	NAN
10	Feb_14_2013	103.68	117.13	118.57	119.14	119.08	118.91	118.73(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10	-17	58	1.23	89%	0.27	102.6	1.28%	0	0.9	58	NAN

11	Feb_13_2013	103.4	116.82	118.21	119.18	119.08	119.28	119.04(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	10	-3	61	1.44	89%	0.27	89.2	1.36%	0	1.1	65	NAN
12	Feb_12_2013	103.12	116.47	117.88	119.45	119.18	119.26	119.19(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-0	5	71	1.28	89%	0.24	88	1.37%	0	1.2	67	NAN
13	Feb_11_2013	102.87	116.09	117.56	119.09	119.47	119.08	119.26(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	17	71	1.06	89%	0.24	77.5	1.38%	0	1.3	64	NAN
14	Feb_8_2013	102.62	115.67	117.22	118.52	118.99	119.1	119.47(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	20	-4	53	0.96	89%	0.22	61.5	1.38%	0	1.5	65	NAN
15	Feb_7_2013	102.39	115.31	116.94	117.9	118.25	119.87	118.96(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	100	64	77	1.94	78%	0.21	53.6	1.4%	0	1.5	69	NAN

16	Feb_6_2013	102.18	115.01	116.58	117.07	117.37	118.89	120.38(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	110	100	116	90	4.06	78%	0.23	46.3	1.48%	0	2.3	80	NAN
17	Feb_5_2013	101.95	114.54	116.04	116.1	115.95	116.63	117.39(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	40	38	53	1.85	77%	0.18	45.3	1.45%	0	1.4	76	NAN
18	Feb_4_2013	101.77	114.29	115.86	115.83	115.57	115.85	116.42(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	10	22	56	1.91	77%	0.14	59.2	1.45%	0	1.1	75	NAN
19	Feb_1_2013	101.63	114.15	115.77	115.73	115.51	115.27	116.34(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-20	-7	59	1.61	80%	0.17	76.9	1.46%	0	1.1	78	NAN
20	Jan_31_2013	101.46	114.02	115.57	115.86	115.72	115.3	114.83(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-30	-22	57	1.41	80%	0.18	100.6	1.6%	0	0.4	61	NAN

21	Jan_30_2013	101.28	113.95	115.33	115.98	116.07	115.75	115.52(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-20	-8	64	1.58	80%	0.18	119.1	1.59%	0	0.8	60	NAN
22	Jan_29_2013	101.1	113.61	114.99	115.93	115.84	116.15	116.05(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	20	-4	68	1.5	80%	0.19	120.2	1.6%	0	1.3	69	NAN
23	Jan_28_2013	100.91	113.12	114.56	115.87	115.7	116.38	115.91(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	40	32	79	1.26	80%	0.17	101.1	1.62%	0	1.3	61	NAN
24	Jan_25_2013	100.74	112.68	114.05	115.81	115.4	115.53	116.98(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-0	29	69	1.25	81%	0.19	79.8	1.61%	0	1.6	58	NAN
25	Jan_24_2013	100.55	112.2	113.58	115.25	115.01	115.02	115.46(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10	6	45	2.41	81%		68.4	1.62%	0	1.2	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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